Economy May 18, 2026 06:46 AM

China's solar cell exports surge 60% in April despite end of tax refund

Shipments grew year-on-year to 1.34 billion cells worth $3.12 billion, while volume and monthly shipments cooled from March highs amid pre-policy buying

By Leila Farooq

China's outbound shipments of solar cells rose 60% year-on-year in April to 1.34 billion units, valued at $3.12 billion, according to customs data released Monday. Although exports expanded versus the prior year, monthly shipments and tonnage declined from March peaks, a drop analysts link in part to front-loading ahead of the elimination of an export tax refund on April 1. Country-level breakdowns are expected when customs releases more detailed data on Wednesday.

China's solar cell exports surge 60% in April despite end of tax refund

Key Points

  • April solar cell exports rose 60% year-on-year to 1.34 billion units, valued at $3.12 billion - impacts solar manufacturing and global renewable equipment markets.
  • Monthly shipments and tonnage fell from March peaks (1.71 billion cells in March; April at 1.34 billion; 1.78 million tons in March vs 1.16 million tons in April) - affects trade logistics and port activity.
  • Demand in April was led by Southeast Asia and Africa, and March's record totals were partially due to front-loading ahead of the April 1 cancellation of China's export tax refund - relevant to trade flows and procurement planning.

China's exports of solar cells continued to expand on a year-over-year basis in April, despite the government's recent removal of an export tax refund. Customs figures published on Monday show the country shipped 1.34 billion solar cells abroad in April, with the total value recorded at $3.12 billion compared with the same month a year earlier.

Measured against the previous month, April activity eased. China moved 1.34 billion cells in April, down from 1.71 billion in March. In raw weight terms, exports in April amounted to 1.16 million metric tons, below March's record level of 1.78 million tons.

Analysts cited demand from Southeast Asia and Africa as the primary drivers of the April shipments. They also pointed to a timing effect tied to policy change: March's unusually large totals were attributed in part to front-loading, with buyers accelerating imports to secure equipment before the government discontinued the export tax refund program on April 1.

The customs administration has signaled it will publish country-specific export data on Wednesday, which should offer more detail on destination markets and the geographic distribution of the April shipments.


Contextual notes

  • Customs data was released on Monday and shows a 60% year-on-year increase in April cell shipments.
  • April saw 1.34 billion cells exported, valued at $3.12 billion; these figures likely understate growth in energy output because advances in photovoltaic technology can raise power generation per cell.
  • Monthly and tonnage figures fell from March highs - April exports were 1.16 million metric tons versus March's 1.78 million tons - and the month-on-month cell count dropped from 1.71 billion in March to 1.34 billion in April.

What to watch next

Market participants will be looking for the upcoming country-specific customs release on Wednesday to see how shipment flows were distributed across markets. That breakdown will clarify the role of buyers in Southeast Asia and Africa in sustaining April's year-on-year growth.

Risks

  • Shipment volumes may show volatility in coming months due to the timing effects induced by the tax refund removal - this uncertainty affects solar manufacturing, traders, and logistics providers.
  • Detailed destination data is pending the customs administration's country-specific release; lack of that breakdown limits clarity on which markets sustained April's growth - this creates uncertainty for regional trade and market participants.
  • Reported cell counts may understate energy output growth because improvements in photovoltaic technology increase power per cell; this limits direct comparison of shipment counts to generation capacity growth.

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