Economy May 14, 2026 12:36 AM

AI rally keeps markets buoyant as Trump-Xi summit dominates headlines

Investors look past higher-rate worries and oil above $100 as summit in Beijing offers limited detail

By Hana Yamamoto

Global markets remain driven by a record-setting rally focused on artificial intelligence, even as investors contend with persistent inflation risks, oil trading above $100 a barrel and stalled efforts to end the Iran war. A high-profile summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping in Beijing has so far produced few specifics, but low expectations mean little immediate market disappointment. Asian equity benchmarks, led by chip-heavy markets, continue to outperform, while attention in Europe turns to UK economic data that could show the fallout from the Iran conflict.

AI rally keeps markets buoyant as Trump-Xi summit dominates headlines

Key Points

  • A powerful AI-driven rally is sustaining equity markets despite concerns about higher interest rates, oil above $100 a barrel and geopolitical friction from the Iran war - sectors impacted include technology, semiconductors and broader equities.
  • The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has produced limited detail so far; the talks cover a fragile trade truce, the Iran war and U.S. arms sales to Taiwan - this diplomatic event is relevant to trade-sensitive sectors and multinational corporations.
  • Asian markets, led by chipmakers and hyperscaler demand, continue to outperform with South Korea's KOSPI and Taiwan near record highs and Japan's Nikkei at a fresh peak; SK Hynix has been a standout performer since 2025.

Global equity markets extended gains as the AI-led rally continued to set new records, with investors largely unfazed by the prospect that central banks may keep interest rates elevated to fight inflation. Other potential drag factors - oil above $100 a barrel and a stalled diplomatic process to end the Iran war - have not halted momentum in risk assets.

Attention has also focused on a high-stakes bilateral summit in Beijing between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping. The two-day talks began with a ceremonial welcome at the Great Hall of the People, where Xi received Trump on the red carpet and the leaders exchanged warm handshakes and smiles. During opening remarks Trump described Xi as a great leader and a friend. The agenda is understood to include their delicate trade truce, the Iran war and U.S. arms sales to Taiwan.

Despite the political theatre, the summit has so far revealed few concrete outcomes. With market expectations muted, even a continuation of the status quo could be read favorably by investors.

Trump arrived in Beijing accompanied by a delegation of chief executives aiming to address bilateral frictions, among them Elon Musk and Jensen Huang, the chief executive of Nvidia. For now, though, AI remains the dominant investment narrative and Asian markets are leading the advance.

South Korea's KOSPI and Taiwan's equity market are trading just below the record highs they reached earlier this week, while Japan's Nikkei has marked a fresh all-time peak. The advance in all three indexes has been powered largely by speculative and fundamental bets on artificial intelligence, with Asian semiconductor manufacturers reporting record profits from orders by hyperscaler customers that are expanding AI infrastructure.

SK Hynix stands out in the rally: described as easily the best performing major stock since 2025, it is reportedly on the verge of joining the trillion dollar club. The stock has climbed more than 1,000% since the start of 2025.

European markets will be watching a slate of UK releases that could shed light on the economic hit from the Iran war, which began at the end of February. Investors expect the data to clarify damage to activity and its implications for sterling and government bonds, both of which remain under pressure.

Domestic politics in the UK adds to the backdrop for markets. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has resisted calls to resign after his party suffered one of its worst results in last week’s local and regional elections.


Key scheduled developments that could influence markets:

  • UK GDP estimate for March and first quarter
  • UK industrial and construction output data for March

Risks

  • Geopolitical risk from the unresolved Iran war could weigh on oil-linked sectors and increase volatility in energy and bond markets.
  • Persistently higher interest rates to combat inflation could pressure fixed income and rate-sensitive sectors, potentially tempering equity valuations.
  • Limited progress or unexpected developments from the Trump-Xi summit could unsettle trade-dependent industries and markets if clarity on trade or arms sales does not emerge.

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