Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

6,933 total articles

Euro-area inflation eases sharply in June, reducing near-term pressure on ECB

Euro-area inflation eases sharply in June, reducing near-term pressure on ECB

Euro zone inflation cooled more than anticipated in June, with headline consumer price growth sliding to 2.8% from 3.2% in May and core measures that exclude food and energy easing to 2.4% from 2.6%. Services inflation also moderated. The softer readings reduce immediate pressure on the European Central Bank to follow June's quarter-point rate rise…

Markets Heartened by Tech, Cautious Ahead of Warsh Remarks and Middle East Talks

Markets Heartened by Tech, Cautious Ahead of Warsh Remarks and Middle East Talks

U.S. equity futures drifted lower as markets prepared for remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at a central banking forum in Portugal, separate U.S. and Iranian discussions with mediators in Qatar, and the release of June manufacturing data. A stronger-than-expected jobs openings figure and mixed consumer indicators kept traders attentive t…

Euro-area factories finish quarter strong as cost pressures ease

Euro-area factories finish quarter strong as cost pressures ease

Euro zone manufacturing closed the quarter on a positive note with output growth extending into June, capping the strongest three-month run for the sector since early 2022. The S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.4 in June from 51.6 in May but stayed above the 50.0 growth threshold for a fifth month. Easing input and output inflatio…

Chile manufacturing output falls 7.2% in May, steepest decline since November 2022

Chile manufacturing output falls 7.2% in May, steepest decline since November 2022

Chile's manufacturing production contracted 7.2% year-on-year in May, the largest fall since November 2022, the national statistics agency INE reported on Tuesday. The decline exceeded economist expectations of a 2.5% decrease and was led by a 10.9% fall in food manufacturing driven by reduced fish production amid adverse weather. Copper output als…

Stalled Credit: A Million Longstanding Loans Hamper Greece’s Recovery

Stalled Credit: A Million Longstanding Loans Hamper Greece’s Recovery

A legacy of non-performing loans from Greece’s debt crisis continues to restrict access to credit for roughly 1.5 million adults and is weighing on broader recovery. Legal disputes, protected primary residences used as collateral, and delays in servicing transfers have left an estimated €75 billion tied up, with many cases still working their way t…

Markets Mull Big AI Gains as Tense U.S.-Iran Talks Stall

Markets Mull Big AI Gains as Tense U.S.-Iran Talks Stall

Asian markets began the new quarter with caution as investors absorb large prior-quarter gains and ongoing, unproductive U.S.-Iran negotiations. Strong underlying economic data in Japan and South Korea support risk assets, while rising U.S. Treasury yields and dollar strength - including a 40-year high versus the yen - complicate the outlook ahead …

Publicly Traded Credit Funds Slip Into Losses as Asset Writedowns and Costs Rise

Publicly Traded Credit Funds Slip Into Losses as Asset Writedowns and Costs Rise

An analysis of standardized balance sheet data from S&P Global Market Intelligence covering 53 publicly traded business development companies (BDCs) finds the group moved into aggregate unprofitability in the first quarter of 2026. The shift is driven by writedowns on underlying loan portfolios - notably exposures to software firms - rising interes…

Maltese Central Bank Chief Urges ECB to Hold Fire on Further Rate Hikes

Maltese Central Bank Chief Urges ECB to Hold Fire on Further Rate Hikes

Alexander Demarco, head of the Central Bank of Malta, cautioned that the European Central Bank should not hasten another interest-rate increase in light of a swift retreat in oil prices. Speaking at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, Demarco argued that lower energy costs weaken the immediate case for further tightening, while noting that the centra…

Yen Sinks to 40-Year Low as Treasury Yields Surge and Fed Rate Hike Bets Intensify

Yen Sinks to 40-Year Low as Treasury Yields Surge and Fed Rate Hike Bets Intensify

The U.S. dollar strengthened significantly, pushing the Japanese yen to a 40-year low of 162.77 in early Asian trading. This movement was driven by a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and increasing market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Traders are closely watching the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report and are positioni…

Brazil's Fiscal Outlook Worsens as Mandatory Spending Eclipses Revenue Gains

Brazil's Fiscal Outlook Worsens as Mandatory Spending Eclipses Revenue Gains

Brazil's Ministry of Finance has issued a stark warning that achieving its fiscal targets will become impossible starting in 2028 unless the government introduces new revenue-generating measures or spending cuts. Despite implementing maximum freezes on discretionary spending, the nation's mandatory expenditures, particularly pensions and benefits, …

US Commerce Department to Reverse Export Ban on Anthropic's Fable 5 AI Model

US Commerce Department to Reverse Export Ban on Anthropic's Fable 5 AI Model

The US Commerce Department is preparing to lift export restrictions on Anthropic's Fable 5 AI model, marking a rapid policy reversal less than three weeks after an initial order to suspend access. This decision follows a partial restoration of access for Anthropic's Claude Mythos 5 model to select domestic organizations, signaling a calibrated appr…

IMF Signals Delayed NZ Recovery and Persistent Inflation Amid Energy Shocks

IMF Signals Delayed NZ Recovery and Persistent Inflation Amid Energy Shocks

New Zealand's economic expansion has encountered significant delays due to the oil price shock and rising global uncertainty, according to a concluding statement from the International Monetary Fund's 2026 Article IV mission. While the recovery showed signs of gaining momentum in early 2026 after a prolonged period of sluggish growth, disruptions t…

Markets Close June with Strong Quarter Despite Monthly Losses

Markets Close June with Strong Quarter Despite Monthly Losses

U.S. and European equity markets closed the month with significant quarterly gains, driven largely by technology and artificial intelligence sectors, despite a difficult June for individual monthly performance. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded their strongest quarterly percentage increases in recent years, alongside Europe's STOXX 600. However, this…

Federal Court Halts Executive Mandate on Student Loan Eligibility Criteria

Federal Court Halts Executive Mandate on Student Loan Eligibility Criteria

A United States federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction blocking the Trump administration from implementing a recently finalized rule regarding the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program. U.S. District Judge Myong Joun ruled in favor of a coalition comprising Democratic-led states, municipal governments, and nonprofit organizations. The …

GOP Hardliners Halt House Defense Bill to Push Voter ID Measure

GOP Hardliners Halt House Defense Bill to Push Voter ID Measure

A group of hardline House Republicans blocked a procedural motion to begin debate on a major defense policy bill, insisting that the chamber advance stricter federal voter identification and citizenship requirements embodied in the SAVE America Act. The move exposed divisions within the GOP and left the defense measure stalled after a 224-198 vote.

FCC to advance 2027 Upper C-Band auction, plans 160 MHz for 5G use

FCC to advance 2027 Upper C-Band auction, plans 160 MHz for 5G use

The Federal Communications Commission will vote on July 22 on an order to hold a 2027 auction of 160 megahertz in the Upper C-Band, a mid-band slice prized for 5G. Legislation mandated at least 100 megahertz be auctioned; the FCC says it intends to free significantly more and expects the sale to generate billions of dollars. Proposed rules include …

ECB could pause rate hikes in July if Mideast tensions subside, says Dolenc

ECB could pause rate hikes in July if Mideast tensions subside, says Dolenc

ECB Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc said the bank could hold interest rates at its July meeting provided the situation in the Middle East does not deteriorate further and energy costs stay near current levels. He emphasized that a pause would be appropriate only if commodity market shocks do not spread and second-round inflation effects do n…