Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
Australia’s corporate regulator has told participants in the nation’s roughly A$200 billion private credit market they must ensure asset valuations reflect current global economic turmoil as they close accounts for the June 30 financial year end. A targeted ASIC survey of 22 managers overseeing 52 funds and A$76 billion in assets flagged higher def…
Chile's central bank adjusted its projections in the quarterly monetary policy report published today, cutting the 2026 GDP growth forecast to a range of 1% to 1.75% from 1.5% to 2.5% and lifting the 2027 forecast to 2% to 3% from 1.5% to 2.5%. The bank also raised its year-end inflation projection for 2026 to 4.2% while keeping inflation forecasts…
An ECB official said uncertainty remains high and flagged the need to monitor inflation expectations closely. While a repeat of 2022 is judged less likely, it has not been ruled out; oil prices have so far not reached previously feared levels. Second-round effects and weakening household price expectations are central concerns for monetary policy, …
Olaf Sleijpen, a Dutch policymaker at the European Central Bank, said on June 17 in London that a repeat of the 2022 inflation shock looks less likely now but cannot be ruled out. He highlighted the risk of second-round effects as the central monetary policy concern and noted that this week’s framework peace deal between the United States and Iran,…
Portfolio managers at Fidelity Investments say Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's debut press conference following a likely hold on policy rates could spark volatility in the bond market. The Fed is expected to keep its policy rate at 3.5%-3.75% and shift its statement to a neutral stance, removing the easing bias that has been in place since 2…
The Reserve Bank of India has announced a temporary removal of interest rate caps on specific foreign-currency and non-resident rupee deposits, effective immediately and in force until September 30, 2026. The amendment relaxes ceilings on new FCNR deposits with three- to five-year tenors and on NRE deposits of three years and longer, including rene…
Speaking at a G7 lunch in Evian-les-Bains, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said it serves both the United States and the European Union for EU citizens and firms to be able to use the best AI models safely. She welcomed U.S. measures to require responsible deployment of powerful models and noted parallels with aviation safety. He…
European Central Bank President warned that artificial intelligence, while unstoppable, could create new concentrations of risk within finance and has the potential to trigger market turmoil. Speaking in Venice, she outlined measures the ECB has taken and called for stronger oversight, a capital markets union and international governance to prevent…
Brazil’s central bank proxy for GDP, the IBC-Br index, rose 0.5% in April on a seasonally adjusted basis, a smaller increase than the 0.6% expansion economists had forecast. On an unadjusted basis the index rose 1.6% in the 12 months through April and was up 0.9% from the same month a year earlier. The central bank is expected to cut its benchmark …
Retail receipts in the United States climbed 0.9% in May, exceeding economists' expectations, with higher gasoline spending and the tail end of tax refunds buoying outlays. Core retail sales, which strip out volatile categories and best map to consumer spending in GDP, rose 0.7%. Policymakers and markets may take little immediate action from the re…
European Council President Antonio Costa has initiated outreach to the Kremlin to probe prospects for peace negotiations over the war in Ukraine. Preparatory phone calls were made by a senior adviser to a senior Russian official close to President Vladimir Putin. EU members are divided on how to approach talks, while Germany, France and the UK coor…
The International Energy Agency projects that the United Arab Emirates will produce 5.2 million barrels per day of oil in 2027, a rise of 730,000 bpd from the prior year. The forecast follows the UAE's decision to leave OPEC and clear plans from ADNOC to invest heavily in capacity and export infrastructure, including a West-East pipeline expansion …
The International Energy Agency reported that concerns about a jet fuel shortfall ahead of the summer travel season have diminished. The easing stems from rising refinery output in the U.S. and Europe, record American exports to Europe, above-average U.S. stockpiles and new supply flows from Nigeria, with production increases continuing into April …
SandboxAQ has reached a definitive agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce’s CHIPS Research and Development Office for a $500 million award to develop domestically produced materials used in semiconductor manufacturing. The funding will support work across four program areas and the firm will expand its ReAQT platform and Large Quantitative …
European Investment Bank President Nadia Calviño warned that the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU has been a major obstacle to unifying the bloc’s capital markets. Speaking to Bloomberg Television, she reiterated the EIB’s focus on the green transition, energy autonomy, and strengthening defense and technology capabilities, while expressing hope t…
Chinese regulators and the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced measures to ease public listings for startups in designated "future industries" and for large-model artificial intelligence companies on the STAR Market. The steps are presented as part of a broader push to channel long-term capital into strategic tech sectors amid heightened competition …
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures climbed modestly on Wednesday as semiconductor stocks recovered prior losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's first policy decision under Chair Kevin Warsh. Policymakers are widely expected to leave the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% at the FOMC meeting, with markets focused on Warsh's initial press conference and May re…
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte reported that European member states and Canada have stepped up their military force contributions to the alliance after the United States signaled a reduction in its pledged capabilities for a crisis. Rutte said the move reflects growing European and Canadian responsibility for collective security while affirming …
Israeli warplanes struck sites in southern Lebanon on Wednesday, targeting areas including Nabatieh al-Fawqa and the outskirts of Kfar Tebnit, while US President Donald Trump publicly urged Israeli restraint. The strikes come amid reciprocal attacks between Israel and Hezbollah that have complicated a recently announced US-Iran agreement and drawn …
A third oil tanker carrying Iranian crude has left Chabahar and crossed a line identified on US maps as the blockade boundary, according to vessel-tracking information. The Suezmax Sonia I is fully loaded and bound for Singapore, following two very large crude carriers that are transiting toward the southern tip of India. Iranian media report the U…
Economists advising large pools of capital are sharply divided over the Federal Reserve's next moves as volatile oil prices, an AI-driven investment surge, and resilient consumer activity create conflicting signals. Some forecasters expect soon-to-come rate cuts as real wages fall and inflation expectations remain anchored, while others see the pro…
At the G7 summit in Evian, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said President Donald Trump expressed approval for Canada’s recently announced agreement with China that limits Chinese electric vehicle imports through a quota and reduced tariff. The deal allows up to 49,000 Chinese-made EVs to enter Canada over a 12-month period at roughly a 6% tarif…
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at the conclusion of Kevin Warsh's inaugural meeting as chair, with the central bank's revised statement and quarterly projections likely to reflect rising concern over inflation linked to the Iran conflict even as oil prices retreat on hopes for a ceasefire. Officials may rem…
Bank of America projects the Bank of England will raise interest rates twice in 2026 - in July and September - driven by persistent energy price pressure and concern over second-round inflation effects. The bank then expects three quarterly cuts beginning in Q2 2027 that would take rates to 3.5%, while acknowledging risks of an earlier cut to 3.25%…
The United States has provided an $800 million contribution to the United Nations World Food Programme, replenishing funds after prior cuts and enabling the agency to expand food pre-positioning, cash-based assistance and sustain logistics in crisis-affected countries. The move comes amid record global hunger and a projected increase in the number …
