Stock Markets May 14, 2026 03:18 AM

European Shares Tick Up as Trump Holds First Talks with Xi in China

Markets watch diplomatic discussions for signs on trade and Iran as oil prices remain elevated and select European corporates report mixed news

By Nina Shah

European equity indices advanced modestly on Thursday as investors monitored U.S. President Donald Trump’s meetings in China with President Xi Jinping. Early European bourses posted small gains, while markets assessed the potential for progress on trade, the prospect of talks related to the Iran war, and the impact of higher oil prices. Corporate headlines were mixed, with Burberry cutting its dividend outlook and Allegro upgrading guidance for its international unit.

European Shares Tick Up as Trump Holds First Talks with Xi in China

Key Points

  • European indices posted modest gains: Stoxx 600 +0.4%, Dax +1.1%, CAC 40 +0.6%, FTSE 100 largely unchanged - market breadth showed mild uplift.
  • Diplomatic talks between the U.S. and China focused on trade progress but included warnings that U.S. pressure on Taiwan could strain relations - markets monitored implications for global trade and policy risk.
  • Rising oil prices, with Brent above $105 a barrel versus roughly $70 pre-war, are elevating inflation concerns and posing downside growth risks; energy and inflation-sensitive sectors are particularly affected.

European stocks climbed broadly on Thursday, with investors closely following developments from the U.S. President’s trip to China and related diplomatic discussions.

By 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), the pan-European Stoxx 600 had risen 0.4%. Germany’s Dax led gains among major bourses, advancing 1.1%, while France’s CAC 40 was up 0.6%. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was largely unchanged over the same interval.

The first round of talks between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping concluded during a two-day summit. Xi told state-controlled media that trade negotiations were progressing, but he also warned that U.S. pressure over Taiwan had the potential to undermine bilateral relations.

Market attention extended to whether the leaders discussed the war in Iran. Some analysts have proposed that President Trump might try to enlist China - a major importer of Iranian oil - as a guarantor of any durable peace arrangement, though there is no clear indication that Beijing would accept such a role.

Investors are weighing these diplomatic signals against an already uncertain global growth backdrop, complicated by continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz. That waterway, off Iran’s southern coast, handles roughly one-fifth of global crude flows, and its effective shuttering has contributed to elevated oil prices.

Brent crude futures were trading above $105 a barrel, compared with a pre-war level near $70 a barrel. The jump in energy costs has amplified concerns about inflation and slower growth. "Higher energy prices come with softer growth and higher inflation," analysts at Morgan Stanley said in a note.

Alongside geopolitical developments, the European corporate earnings calendar continued to supply market-moving headlines. Luxury retailer Burberry saw its shares fall after its board announced it would not declare a dividend and cautioned about an uncertain macroeconomic environment for fiscal 2027.

By contrast, Polish e-commerce group Allegro raised its annual outlook for its international operations, a move that pushed the company’s shares higher.


Summary - investors reacted to diplomatic and geopolitical developments in China and the Gulf, while company-level results and guidance added idiosyncratic moves across equity names.

Risks

  • Escalation or persistence of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could keep oil elevated, pressuring inflation-sensitive sectors and weighing on consumer demand.
  • Geopolitical friction between the U.S. and China - particularly over Taiwan - could derail progress on trade talks and introduce further uncertainty across export-dependent industries.
  • Uncertainty around potential diplomatic roles for China in resolving the Iran conflict - including whether Beijing would act as a guarantor - leaves outcomes unclear for markets exposed to energy and geopolitical risk.

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