Economy April 30, 2026 10:12 AM

Australian Home Price Gains Slow to Year-Long Low as Sydney and Melbourne Fall

Higher borrowing costs and geopolitical-driven energy shocks weigh on demand while smaller capitals keep growing

By Derek Hwang
Australian Home Price Gains Slow to Year-Long Low as Sydney and Melbourne Fall

Australia's national dwelling values rose 0.3% in April to a record median of A$940,048, the slowest monthly increase since January last year, as sharper borrowing costs and the Middle East conflict pushed prices in Sydney and Melbourne into declines. Other capitals, including Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide, continued to post positive monthly gains, supported by tighter inventories and demand among lower-priced segments.

Key Points

  • National home prices rose 0.3% in April to a record median value of A$940,048 ($668,844), the slowest growth since January last year.
  • Sydney and Melbourne saw prices fall 0.6% in April as advertised listings climbed above five-year averages; Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide posted positive monthly gains.
  • The RBA raised rates in February and March to 4.1%, reversing two of last year’s rate cuts; higher interest rates and rising energy costs from the Middle East conflict have reduced sentiment and added downside pressure on the market.

SYDNEY, May 1 - Australia's housing market lost momentum in April, with national prices rising at the slowest monthly rate in more than a year as higher borrowing costs and fallout from conflict in the Middle East put downward pressure on the largest cities.

Data from Cotality showed national home prices increasing 0.3% in April, taking the median dwelling value to a record A$940,048 ($668,844). That monthly rise marks the weakest pace of growth since January last year, just before the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) began a series of rate cuts that subsequently supported house prices.

The RBA has moved to lift the cash rate twice so far this year - in February and March - taking it to 4.1%. Those moves have reversed two of the three rate cuts implemented last year as policymakers aim to rein in inflation.

While national figures were positive, the two largest markets saw outright falls. House prices in Sydney and Melbourne both declined 0.6% in April as listing volumes increased. Advertised listings in Sydney were recorded at 9.4% above the five-year average, and in Melbourne they were 2.2% above the five-year average, contributing to softer price dynamics in those cities.

By contrast, other state capitals posted firmer monthly outcomes. Perth led gains with a 2.1% rise in prices, while Brisbane and Adelaide recorded increases of 1.1% and 1.2% respectively. These cities benefited from relatively low inventory levels that supported buyer competition in those markets.

Growth was not uniform across the market. Cotality noted that activity and price increases were concentrated in lower-priced segments, driven in part by demand from first-home buyers.

"The housing market was losing momentum from late last year as affordability and serviceability constraints weighed on demand," said Tim Lawless, Cotality's research director. "Now we have the additional downside pressure of higher interest rates, sentiment has fallen off a cliff, and rising inflation is set to drive the cost of debt even higher."

The report also highlighted the broader economic backdrop. The conflict in the Middle East has pushed energy costs sharply higher, denting consumer and business sentiment and clouding the domestic economic outlook.

For reference on currency conversions, the data used an exchange rate of $1 = 1.4055 Australian dollars.


Impacted sectors: mortgage lenders and housing market participants are sensitive to higher borrowing costs; energy cost increases affect household budgets and business outlook; regional housing markets and construction sectors may see divergent demand based on local inventory conditions.

Risks

  • Higher interest rates increase mortgage serviceability constraints, which could further damp housing demand - impacting mortgage lenders, real estate and household sectors.
  • Rising energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict are hurting consumer and business sentiment, which could weaken broader economic activity and reduce housing demand.
  • Rising advertised listings in major cities increase supply pressure and may prolong price weakness in Sydney and Melbourne, affecting local property markets and related services.

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