Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
India is pressing the United States for preferential tariff treatment as the two countries work to finalize an interim trade agreement. Negotiations, which produced an initial understanding in February, have slowed after a US Supreme Court decision affected prior tariff measures. Washington has floated a 12.5% tariff on imports from India and other…
The UK government has unveiled a £1.1 billion package to expand national AI computing resources, combining a commitment to buy specialist chips with a multi-year programme to build a national supercomputer and an investment vehicle to support domestic hardware companies. Funding includes direct procurement of next-generation chips and British Busin…
Leading investment banks overwhelmingly project the S&P 500 will climb through 2026, leaning on AI momentum and robust corporate earnings to counteract economic disruption from a months-long Middle East conflict. Forecasters also flag the downside risk that sustained higher oil prices could elevate recession odds even as many lift index targets.
Border czar Tom Homan said the Trump administration has prepared an operational plan to send more Immigration and Customs Enforcement personnel to New York City. Homan said he informed Governor Kathy Hochul of the plan before she enacted state legislation limiting ICE activities and banning masked agents. He declined to give a timetable but said th…
Chile's consumer price index rose 0.2% in May from April, below the 0.4% rise economists had expected and down from a 1.3% gain in April. Nine of 13 sectors recorded price declines, led by food and non-alcoholic beverages, while housing, basic services and transportation posted increases. Annual inflation slipped to 3.9% in May, slightly below Apri…
A Reuters poll of housing analysts conducted May 26-June 8 shows British house prices are now forecast to rise 1.8% this year, down from a 2.5% projection three months ago, while London is expected to record a small decline. Rising mortgage rates and persistent inflation are cited as key constraints on demand, with deposits and elevated prices also…
Bank of America says oil price increases tied to Middle East tensions are likely to push Japan's core consumer price inflation back above 3% in early 2027. The bank outlines three transmission channels from oil to consumer prices, notes current near-term moderating forces for headline inflation, and flags the risk that second-round effects could pr…
Arcmont Asset Management Chief Executive Anthony Fobel told attendees at the SuperReturn private capital conference in Berlin that private credit portfolios continue to exhibit low default rates despite recent retail-driven withdrawal requests. Fobel described the asset class as largely institutionally backed, questioned the push to open it to reta…
Hungary reported a 43.5 billion forint surplus in May, reducing the budget shortfall for the first five months of the year to 3.806 trillion forints, or 90.2% of the full-year target. The centre-right government led by Prime Minister Peter Magyar has inherited a widening deficit after the April election, and Fitch Ratings warns of continued fiscal …
The European Council has approved a new regulatory framework designed to shield the EU steel sector from the effects of structural global overcapacity. The rules, adopted on Monday, replace the current safeguard measure set to lapse on June 30 and introduce a revised tariff-rate quota system with lower import quotas and steeper duties on imports ab…
U.S. President Donald Trump called on Israel and Iran to immediately stop exchanging strikes after renewed hostilities extended into Monday, undermining momentum toward a potential peace agreement. The latest round of attacks followed an Israeli strike on Beirut and included Iranian strikes and Israeli retaliation reported to have hit targets in ce…
This week features a packed calendar for investors: a potentially record-breaking SpaceX initial public offering, U.S. consumer price index data that may influence Federal Reserve thinking, a European Central Bank rate decision against a backdrop of elevated oil prices, and quarterly reports from Oracle and Adobe that will be read as barometers for…
Japanese investors recorded a net sale of 2.72 trillion yen in foreign equities in May, the biggest monthly withdrawal since April 2021, according to Ministry of Finance data. The pullback came as the MSCI World Index retreated from a record and as flows moved into overseas debt, where net purchases reached their highest level since May 2025.
U.S. stock-index futures traded mixed as investors weighed fresh strikes between Iran and Israel alongside mounting concerns about the sustainability of the AI investment theme. A strong U.S. jobs report and rising oil prices have heightened expectations for higher interest rates, while gold slid to an 11-week low. Apple is set to open its annual d…
A swift reversal in global tech stocks has exposed the risks of record retail leverage in South Korea. After a rapid KOSPI rally that doubled the index in six months, retail investors increased margin and took up new single-stock leveraged ETFs tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. A recent pullback erased gains for many small investors and pro…
The European Central Bank is widely expected to lift interest rates this week, becoming the first major central bank to act since the recent energy shock linked to the Iran conflict. Officials are balancing the need to prevent inflation from becoming entrenched against the risk of worsening an already weakening economy across the 21-country euro ar…
Hungary’s deputy central bank governor said a recent drop in inflation together with an improvement in risk premia have likely reduced the level of interest rates needed to secure price stability. Yet policymakers remain cautious about cutting rates amid volatility in long-term yields, energy prices and international uncertainty, with the next deci…
Europe’s STOXX 600 slipped to a two-week trough as renewed clashes between Israel and Iran sent crude higher and a global downturn in AI-related shares hit technology names. Broad losses across regional markets were punctuated by a surge in Monte dei Paschi di Siena after Intesa Sanpaolo announced an unsolicited €30.6 billion cash-and-share bid.
A Reuters poll of 38 economists taken June 3-8 indicates India's consumer price inflation likely increased to 4.0% in May from 3.48% in April. The rise was driven by rebounding vegetable prices and higher transport costs after a series of fuel price hikes by state-owned retailers amid conflict-related supply concerns. Wholesale inflation accelerate…
Goldman Sachs has moved its projected Federal Reserve easing timeline into 2027, citing a stronger-than-expected labor market and inflation dynamics that are likely to keep core inflation above target through 2026. The bank lowered its unemployment forecast for this year and raised the probability of an additional rate hike, while keeping its termi…
South Korea’s benchmark index sank sharply on Monday, falling as much as 8.8% in early trade and activating market circuit breakers after stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data raised expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening. The rout was concentrated in large-cap technology and semiconductor stocks, with Samsung Electronics and SK H…
Swiss voters will decide on June 14 whether to limit the country’s population to 10 million. Backed by the right-wing Swiss People’s Party, the proposal is pitched as a response to pressure on infrastructure and rising local concerns, while businesses and economists warn it could reduce access to talent, threaten accords with the EU and shave billi…
Vietnam's deputy central bank governor Pham Thanh Ha said the country will prioritize targeted expansionary fiscal policy to reach its growth goals, noting limited room for further monetary easing. Officials aim for at least 10% GDP growth and 4.5% inflation this year even as inflation accelerates and the trade deficit widened to a record in May am…
Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor said he considers the present level of interest rates to be restrictive for the economy and does not believe an increase is necessary to counter inflationary pressure that has risen following the war involving the U.S., Israel and Iran. Taylor reiterated he is content with the current stance unless the situat…
A Reuters poll of 32 economists expects China’s exports to have risen 15% year-on-year in dollar terms in May, supported by front-loaded overseas orders tied to concerns about energy prices from the Gulf war and continued global demand for semiconductors and AI-related components. While exports held up, economists warn the boost may be temporary as…
