Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,187 total articles
The federal government will distribute $500 payments to almost one million people across 30 states that use the federal health insurance exchange, according to the administration. Officials say excess user fees collected under the Affordable Care Act were passed through to consumers as higher premiums and produced an unnecessary surplus; refunds ar…
New data showing a 5.4% year-on-year rise in U.S. producer prices and steady weekly unemployment claims have increased market expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise short-term interest rates at its September meeting. While the headline PPI matched economists' forecasts, components such as transportation and warehousing costs, hospital serv…
A pickup in energy costs and ongoing inflationary pressures have prompted major central banks to adopt a more hawkish posture. The European Central Bank raised its policy rate by 25 basis points this week, and markets see a meaningful chance of tightening at upcoming Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan meetings. Central banks across the Group of 10 n…
U.S. existing home sales dropped 2.0% in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million units, the weakest pace since June 2025. Higher mortgage rates, themselves tracking rising long-term Treasury yields amid geopolitical and fiscal concerns, continued to damp buyer activity even as inventories rose to the highest level since November…
U.S. equity futures opened lower after a Labor Department report showed producer prices accelerated in August, reinforcing concerns that inflationary pressures are intensifying. At the same time, oil jumped above $100 a barrel as Middle East tensions continued to impede key shipping routes, driving expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise ra…
The European Central Bank increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% - the second rise this year - citing an energy-driven uptick in inflation linked to the Iran war. ECB President Christine Lagarde said near-term growth has improved thanks to resilient private consumption and public spending, but warned that inflationary pressures from …
Saudi Arabia reported a steep fall in crude oil production in August, down to 6.238 million barrels per day - the lowest monthly output since 1990. The kingdom attributed the decline to disruptions tied to renewed regional hostilities, with exports falling sharply and evidence that inventories were tapped to maintain market supply.
Algeria has severed diplomatic ties with the United Arab Emirates, with state media reporting the move came after authorities said they had exhausted all means to preserve bilateral relations. The government offered no specific justification. Algerian media earlier accused the UAE of trying to sow regional discord, and tensions have escalated since…
U.S. equity futures rose modestly on Thursday as investors balanced renewed Middle East tensions and higher oil prices against an active corporate earnings slate and an important central bank policy meeting in Europe. President Donald Trump said the Iran conflict would end after the November midterms, even as senior advisers warned it could persist…
President Donald Trump has linked a $5,000 dividend for every U.S. adult to a Republican victory in the upcoming midterm elections. The proposal introduces significant questions regarding fiscal sustainability, debt financing, and broader macroeconomic conditions, particularly as markets navigate a deteriorating budget outlook and elevated consumer…
The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts record domestic dry natural gas production and consumption in 2026 and 2027, accompanied by rising liquefied natural gas exports, a modest inventory surplus entering winter and declines in coal output and fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions across the period.
Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte said FICO is maintaining elevated costs for consumers and signaled his agency is exploring changes to how credit reports are used to lower borrowing expenses. Pulte reiterated plans to meet with the three major credit bureaus and reminded that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will now accept additional s…
Germany's energy regulator reported that the opening auction for 4.5 gigawatts of gas-fired power capacity was oversubscribed, with bids surpassing the capacity on offer. The government is tendering a total of 11 gigawatts in multiple rounds, with awards from this first round expected by early November. The scheme, approved by the European Commissi…
The United Arab Emirates and Germany will sign investment, artificial intelligence and energy agreements worth several billion dollars on Thursday, UAE minister of state Lana Nusseibeh said in Berlin. The pacts are expected to establish a technology cooperation framework and expand collaboration on renewable energy, hydrogen and energy efficiency, …
The National Bank of Poland left its policy rate unchanged at 3.75%, responding to rising commodity and energy costs and a recent uptick in inflation. Incoming data showing annual inflation of 3.4% in August and a fiscal outlook that keeps deficit ratios elevated contributed to a cautious stance from policymakers.
The National Bank of Poland left its main interest rate unchanged at 3.75% on Wednesday. The Monetary Policy Council's move matched a Reuters survey of 29 economists. Annual inflation rose to 3.4% in August, approaching the central bank's 1.5% to 3.5% target ceiling. ING Poland's chief economist said the balance of inflation risks has moved higher,…
A Reuters poll of economists conducted Sept. 4-9 finds most forecasters expect the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% at its Sept. 15-16 meeting and to keep it there through the rest of the year. However, confidence in that outlook has fallen since the Fed chair adopted a low-guidance stance, and a larger number of respon…
Mexico's annual inflation rose to 3.26% in August, slightly below market expectations, while core inflation that excludes food and fuel cooled compared with July but remained elevated at 3.88% year-on-year. The central bank left its policy rate at 6.5% in August and officials signalled caution, saying recent improvements in inflation are not yet br…
Official data released Wednesday show Mexico's headline annual inflation rose to 3.26% in the year through August, up from 3.12% in July but slightly below Reuters poll expectations of 3.3%. Monthly consumer prices increased 0.20% in June following a 0.03% rise the prior month, compared with economists' expectations of 0.25%. The core index rose 0.…
U.S. exchange-traded fund investors have steered flows toward short- and intermediate-maturity bonds as a global repricing of government yields raises interest-rate risk. Rising oil prices, concerns about government borrowing and heavy capital demand have pushed longer-term yields higher across major markets, prompting a preference for shorter-dura…
The European Commission on Wednesday proposed a single EU-wide public procurement regulation and a digital procurement platform designed to simplify tendering, curb excessive paperwork and give authorities more room to factor in strategic concerns such as supply-chain resilience and foreign influence. The plan would replace three existing directive…
U.S. stock index futures opened cautiously as Brent crude moved back above $100 a barrel for the first time since July, driven by an intensifying Middle East conflict. Elevated oil prices, a Fed leadership emphasis on inflation control, and expectations for a September rate rise have weighed on sentiment. Investors are also watching a Treasury buyb…
A Reuters poll conducted Sept. 3-9 of 44 economists projected India’s annual consumer price inflation (CPI) to rise to 4.80% in August from 4.45% in July, marking a 20-month high and the third straight month above the Reserve Bank of India’s 4% medium-term target. The result is attributed to elevated food prices after an erratic monsoon and to high…
The yen carry trade - borrowing low-cost yen to purchase higher-yielding assets elsewhere - has been a staple of global market flows for years. Recent gains in the yen, driven by prospects of faster-than-expected Bank of Japan rate hikes, have prompted questions about the trade's durability. While the trade's size is hard to pin down, proxies point…
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it launched ballistic missiles at a U.S. military base near Al Azraq in eastern Jordan and carried out attacks on vessels in and around the Strait of Hormuz, following U.S. strikes that destroyed five Iranian oil tankers. Jordan reported most incoming missiles were intercepted with no casualties, while …
