Stock Markets May 13, 2026 06:11 AM

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Tick Higher as Investors Eye Inflation Data and Trump’s China Trip

Markets recover from prior session’s losses amid geopolitical uncertainty, softening oil and chip-stock stabilization

By Maya Rios SNDK MU WDC

S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose on May 13 as traders awaited key U.S. economic releases and U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to China. Optimism for a durable Iran peace deal faded as talks stalled. Oil retreated after a three-day gain, and memory-chip stocks led a premarket rebound following a recent selloff. Fed policy expectations shifted slightly after Kevin Warsh was confirmed to the Federal Reserve board and could be considered for the chair role as Jerome Powell’s term approaches its Friday expiration.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Tick Higher as Investors Eye Inflation Data and Trump’s China Trip
SNDK MU WDC

Key Points

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose on May 13 as investors awaited U.S. economic data and President Trump’s China trip; Dow E-minis fell 149 points (-0.3%).
  • Oil prices fell, ending a three-session rally, while memory-chip stocks stabilized in premarket trading with notable gains for Micron, Western Digital, Seagate and SanDisk.
  • Monetary policy expectations shifted after Kevin Warsh’s confirmation to the Fed board; markets largely priced out a rate cut this year and increased the odds of a December hike to over 28%.

May 13 - S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures moved higher on Wednesday, regaining ground lost in the previous session as market participants prepared for important economic data and U.S. President Donald Trump’s trip to China. At the same time, hopes for a sustained peace agreement with Iran diminished after talks between the parties reached a stalemate.

President Trump said ahead of the summit in Beijing that he did not expect to ask Chinese President Xi Jinping to intervene in the conflict with Tehran. He added that he would press Xi to "open up" China to U.S. businesses and named Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang as one of the corporate leaders joining his delegation. Officials from the two largest economies are also exploring the possibility of extending a truce on Chinese rare earth export curbs.

Energy markets offered some relief to investors as oil prices declined on the day, ending a three-session rally. Nonetheless, market participants remain cautious that a prolonged conflict could sustain higher energy costs, which in turn would add to inflationary pressures and complicate the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.

Monetary policy developments also weighed on sentiment. The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh to the Federal Reserve board on Tuesday, and the board could move to approve him as chair as soon as Wednesday. Jerome Powell’s term is set to expire on Friday. Markets have largely priced out a Fed rate cut this year, while the probability of at least a 25-basis-point hike at the December meeting has risen to more than 28%, up from below 22% earlier in the week, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.

At 05:35 a.m. ET, futures were mixed: Dow E-minis were down 149 points, or 0.3%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 16.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis had gained 239.75 points, or 0.82%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite had pulled back from record highs on Tuesday after U.S. consumer inflation showed its steepest monthly increase in three years for April.

Investors are also awaiting producer price index data due at 8:30 a.m. ET for signs of mounting input-cost pressures. Retail sales figures later in the week will be watched for evidence that elevated gasoline and energy costs are beginning to constrain other areas of consumer spending.

Chip stocks, which had pressured markets in the previous session, showed signs of stabilization on Wednesday with memory-chip makers leading the rebound in premarket trading. Micron Technology rose 6.2%, Western Digital increased 3.1%, Seagate climbed 2.8% and SanDisk jumped 5.3% in premarket activity.


Market context

  • Equities: S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures recovered losses, while Dow futures lagged.
  • Energy: Oil fell after three straight sessions of gains, providing some easing of inflationary concerns.
  • Semiconductors: Memory-chip names led a premarket rebound following a recent selloff.

What’s next

  • Producer price data at 8:30 a.m. ET will be monitored for input-cost trends.
  • Retail sales later in the week will be assessed for the impact of rising gasoline and energy costs on broader consumer spending.
  • Market attention will remain on developments from President Trump’s China visit, including trade and rare earth export discussions.

Risks

  • Escalation or a prolonged Iran conflict could sustain higher energy prices, increasing inflationary pressures and complicating Fed decisions - impacts energy and broader inflation-sensitive sectors.
  • Stronger-than-expected producer price inflation could signal building input-cost pressures and weigh on equities, particularly interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as financials and real estate.
  • Potential changes in Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction, including a possible shift toward a more hawkish stance, introduce uncertainty for interest-rate-sensitive markets and the overall economy.

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