Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
4,164 total articles
A sharp increase in nitrogen-based fertilizer prices, led by a more than 50% jump in urea costs, is likely to push global food inflation higher over the coming year and beyond. Capital Economics warns the shock - stemming from the Middle East conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz - will unfold gradually, with the heaviest burdens falling on …
A sudden security alarm and loud, concussive noise inside the White House Correspondents’ Dinner prompted an emergency evacuation and a rapid Secret Service response that led to the President being escorted from the ballroom and the apprehension of a suspect. Officials have provided few details while the nature of the disturbance remains under inve…
A coordinated sequence of interest-rate decisions from major central banks this week is expected to produce a broad holding pattern. Officials from the Federal Reserve to the Bank of England appear set to pause further hikes as they assess how volatility linked to disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz is feeding through to input costs and inflation d…
A planned diplomatic mission by U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Pakistan was cancelled by President Trump after the White House labelled Tehran's initial proposal as "substandard." Officials say Iran submitted a subsequent, more promising offer that reportedly addresses nuclear weapon concerns, but entrenched mutual demands - notably…
Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, signaled a preference for using Trimmed PCE to evaluate inflation during a recent Congressional hearing. The choice has drawn criticism because Trimmed PCE sits below core PCE, which some say could be interpreted as limiting rate-cut flexibility. KB Securities analysts argue Warsh’s comments sounded h…
Tax season has delivered larger refunds compared with last year, but a surge in gasoline prices is cancelling much of that benefit. Goldman Sachs calculates that near-term real consumption growth will be weak as tax relief from last year’s fiscal package roughly offsets higher capital gains tax payments and rising energy costs create a sizable inco…
Italy’s parliament rejected an opposition-backed plan in February to create equal, non-transferable and fully paid parental leave for mothers and fathers. Despite the vote, fathers who post daily childcare routines online are helping reshape expectations about paternal involvement. The gap between five months of maternity leave and 10 days of pater…
Iran's Imam Khomeini International Airport reopened today with domestic services resuming, while U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff head to Pakistan for mediation efforts. Tehran says it will not meet directly with American officials and expects Pakistani intermediaries to relay observations. The diplomatic stalemate coincides with a near-…
The travel distribution landscape is shifting as major hotel groups and technology vendors move to connect inventories directly to AI platforms. While geopolitical concerns currently weigh on online travel agency shares, analysts warn that artificial intelligence could pose a material long-term threat if platform revenue models do not preserve comm…
The European Union this week approved a €90 billion ($105 billion) loan package to support Ukraine through the end of next year, stepping into a central financing role as U.S. backing recedes. Brussels officials and diplomats warn of an emerging fiscal gap and capability shortfalls that could require further funding rounds sooner than planned. Poli…
China's central bank has signaled a shift toward stricter internal oversight and regulatory discipline across the financial sector, explicitly warning against 'involution-style' competition. Governor Pan Gongsheng, after an internal policy meeting, said the People’s Bank of China will bolster compliance, enforce performance standards and continue t…
The White House said late on Thursday that President Donald Trump will address a cryptocurrency conference on Saturday at his private Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida. The event, which lists Trump as keynote speaker and limits attendance to the top 297 holders of a meme coin named $TRUMP, has prompted criticism from some Democratic senators w…
American Express reported first-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations as billed business grew 9% and overall revenue increased 10% on a foreign exchange-adjusted basis. Strong retail and airline spending among affluent customers helped push card use to a three-year peak, while the company kept credit provisions modest and reiterated it…
The European Central Bank meets next Thursday and is expected to hold its key rate at 2% after a temporary pullback in oil prices following an Iran war ceasefire. While the near-term inflation outlook has improved, elevated energy prices, weak business activity and unclear prospects for resumed flows through the Strait of Hormuz mean markets still …
Japan's core consumer price index rose 1.8% year-on-year in March, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a second month as fuel subsidies and softer food inflation countered energy-driven price pressures. Wholesale and services price gains, including a large jump in ocean freight costs after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, …
New budget projections and confidential estimates indicate that Greece will relinquish its position as the euro zone country with the largest public-debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of this year, as Italian debt is forecast to remain slightly higher under Rome’s multi-year fiscal plan. The shift reflects divergent trajectories: a notable decline in Gre…
U.S. Southern Command confirmed a strike on a vessel in the Eastern Pacific that killed two people, identifying the targets as 'male narco-terrorists' engaged in illicit trafficking. The operation is the latest in a series of strikes attributed to the Trump administration's counter-narcotics campaign, which the military says has killed more than 17…
China's Ministry of Commerce has warned that new bipartisan export-control legislation in the U.S. Congress, aimed at curbing advanced AI and semiconductor technologies, risks destabilizing global supply chains. The statement comes after the House Foreign Affairs Committee advanced bills including the Multilateral Alignment of Technology Controls o…
Deepening divisions inside Iran's leadership are undermining momentum toward a quick end to the Iran war. Pragmatic members of the Iranian delegation have indicated willingness to negotiate on key issues, including the nuclear program, but their proposals face public resistance from ultraconservatives and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC…
A surge in valuations for companies supplying hardware for artificial intelligence has lifted Taiwan’s stock market past the United Kingdom and pushed South Korea close behind. The shift reflects investor demand for leading-edge chipmakers and a widening capital flow into semiconductor-focused benchmarks, while European indices remain dominated by …
With tensions in the U.S.-Iran conflict potentially easing, market attention is returning to domestic politics ahead of the midterm elections. Analysts at Wolfe Research say President Donald Trump’s approval rating has come under renewed pressure amid the economic and social effects of the Iran conflict. Wolfe expects Democrats to win a solid House…
The U.S. State Department has instructed diplomats worldwide to raise alarms about what it characterizes as large-scale efforts by Chinese AI companies to appropriate intellectual property from American research labs through model "distillation." A diplomatic cable, first reported by Reuters, urges warnings to foreign counterparts and signals possi…
What began as headlines about a multibillion-dollar overhaul of two historic Federal Reserve buildings near the National Mall escalated into a criminal investigation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and then subsided when the U.S. Attorney in Washington closed the probe and referred the matter to the central bank's inspector general. The sequence moved f…
Brazilian authorities have ordered the blocking of 28 prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi, saying the sites do not meet betting regulations passed by Congress. Officials framed the action as a consumer-protection step tied to broader efforts to rein in public indebtedness and warned additional measures could be adopted.
Eminence Capital, a hedge fund founded by Ricky Sandler, is closing after 27 years and will return capital to its investors. In a letter to stakeholders, Sandler said the firm has struggled to apply its investment approach amid changing market conditions and an evolving market structure. He acknowledged recent underperformance and said the expense …
