Recession Odds Jump as Polymarket Flags 37% Chance; Yardeni Increases Meltdown Scenario
Market measures of a U.S. recession risk have risen sharply since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict, with prediction market Polymarket showing a 37% probability this morning. Equity futures slipped as strategists reassess the balance of scenarios for the U.S. economy, with Ed Yardeni markedly raising the chance of a 'Meltdown' that includes …