Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,913 total articles
The Bipartisan Policy Center projects the U.S. Treasury could need to employ extraordinary accounting steps as early as next year to prevent a default. The report estimates the statutory debt limit will be reached between late winter and mid-summer of 2027, after which the Treasury may have an additional six to nine months of flexibility before a d…
Senate Republicans will confront the disposition of President Trump’s sidelined $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund during a prolonged voting session that precedes a decision on a $70 billion bill to finance U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol. Democrats plan an amendment to eliminate the fund, while some Republicans are p…
June 4 (Reuters) - John Bolton, a former U.S. national security adviser and vocal critic of President Donald Trump, is reported to be preparing to plead guilty to a charge related to the retention of sensitive national security documents and to pay a fine exceeding $2 million. Court filings indicate a scheduled appearance on June 26 to enter a new …
The European Union has reiterated that a prospective trade agreement with the United States must conform to the Turnberry parameters, which set a 15% all-inclusive tariff ceiling, EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said after an OECD ministerial meeting. His remarks come amid a U.S. proposal to levy tariffs of up to 12.5% on imports from 60 count…
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday unanimously backed the Securities and Exchange Commission’s ability to recover illegal profits through disgorgement, sustaining a lower-court ruling in a case brought by defendant Ongkaruck Sripetch. The decision leaves intact long-standing judicial and statutory foundations for disgorgement and resolves a central…
The International Atomic Energy Agency has told member states that Iran must promptly provide information on its enriched uranium following military strikes on its nuclear sites in June 2025. A confidential IAEA report says the agency has not received required information, has been denied access to most facilities except Bushehr, and cannot verify …
Mexico's finance minister signaled that the country's economy could surpass the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's (OECD) most recent growth forecast, citing an upcoming public investment programme focused on infrastructure and government steps to control inflation. The OECD projects 0.8% growth for 2026 and 1.8% for 2027, whi…
Wolfe Research strategist Tobin Marcus says the effective U.S. tariff burden on imports has eased sharply this year, providing an under-the-radar boost to growth alongside AI-driven capital spending and consumer tax cuts. Marcus cautions, however, that a recent administration proposal to restore permanent tariffs under Section 301 - including a rat…
Options activity this week shows sizable bets that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will rise into the mid-4% range by late July. Two large August put purchases target levels consistent with yields near 4.65% and 4.7%, with one trade showing a substantial increase in open interest that market participants interpret as newly established risk.
Discovery Global Holdings, a unit of Warner Bros. Discovery, arranged new seven-year term loans totaling $13 billion and 1.72 billion, and used the proceeds together with existing cash to fully retire a $15 billion non-investment grade leveraged bridge loan dated June 26, 2025. The dollar loans carry a choice of Term SOFR plus 2.50% or base rate p…
The Czech National Bank increased the countercyclical capital buffer by 25 basis points to 1.5%, effective July 1, 2027, pointing to sustained growth in lending, higher household and corporate indebtedness, and rising apartment prices as reasons for the change. Mortgage lending rules and the systemic risk buffer remain unchanged.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has revoked federal certification for Hawaii's Medicaid Fraud Control Unit, cutting about $3 million in annual funding after the unit failed to secure criminal indictments or convictions between 2022 and 2025. The decision, communicated by HHS Inspector General March Bell, raises the prospect of broa…
The Kenya Bankers Association is urging the central bank to raise interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting to rein in accelerating inflation. KBA’s center for research highlighted that higher global oil prices have pushed headline inflation to 6.7% in May from 5.6% in April, placing it close to the central bank’s 2.5% to 7.5% target range ceil…
Morgan Stanley has indicated Zambia could raise its buyback offer for the 2053 bond to 85 cents on the dollar from an initial 78 cents, a move that might bring acceptances close to the 75% needed for a clean-up call. Analysts caution that an ad hoc group holding more than a quarter of the issue has opposed the original offer and may still consider …
A poll of foreign exchange analysts conducted May 29 to June 3 shows the Canadian dollar is expected to strengthen modestly against the U.S. dollar over the next year if Canada's economy stabilizes and there is headway in the review of the continental trade pact. Short-term gains hinge on resolution of trade uncertainties and an improvement in dome…
Overseas buyers have tilted toward Indian government paper maturing in under five years, seizing relative value as markets increasingly price a tightening cycle. Shorter-end yields spiked on inflation worries tied to the Iran war and energy, prompting a rotation that left long-end yields more exposed to future repricing.
An Istanbul court has handed Fenerbahce chairman Sadettin Saran a prison term of two years and six months after finding him guilty of encouraging illegal betting, a decision announced shortly before the club's scheduled congress to elect a new leader. The court also convicted his brother, Kenan Saran, on the same charge. Sadettin Saran has denied w…
The European Commission has postponed the full application of a revamped market risk capital regime for banks by three years. The delay, tied to the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) and Basel III standards, is intended to wait for clarity on how the United States and Britain will adopt equivalent international rules and to preserve a l…
Ireland’s modified domestic demand rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 even as headline GDP plunged 12.1%, the Central Statistics Office reported. The downward revision to GDP was larger than earlier estimates, while modified domestic demand - a measure intended to strip out multinational distortions - showed steady year-on-year growth.
Britain recorded a 7.1% rise in new car registrations in May, the strongest May performance since 2019, with battery electric vehicles surging 34.2%. Total registrations reached 160,662 and individual buyer registrations climbed 17.2%, supported by broader model ranges, competitive retail offers and government incentives such as the Electric Car Gr…
Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak acknowledged a drop in Russian oil production since the beginning of 2026, attributing the decline to unscheduled maintenance at a number of refineries. Novak said export infrastructure is being used to its full capacity and expects production to recover as refineries resume normal operations. The International…
The Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency will tell the House Financial Services Committee that rolling back some post-2008 rules can boost economic activity and foster innovation without adding undue risk. Regulators said they are shifting supervision to focus on material finan…
Bank of America anticipates the Bank of Canada will keep its policy rate at 2.25% at the June 10 decision and maintain that pause through the end of the year. The bank says the BoC will cite recent economic weakness - including two consecutive quarters of contraction and a soft labour market - and will balance that against the risk that elevated oi…
U.S. equity futures traded in a narrow range as investors parsed a fragile ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon and its implications for a potential U.S.-Iran agreement. Brent crude fell on hopes the truce could ease disruptions to global energy flows. Semiconductor optimism around artificial intelligence supported parts of the market even as Broad…
The Bank of Japan is expected to increase its short-term policy rate to 1% at the two-day policy meeting ending June 16 unless a marked escalation in the Middle East conflict disrupts markets, three sources said. Rising fuel costs from the ongoing energy shock have intensified inflationary pressures, prompting hawkish signals from BOJ officials and…
