Stock Markets July 9, 2026 02:50 PM

Goldman Tightens Rules, Bans Staff From Most Prediction-Market Bets

New personal trading policy bars employees from event contracts tied to companies, elections and market moves — sports and entertainment wagers excepted

By Leila Farooq
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Goldman Sachs has revised its personal trading policy to prohibit employees from participating in most prediction-market trading. The rule excludes only sports and entertainment wagers and explicitly bans event contracts tied to specific companies, including Goldman Sachs itself, as well as bets on elections and financial market performance. Violations may lead to account closure, termination, or forfeiture of profits above $200.

Goldman Tightens Rules, Bans Staff From Most Prediction-Market Bets
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Key Points

  • Goldman Sachs revised its personal trading policy to ban most prediction-market trading by employees, allowing only sports and entertainment wagers.
  • The policy explicitly prohibits event contracts tied to specific companies, including Goldman Sachs, as well as bets on elections and financial market performance.
  • Violations may lead to account closure, termination of employment, or requirement to forfeit profits above $200; the bank declined to comment on the changes.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has updated its internal trading guidelines to restrict staff participation in the growing prediction-market space, permitting only sports and entertainment wagers under the revised policy. The New York-based bank retooled its personal trading rules to address regulatory concerns tied to event-based betting.

Under the change, employees are barred from placing trades on event contracts that concern particular companies, with Goldman Sachs specifically included among those companies. The policy also disallows wagers on election outcomes and bets tied to the performance of financial markets, according to a document reviewed by Bloomberg News.

The bank says repeated breaches of the rule could trigger disciplinary action up to termination or result in the closure of an employee’s trading account. In certain cases, Goldman Sachs may require employees who made prohibited trades to surrender any profits that exceed $200 or to donate those amounts to charity.

A Goldman Sachs spokesperson declined to comment on the policy.


Policy changes of this nature reflect the institution’s effort to limit staff exposure to event-based instruments that could raise regulatory or conduct concerns. The update narrows the types of prediction-market activity permitted for personnel, carving out only sports and entertainment bets while sweeping in corporate-specific contracts, electoral predictions and market performance wagers.

Employees subject to the rule face clear consequences for violations: potential account closure, employment termination, and financial remediation of gains above a modest threshold. The document that details these measures was reviewed by Bloomberg News, which reported the policy adjustments.

The bank declined to provide additional comment beyond confirming the new restrictions.


Sector impacts: The policy affects staff at financial institutions and touches regulatory and compliance functions within the banking sector. It also has implications for prediction-market platforms and market integrity oversight.

Risks

  • Enforcement risk for employees: breaches of the new policy could lead to termination or trading account closure, affecting individuals in the banking sector.
  • Compliance and regulatory risk for the bank and staff: the move signals heightened scrutiny of event-based betting products and their intersection with employee trading.
  • Business impact for prediction-market platforms: restrictions at major financial firms could reduce participation from institutional employees, potentially affecting market liquidity.

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