Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
A Reuters poll of 74 economists finds unanimous expectation that the European Central Bank will keep its deposit rate at 2.25% on July 23, while a growing majority anticipates a second rate increase this year in September due to a resurgence in energy prices that risks intensifying inflation pressures.
Hedge funds increased bearish bets against manufacturing stocks in June, driven by concerns that renewed hostilities around the Strait of Hormuz will lift oil, insurance and freight costs and squeeze manufacturers dependent on imported components. Hazeltree data covering 600 asset managers and 16,000 global stocks shows manufacturing names were the…
The World Cup final will feature Argentina and Spain, both wearing Adidas gear, eliminating Nike from the tournament's culminating match. Adidas stands to gain substantial global visibility after sponsoring 14 national teams, while none of Nike's 12 teams reached the final. The outcome underscores divergent commercial trajectories: Adidas has gaine…
Leveraged exchange-traded funds - products that seek to multiply daily returns using derivatives and borrowed capital - have surged in popularity around AI-related hardware names. Single-stock leveraged ETFs tracking giants such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have drawn massive retail and institutional flows, producing daily rebalancing that a…
The Bank of Korea increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on Thursday. The move largely matched market expectations, as headline inflation reached 3.2% year-over-year in June and core inflation rose to 2.5%. Fuel and transport price inflation remain elevated but have shown signs of stabilization. Officials signaled that further tighte…
U.S. equity futures were largely flat as investors weighed a softer-than-expected June inflation print against a fresh wave of corporate results. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a record quarterly profit, reinforcing strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, while Apple won regulatory approval to roll out on-device AI feature…
Data posted on the government budget portal indicate Russia’s federal spending for 2026 could exceed the budget law by roughly 1 trillion roubles, raising the projected deficit to 4.83 trillion roubles. Revenues are unchanged in the portal’s figures, leaving the larger shortfall to be financed amid an already elevated deficit this year and question…
Euro-area government bond yields rose after renewed fighting in the Gulf heightened concerns about energy prices, pushing Germany's 10-year yield to its highest level since May 20. At the same time, cooler-than-expected US consumer and producer inflation readings have limited upward pressure on US Treasury yields, narrowing the spread between Germa…
A sharp pullback in Asian chipmakers has injected volatility into regional markets, with South Korea’s KOSPI seeing large intra-day swings after steep drops in major suppliers. The sell-off has revived debate over whether massive AI-related capital expenditure can generate sufficient profits. Markets now focus on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing …
The United States will levy a 25% tariff on certain imports from Brazil after a year-long Section 301 investigation concluded that Brazilian policies unfairly restricted U.S. commerce. The move, directed by President Donald Trump and announced by U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, follows unsuccessful negotiations on a range of issues and le…
A growing number of Chinese households are falling behind on loans even as authorities encourage borrowing to lift domestic demand. Consumer defaults have reached unprecedented levels, with banks tightening lending standards and using loan restructurings to avoid immediate non-performing classifications. The trend poses risks for lenders concentrat…
Chinese President Xi Jinping will speak at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai as Huawei introduces the Atlas 950 SuperPoD, a large-scale AI computing cluster built from domestically produced Ascend processors. The gathering will serve both as a technology exposition and a forum for Beijing to promote its stance on AI governanc…
Federal Reserve leadership is currently navigating a complex macroeconomic environment characterized by persistent inflationary pressures from artificial intelligence investment and geopolitical supply chain disruptions. While the central bank chair maintains a strictly circumspect communication strategy focused on raw economic data, committee memb…
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book reports continued expansion across its 12 districts, with employment increasing but not exerting notable upward pressure on wages. Price growth broadly held steady or decelerated compared with the previous period, though contacts reported divergent inflation expectations and flagged fuel-cost uncertainty foll…
The OECD reports that the global minimum tax raised between €79 billion and €109 billion in its inaugural year and increased effective tax rates for companies subject to the rules, while detecting little evidence of reduced employment or capital spending. The study compares firms just above and below the €750 million revenue threshold and covers on…
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book shows a slight increase in U.S. economic activity, an uptick in employment and indications from firms and households that inflation may have improved. The qualitative survey from the Fed's 12 regional banks will feed into policy discussions as Kevin Warsh prepares to chair his second rate-setting meeting in t…
The government has revised its inflation estimates upward for this year and for 2027, citing supply-driven food price rises and a broadening of price pressures across manufactured goods and services. Growth forecasts were left unchanged for the current year, though officials warned that elevated real interest rates will weigh on activity going forw…
Peru's economy expanded 1.8% in May from a year earlier, the slowest monthly growth recorded so far in 2026. The national statistics agency INEI released the data showing a marked slowdown from April's 3.73% expansion and below the 3.2% forecast from analysts. Sharp contractions in the fishing and manufacturing sectors were prominent contributors t…
Truflation’s Head of Data, Oliver Rust, said June’s unexpectedly mild CPI reading was largely the result of a nearly 10% fall in gasoline prices rather than a broader slowdown in inflation. Rust pointed to persistent services inflation in housing and education, noted producer prices fell 0.3% in June, and warned Truflation’s real-time data already …
An independent panel of economists commissioned by the French government finds public finances set to deteriorate markedly through 2030 unless policymakers implement corrective measures. The report forecasts widening deficits, rising debt-to-GDP and sharply higher interest costs, and urges targeted structural reforms and reconsideration of automati…
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said she is prepared to raise policy if inflation does not begin to slow soon, while allowing a brief window to observe incoming data. Cook highlighted risks tied to an investment boom around artificial intelligence, tariffs and price pressures stemming from the U.S. war with Iran. Her comments underscore a shift …
Executives at major Wall Street banks described U.S. households as largely resilient, pointing to modest growth in consumer loan balances led by credit cards, steady spending across income groups, and broadly stable credit metrics. Banks flagged concerns about higher living costs for lower-income households and the inflationary impact of geopolitic…
Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have submitted a joint proposal to acquire PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the company at just over $53 billion. The offer, backed by roughly $50 billion of committed bank financing, represents a potential lifeline for PayPal and its Venmo business but is characterized as a relatively low bid …
Money market funds have shortened their weighted average maturities and shifted allocations toward floating-rate notes and repurchase agreements as uncertainty about the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy path persists. Data show funds reduced average maturities in July and moved cash into FRNs and repos, even as T-bill holdings were trimmed. Market sig…
The White House is considering a further extension of waivers to the Jones Act to allow foreign-flagged vessels to move goods between U.S. ports as renewed conflict with Iran lifts energy price and supply disruption concerns. Officials are debating whether to add geographic restrictions to any new extension, and agency leaders met this week to weig…
