Economy June 8, 2026 01:42 AM

Vietnam to Rely on Fiscal Support as Monetary Space Narrows, Deputy Central Banker Says

Deputy central bank governor signals a shift toward targeted fiscal measures as inflation rises and the trade deficit hits a record in May

By Priya Menon
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Vietnam's deputy central bank governor Pham Thanh Ha said the country will prioritize targeted expansionary fiscal policy to reach its growth goals, noting limited room for further monetary easing. Officials aim for at least 10% GDP growth and 4.5% inflation this year even as inflation accelerates and the trade deficit widened to a record in May amid fallout from the Iran war. Banking credit has risen modestly and authorities maintain a focus on macroeconomic stability.

Vietnam to Rely on Fiscal Support as Monetary Space Narrows, Deputy Central Banker Says
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Key Points

  • Vietnam will prioritize targeted expansionary fiscal policy as monetary policy space narrows - impacts fiscal authorities and public finance.
  • Government aims for at least 10% GDP growth and to keep inflation at 4.5% this year - relevant for macroeconomic planning and inflation-sensitive sectors.
  • Banks' lending rose 3.83% as of April 21 and authorities target 15% credit growth for the year - directly affects the banking and credit markets.

Hanoi, June 8 - Vietnam will shift emphasis toward expansionary fiscal measures to help meet the government's economic growth objective, as the scope for additional monetary easing becomes limited, Deputy Governor of the State Bank Pham Thanh Ha said in comments reported by state media on Monday.

Ha told the Dau Tu Chung Khoan newspaper that the central bank will not trade away macroeconomic stability for rapid short-term expansion. He reiterated that the central bank remains committed to policies that preserve stability and keep inflation under control.

Officials are targeting a gross domestic product growth rate of at least 10% this year while seeking to hold inflation around 4.5%. Ha noted, however, that inflation has been accelerating and that the country recorded a record-high trade deficit in May. He also pointed to external pressure linked to the Iran war as a factor affecting the economy.

Against that backdrop, Ha said the space available for monetary policy adjustments is narrow. "Given that the current room for monetary policy is narrow, priority should be given to targeted expansionary fiscal policy, making fiscal policy truly a pillar for promoting high and sustainable growth," he said.

On credit conditions, Ha reported that banks' total lending had increased by 3.83% as of April 21 compared with the end of last year. That comes as Vietnam commonly relies on expanded bank credit to support economic activity; authorities this year have set a credit growth target of 15%.

The deputy governor framed fiscal action as the preferred lever for supporting growth given the limited monetary headroom, while underscoring the central bank's role in holding to a course of macroeconomic stability and inflation control.


Contextual summary

The central bank's public comments indicate a policy mix in which fiscal measures are intended to shoulder a greater share of growth support, even as monetary policy stays focused on stability and inflation management. The country is pursuing an ambitious GDP target alongside an inflation objective, amid an accelerating price backdrop and a widening trade deficit influenced by external shocks.

Risks

  • Inflation has accelerated this year, posing a risk to price stability and real incomes - relevant to monetary policy and consumer-facing sectors.
  • The trade deficit widened to a record in May, which could pressure external balances and trade-exposed industries - influenced by the Iran war as noted by officials.
  • Limited room for further monetary easing constrains policymakers' toolkit, increasing reliance on fiscal measures to sustain growth - affects public finance and the effectiveness of macroeconomic management.

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