Stock Markets May 7, 2026 07:01 AM

McDonald’s U.S. same-store sales fall short as value offers fail to fully revive traffic

Low-priced promotions and limited-time items did not offset pressure from rising fuel and grocery costs, leaving quarterly U.S. comp sales below Street expectations

By Derek Hwang MCD

McDonald’s reported U.S. comparable sales growth of 3.9% in the first quarter, missing Wall Street expectations of a 4.2% increase. The company broadened its value platform with new $3 and $4 tiers in April, but those lower-priced offers and limited-time menu items were insufficient to fully restore demand as customers contend with higher fuel and grocery bills. Globally, comparable sales rose 3.8%, slightly under consensus, while net income and adjusted earnings per share improved year-over-year.

McDonald’s U.S. same-store sales fall short as value offers fail to fully revive traffic
MCD

Key Points

  • U.S. comparable same-store sales rose 3.9% in Q1, missing the 4.2% increase analysts expected.
  • McDonald’s expanded its McValue platform with new $3 and $4 tiers in April to attract price-sensitive customers.
  • Global comparable sales grew 3.8%, slightly below the analysts' average expectation of 3.95%; net income rose 6% to $1.98 billion and adjusted EPS increased to $2.83 from $2.67.

McDonald’s quarterly results showed that attempts to steer customers back into restaurants through lower-priced meal deals and temporary menu promotions did not quite deliver the lift management and investors had anticipated.

In the U.S. - its largest market - same-store sales rose 3.9% in the January-March quarter, below the 4.2% gain Wall Street analysts had expected, according to data compiled by LSEG. The shortfall underscores how sensitive dine-out demand remains to household cost pressure from higher gasoline and grocery costs.

After several years of broad-based price increases across the fast-food sector, operators have been relying more heavily on value-oriented offers to draw back customers who have pared back spending. McDonald’s has expanded its McValue offering, introducing $3 and $4 tiers in April to try to capture cost-conscious shoppers, but the new pricing steps arrived after traffic trends had already shown uneven momentum through the quarter.

Third-party location analytics from Placer.ai illustrated the inconsistent path of visits. Same-store traffic fell 1.3% in January amid winter storms, rebounded 3.8% in February as pent-up demand returned, and slowed again in March to a 1.2% gain as new menu launches produced a more muted response while rising fuel costs further tightened household budgets.

The company’s U.S. sales weakness is consistent with a broader industry pattern. Several U.S. restaurant chains, including Wingstop and Domino’s, have reported softer quarterly sales and cited declines in customer spending tied to soaring gasoline prices caused by the Iran war. Analysts on Wall Street have pointed to lower-income consumers becoming more selective, often trading down to simpler, single-item purchases rather than ordering full meals.

On the global front, McDonald’s reported comparable sales growth of 3.8%, narrowly below the analysts’ average expectation of 3.95%. That marked a recovery from a 1% comp sales decline in the comparable period a year earlier.

Segment-level results showed sales in its business segment - which covers restaurants operated by local partners - increased 3.4%, led by strength in Japan. International Market sales climbed 3.9%, supported by demand in Britain, Germany and Australia.

Profitability metrics improved year-over-year. Net income for the first quarter rose 6% to $1.98 billion. On an adjusted basis, McDonald’s earned $2.83 per share, up from $2.67 in the same quarter last year.


Broadly, the quarter highlights the tension between pricing strategies and consumer sensitivity. McDonald’s has moved to add value-tier pricing to address that sensitivity, but the pace and consistency of traffic recovery remained uneven across the quarter.

Risks

  • Consumer spending remains vulnerable to higher fuel and grocery prices, which can depress traffic and order sizes at quick-service restaurants - affecting the restaurants and consumer discretionary sectors.
  • Promotional and value-driven tactics may not be sufficient to restore consistent traffic growth, creating execution risk for restaurant operators relying on price promotions - affecting restaurants and retail foodservice companies.
  • Uneven month-to-month traffic trends increase short-term revenue volatility for franchised and company-operated locations, potentially impacting investor expectations in the restaurant and hospitality sectors.

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