Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,933 total articles
On July 9, U.S. equity futures inched higher as crude prices eased following renewed U.S. strikes on Iran and reciprocal attacks by Iran on Kuwait and Bahrain. The geopolitical escalation, coming after President Donald Trump said an interim ceasefire was "over," has rattled hopes for a swift resolution to a four-month conflict and prompted investor…
Qatar has called on Iran and the United States to recommit to diplomatic channels and implement a June memorandum as clashes between the two sides intensified. The U.S. said it struck roughly 90 targets in Iran, while Tehran responded with attacks it described as aimed at U.S. military facilities in the Gulf. The exchanges have put the future of a …
HSBC has reduced its average gold price projections for 2026 and 2027, attributing the cuts to a more hawkish U.S. monetary policy outlook and an appreciating dollar. The bank also outlined trading ranges and year-end targets while noting moderated central bank buying and sizeable ETF outflows earlier in the year.
U.S. equity futures rose modestly after renewed exchanges of strikes between the United States and Iran around the Persian Gulf. Oil dipped from intraday highs but remained above levels seen before the recent flare-up, sustaining concerns about inflation. PepsiCo prepares to report quarterly results amid geopolitical uncertainty, while fresh Chines…
Global hedge funds delivered their strongest performance in the first half of the year since 2013, driven by winning positions in healthcare, technology and energy, according to data from hedge fund analytics firm PivotalPath and commentary from major managers. April was a standout month, and stock-focused managers produced double-digit year-to-dat…
Asian equity markets experienced a mixed trading session driven by divergent forces. Semiconductor stocks rallied following reports of potential policy shifts in China, lifting major indices across the region. However, gains were tempered by a sharp increase in oil prices after diplomatic tensions escalated in the Gulf. The surge in crude costs rei…
The benchmark 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield reached a 30-year high, driven by renewed inflation concerns and investor apprehension regarding Japan's fiscal trajectory. This movement reflects the market's response to rising oil prices and the government's outlined spending blueprint, which has sparked debate over the Bank of Japan's m…
A recent survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) indicates a marginal easing in the downturn within Britain's housing market during June. Despite this minor uptick, the sector continues to grapple with fragile sentiment driven by persistent uncertainties regarding inflation trajectories and future interest rate movements. Th…
Global equity markets experienced a notable shift in sentiment on Wednesday, with major U.S. indices closing in the red amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average tracked their international counterparts downward, while the Nasdaq Composite managed a slight gain, driven by strength within the technolo…
The heads of the IEA, IMF, World Bank Group and WTO said the global economy has so far shown broad resilience to the shock from the war in the Middle East but cautioned that uncertainty is high and impacts could persist. The institutions urged progress toward a resolution, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and pledged continued cooperation to …
Manna, an Irish-founded drone delivery startup, said it will enable autonomous drone orders to reach 90% of Tulsa residents within a year. The company plans to begin flights for partners including DoorDash, McDonald’s and Uber Eats within two months and to operate from 40 local bases by mid-2027, positioning the U.S. southwest as a key battleground…
A senior Swiss trade official said there is a good chance the United States will stick to a 15% tariff rate agreed in an initial deal. Switzerland remains in talks to finalise a trade agreement while a separate universal 10% U.S. tariff is set to expire on July 24. The official also flagged the need for faster Swiss economic growth and lower energy…
Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's June 16-17 meeting indicate that elevated inflation was a central concern for participants, with several officials arguing for an immediate interest rate increase. Despite those views, the committee unanimously supported maintaining the policy rate in the 3.50% to 3.75% range. Fed staff raised inflat…
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that total U.S. crude and petroleum exports reached a record 13.6 million barrels per day in April, driven by higher crude shipments and strong propane and distillate exports amid disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz tied to the Iran war. Finished petroleum product exports also hit their h…
A three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit declined to allow the Trump administration to restore President Donald Trump’s name to the Kennedy Center facade while it contests a district judge’s directive ordering the name removed. The decision leaves in place a May order from U.S. District Judge Christopher…
The International Monetary Fund said it plans to engage with central banks about evolving uses of forward guidance on monetary policy, underscoring the importance of clear communications while officials reconsider how and when to signal future policy moves. IMF deputy research director Petya Koeva Brooks highlighted the tool's past usefulness and t…
A Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey of businesses in the Mid-Atlantic region found that nearly half of firms which have paid tariffs still intend to raise prices further to offset those costs. While just under a third expect price increases within six months, a separate group plans to implement higher prices beyond that horizon. The Fed's eco…
Euro zone government bond yields climbed on Wednesday to their highest levels in a month after U.S. President Donald Trump said he believed the interim agreement to end the war with Iran was over. The remarks, together with reported strikes and retaliatory actions in the Gulf and a U.S. revocation of an Iranian oil licence, sent oil sharply higher …
U.S. President Donald Trump said the memorandum of understanding that had framed a ceasefire with Iran "was over" after the two sides exchanged attacks overnight, comments that sent oil prices sharply higher and pressured stocks and government bonds. Oil rose about 5% to $78 a barrel, European equities fell roughly 1.1%, the dollar strengthened and…
Revised government data show U.S. wholesale inventories rose just 0.1% in May, down from a previously reported 0.3% gain. The smaller uptick could limit the contribution of restocking to second-quarter GDP growth even as imports climbed and specific technology categories saw notable inventory increases.
In Ankara at the close of a NATO summit attended by both leaders, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said she does not regret having invested political capital in fostering a close relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, despite recent public criticisms and social media barbs between the two.
Poland's central bank updated its macroeconomic projections, increasing projected inflation ranges for 2026 through 2028 while lowering GDP growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027. The bank said it could intervene in the foreign exchange market and emphasized that future policy moves will be guided by incoming data. It identified fiscal policy and wage …
OpenAI plans to release GPT-5.6 on Thursday after postponing the launch because of U.S. government concerns about national security risks posed by more powerful AI systems. The roll-out occurs as competition heightens across the AI sector, with developers racing to boost performance, lower costs and broaden enterprise features. Chinese firms are no…
The International Monetary Fund has nudged its projection for global economic growth in 2026 down to 3.0%, citing continued risks from the war in the Middle East, rising trade fragmentation and the potential for market corrections tied to artificial intelligence. The IMF expects growth to recover to 3.4% in 2027, while raising its forecast for 2026…
The International Monetary Fund trimmed its projection for global GDP growth in 2026 to 3.0%, citing persistent risks from the Middle East conflict, the prospect of trade fragmentation and the possibility of corrections in enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. The fund raised its 2026 headline inflation forecast, left the U.S. growth outlook u…
