Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

4,092 total articles

AI-led tech rally lifts U.S. stocks as Japan steps into FX market to support yen

AI-led tech rally lifts U.S. stocks as Japan steps into FX market to support yen

U.S. equities closed April on a strong note as robust technology earnings and investment figures reinforced the view that AI-related spending still has significant runway. At the same time, Japanese authorities intervened to buy yen, producing the currency's largest one-day gain since 2022 and prompting notable moves across FX, bond and equity mark…

Brazil Congress Overturns Lula Veto, Slashes Bolsonaro Coup Sentence

Brazil Congress Overturns Lula Veto, Slashes Bolsonaro Coup Sentence

Brazil's Congress on Thursday voted to overturn President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's veto of a bill that sharply reduces former President Jair Bolsonaro's 27-year prison sentence for plotting a post-2022 election coup. The decision follows a separate setback for Lula this week, when the Senate rejected his Supreme Court nominee, and underscores gr…

U.S. Treasury Sanctions Ex-President Kabila Over Support for Rebel Coalition

U.S. Treasury Sanctions Ex-President Kabila Over Support for Rebel Coalition

The U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control has announced sanctions on former Democratic Republic of the Congo president Joseph Kabange Kabila for his role in supporting armed groups seeking to overthrow the current DRC government. The measures target Kabila's ties to the March 23 Movement (M23) and the Congo River Allian…

Goldman Sachs Says March Budget Strength Could Prompt South Africa Rating Upgrades

Goldman Sachs Says March Budget Strength Could Prompt South Africa Rating Upgrades

Goldman Sachs argues that South Africa's fiscal results for the 2025/26 year — highlighted by March budget data showing revenue ahead of prior estimates and expenditures in line — increase the likelihood of positive credit actions from major agencies. The bank expects upgrades from the current BB median toward BB+ over the next year and flags immin…

Meta’s Bigger Bet on Infrastructure Tests Market Patience

Meta’s Bigger Bet on Infrastructure Tests Market Patience

Meta raised its long-term capital expenditure outlook even after a first-quarter revenue beat, prompting a steep share decline as investors weigh a large, fast-escalating infrastructure bet with an uncertain payoff and no cloud business to absorb costs. Alphabet also lifted its capex guidance on the same day.

ECB's Rate Path Uncertain as Iran War and Energy Costs Weigh on Growth

ECB's Rate Path Uncertain as Iran War and Energy Costs Weigh on Growth

The European Central Bank kept its main interest rate at 2% and emphasized the trade-off between containing inflation and protecting growth as energy costs rise due to the Iran war. Money markets trimmed expectations for three quarter-point hikes this year, putting the odds on at least two increases beginning in June, while bond yields and the euro…

June ECB Hike Seen as Probable Unless Energy Prices Ease or Iran Conflict Ends

June ECB Hike Seen as Probable Unless Energy Prices Ease or Iran Conflict Ends

European Central Bank policymakers are expected to lift interest rates in June unless energy price pressures abate and hostilities in Iran conclude. ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated the bank will reassess economic projections over the coming six weeks before deciding, while sources familiar with private discussions said a rate increase is …

Poll of Analysts Sees Russian Key Rate Falling to 12% by End of 2026

Poll of Analysts Sees Russian Key Rate Falling to 12% by End of 2026

A poll of 12 economists projects the central bank will lower its policy rate from 14.5% to 12% by the end of 2026 as officials seek to stimulate investment following a surprise contraction in the first quarter. Despite the quarterly decline, forecasters lifted their 2026 growth estimate to 1.0% from 0.8%.

Major Central Banks Hold Rates but Signal Hikes Could Be Imminent

Major Central Banks Hold Rates but Signal Hikes Could Be Imminent

Several principal central banks left policy rates unchanged this week while warning that renewed upward pressure on energy prices linked to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran could force them to raise borrowing costs in the near term. Policymakers across the G10 signalled heightened vigilance, with some explicitly flagging the possibility of imminent i…

FCC Revamps Satellite Spectrum Rules to Boost Space-Based Broadband

FCC Revamps Satellite Spectrum Rules to Boost Space-Based Broadband

The Federal Communications Commission has approved a rule change replacing the Equivalent Power Flux Density (EPFD) framework with performance-based protection criteria for geostationary orbit (GSO) satellites. The update reflects modern satellite sharing capabilities such as adaptive coding and modulation and is projected by the FCC to deliver mor…

Lagarde Says 1970s-Style Stagflation Does Not Describe Current Euro Zone Outlook

Lagarde Says 1970s-Style Stagflation Does Not Describe Current Euro Zone Outlook

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde rejected comparisons between the current euro zone economy and 1970s stagflation, saying the historical conditions do not match today’s monetary and fiscal framework. The ECB left interest rates unchanged and warned that upside inflation risks and downside growth risks have become more pronounced, w…

House GOP Faces Choice on DHS Funding as Secret Service, TSA Near Funding Cutoff

House GOP Faces Choice on DHS Funding as Secret Service, TSA Near Funding Cutoff

With financing for the U.S. Secret Service and airport security poised to lapse, House Republicans will attempt to advance legislation to restore funding for Department of Homeland Security agencies that have faced a partial shutdown for nearly 11 weeks. The House late Wednesday approved a $70 billion budget measure to fund ICE and Border Patrol, w…

Australian Home Price Gains Slow to Year-Long Low as Sydney and Melbourne Fall

Australian Home Price Gains Slow to Year-Long Low as Sydney and Melbourne Fall

Australia's national dwelling values rose 0.3% in April to a record median of A$940,048, the slowest monthly increase since January last year, as sharper borrowing costs and the Middle East conflict pushed prices in Sydney and Melbourne into declines. Other capitals, including Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide, continued to post positive monthly gains, …

Trump Urges ABC to Remove Jimmy Kimmel After First Lady's Public Criticism

Trump Urges ABC to Remove Jimmy Kimmel After First Lady's Public Criticism

President Donald Trump on Thursday renewed a public call for ABC to terminate late-night host Jimmy Kimmel, posting on Truth Social that the network should move swiftly. The president's remarks followed First Lady Melania Trump's public urging that ABC remove Kimmel after a monologue he delivered prior to a shooting at a high-profile Washington din…

Mexico's GDP Falls 0.8% in Q1, Broader Contraction Across All Sectors

Mexico's GDP Falls 0.8% in Q1, Broader Contraction Across All Sectors

Preliminary data from Mexico’s national statistics agency INEGI show the economy contracted 0.8% in the first quarter versus the prior three months, exceeding forecasts of a 0.5% decline and reversing the prior quarter's revised 0.9% expansion. All three major activity groups registered sequential contractions, while annual growth for the quarter w…

ECB Keeps Rates Steady, Flags Rising Inflationary Risks and Possible Summer Hike

ECB Keeps Rates Steady, Flags Rising Inflationary Risks and Possible Summer Hike

The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged as expected, while the statement highlighted mounting inflationary pressures and increased the likelihood of several rate increases this year, with markets viewing a June move as the probable first step. Euro currency and regional assets showed limited reaction, while money markets expect at l…