Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
Goldman Sachs now projects the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates through 2026 and begin cutting in mid-2027, citing stronger-than-expected U.S. job growth and ongoing inflationary pressures tied to the Middle East. The bank moved its cut forecasts to June and December 2027 from earlier calls for reductions in December 2026 and March 2027, an…
A sharp selloff in technology shares hit Asian markets on Monday, led by an over 8% drop in South Korea's KOSPI that triggered circuit breakers. The move echoed last week's decline on Wall Street after a strong U.S. jobs report lifted expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate increases. Markets now put the odds of a December Fed rate rise ab…
Bank Indonesia and the finance ministry agreed on June 6 to raise yields on Indonesian assets to lure back portfolio inflows and shore up the rupiah after recent record lows. Officials provided few operational details, while markets continue to wrestle with heavy capital outflows, a plunging stock market and concerns over fiscal plans and instituti…
Wu Qing, the chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), has issued a directive to China’s $13 trillion fund industry, emphasizing the need for capital to drive domestic innovation. While advocating for increased support for emerging industries and hard technology start-ups, Wu cautioned against speculative behavior, blind sector…
Asian equity markets have continued a period of significant selling pressure, following a volatile week characterized by sharp declines in the technology sector. The selloff has been particularly pronounced in semiconductor-related stocks, contributing to a substantial drop in South Korea's KOSPI, which fell by more than 4.5%. This downturn follows…
The U.S. dollar is trading near its highest level in two months following a significant surge in American employment data. The report, which indicated that nonfarm payrolls grew by 172,000 jobs last month, exceeded market expectations and has prompted traders to increase their bets on potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve later thi…
Asian equity markets are preparing for a downward trajectory this Monday, following a period of significant volatility in U.S. markets. The downturn follows the conclusion of a nine-week winning streak on Wall Street, triggered primarily by heavy selling within the technology sector. This shift comes as geopolitical instability in the Middle East e…
The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued a clarification regarding the ongoing regulatory crackdown on what it defines as "illegal" cross-border investments. Addressing widespread investor anxiety, the watchdog stated that the current rectification efforts are not intended to trigger the forced closure of offshore accounts or th…
Recent data released by Incomes Data Research (IDR) reveals that median pay increases awarded by significant British employers remained constant at 3.5% for the three-month period ending in April. This figure matches the median growth recorded during the previous three months leading up to March. Despite a recent uptick in the national minimum wage…
UBS Global Research says record foreign sales of Korean equities in 2026 — roughly $70 billion in the first half — reflect extreme market concentration rather than weak fundamentals. Heavy gains in two semiconductor names appear to have forced global funds into automatic rebalancing, contributing to substantial portfolio outflows and pressure on th…
Kevin Warsh’s contention that artificial intelligence will suppress inflation is challenged by a BCA Research report from Chief Strategist Peter Berezin. The report says the 1996-98 Greenspan-era comparison is misplaced, and points to rising tech investment, higher input costs, and a pronounced wealth effect as forces likely to keep inflation above…
Deutsche Bank expects the 2026 FIFA men’s World Cup, beginning June 11 across 16 cities in the United States, Mexico and Canada, to add a modest 0.05% to U.S. GDP. Still, the bank singled out specific consumer, lodging, media and gaming companies likely to see revenue and demand gains during the 39-day tournament.
A blockbuster initial public offering from SpaceX is set to hit public markets next week and could be a focal point for investor sentiment as the S&P 500 cools after a long run of gains. Strong jobs numbers and a recent pick-up in energy prices have revived concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve, while upcoming consumer and producer inflation rep…
Deutsche Bank Research has cut its 2026 euro area GDP forecast to 0.5% from 1.1%, citing a Middle East-driven energy shock that raises the region's energy import bill, dents household purchasing power, weakens exports and prompts tighter monetary policy. The bank anticipates a shallow contraction in Q2, stagnation in Q3 and only modest recovery lat…
Heat pump deployment across Europe is accelerating, supported by government targets and higher energy prices. Recent sales growth in Finland, Germany, and France, combined with EU and UK policy pushes, imply rising electricity consumption that could materially raise both annual and peak demand, with implications for grids, generators, and distribut…
Swiss firms invested $27 billion in the United States from January through April as part of a broader commitment tied to a tariff agreement with Washington. The spending covers pharmaceuticals, medical technology, shipping and industrial production, and comes amid ongoing U.S. tariff actions related to forced labour.
Ukrainian authorities say a Russian drone struck a container-receiving building at a spent-fuel storage site roughly 15 kilometers from the Chornobyl nuclear power plant. Officials report partial damage to the facility, a fire that was extinguished, no injuries and radiation readings remaining within normal ranges. Moscow has not commented on the i…
Christodoulos Patsalides, head of Cyprus' central bank and a member of the ECB Governing Council, called for Europe to abandon long-held political objections to joint debt issuance. In an opinion piece, Patsalides argued that a common large-scale safe asset would provide a pricing benchmark, deepen capital markets, mobilize household savings and he…
Thousands of people gathered in Seoul after ballot shortages forced suspensions at multiple polling stations during the June 3 local elections. Protesters are calling for a nationwide rerun and greater accountability while election authorities and political parties initiate reviews. Officials say legal grounds for a full revote are lacking.
China's central bank increased its official gold holdings for a 19th straight month in May, adding 320,000 troy ounces. The accumulation comes even as bullion prices fell in May, marking a third consecutive monthly decline since a late-January peak. Officials' purchases and broader reserve diversification efforts remain a prominent source of suppor…
The Indian government has pushed up the retail price of a standard 14.2-kilogram liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinder by 29 rupees nationwide, marking the second domestic cooking gas increase since the outbreak of the Iran war. The adjustment reflects rising import and transport costs that have widened losses for state-owned fuel retailers sellin…
The United States government is weighing a proposal to utilize frozen Iranian assets as a source of funding for the reconstruction of infrastructure in Gulf partner nations. This potential policy shift comes in response to recent military actions linked to Tehran that have caused physical damage in Kuwait and Bahrain. Treasury Secretary Scott Besse…
The United States government is exploring a strategic move to utilize frozen Iranian assets to provide financial assistance to allies within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). This potential deployment of funds aims to address the extensive destruction caused by recent Middle East conflicts. According to reports citing sources familiar with the ma…
Sriram Krishnan, a prominent figure in the administration's artificial intelligence strategy, has announced his intention to step down from his role as a top White House adviser. Following an 18-month period of service, Krishnan is scheduled to conclude his formal position at the end of June 2026. During his tenure, which began under President Dona…
A Raymond James policy analysis led by Ed Mills concludes that economic pressures tied to affordability and geopolitical disruptions are eroding presidential approval and boosting the Democratic position on the generic ballot, producing an 85% chance the opposition retakes the House and a 50% probability of a divided Congress with a Democratic Hous…
