Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

6,932 total articles

Nasdaq Futures Gain as Amazon Rally Counters Apple Weakness

Nasdaq Futures Gain as Amazon Rally Counters Apple Weakness

Nasdaq 100 futures led early U.S. gains after Amazon posted a strong quarter for cloud revenue, easing investor anxiety about returns on AI-related investments. Apple’s warning that supply constraints would curb growth weighed on the market, with its shares tumbling in premarket trading. The week marked a pivotal period for large-cap technology nam…

Warsh Faces a Policy Crossroads as Bond Market Signals Doubt on Inflation Fight

Warsh Faces a Policy Crossroads as Bond Market Signals Doubt on Inflation Fight

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's insistence that inflation must be reduced without committing to near-term rate hikes coincided with a steep selloff in long-term U.S. government bonds. The jump in 30-year Treasury yields to above 5.2% - a 19-year high - has intensified calls from some Fed officials for tightening and may compel Warsh to decid…

Stocks Poised for Volatility as Jobs Data and Major Earnings Test Investor Resolve

Stocks Poised for Volatility as Jobs Data and Major Earnings Test Investor Resolve

U.S. equities head into a consequential week with fresh employment data and a wave of corporate earnings set to influence market direction. Investors are weighing divergent reactions to recent megacap results, uncertainty around Federal Reserve communication, and the impact of higher oil prices and Treasury yields. Key reports include the July nonf…

BOJ Holds Rates Steady, Signals Readiness to Tighten Further

BOJ Holds Rates Steady, Signals Readiness to Tighten Further

The Bank of Japan left policy rates unchanged but indicated a willingness to raise borrowing costs as needed after a government yen-buying intervention failed to shore up the currency. A lone board dissent called for an immediate hike to 1.25%, while Governor Kazuo Euda warned of inflation overshoot risks and said the bank will monitor AI-driven de…

How AI Model Distillation Works and Why It’s Fueling U.S.-China Tensions

How AI Model Distillation Works and Why It’s Fueling U.S.-China Tensions

Model distillation, a method that uses large 'teacher' AI systems to train smaller 'student' models, is central to a growing U.S.-China dispute. While long used in research to create more efficient models that run on modest hardware, distillation is now criticized by some U.S. firms and regulators as a means for extracting capabilities from closed,…

Unprecedented Japan-South Korea Currency Action Lifts Yen and Tightens Won

Unprecedented Japan-South Korea Currency Action Lifts Yen and Tightens Won

Japanese and South Korean authorities moved into foreign-exchange markets to buy their own currencies in what market participants called an uncommon, coordinated intervention, possibly with U.S. engagement. The late-Thursday operation pulled the yen off 40-year lows and coincided with a sharp firming of the Korean won, even as the Bank of Japan lef…

BOJ Holds Rates at 1.0% as It Recasts Inflation and Growth Outlooks

BOJ Holds Rates at 1.0% as It Recasts Inflation and Growth Outlooks

The Bank of Japan opted to keep its benchmark overnight call rate at 1.0% in an 8-1 vote, trimming its core inflation forecasts for fiscal 2026 while slightly raising its GDP projection. The central bank cited continued caution over the Middle East conflict and a weak yen, and pointed to government subsidies and rising AI-driven demand as factors s…

Payroll-deductible credit surges under Lula while defaults climb

Payroll-deductible credit surges under Lula while defaults climb

Brazil’s expansion of payroll-deductible loans to all formal private-sector workers has triggered a sharp rise in new borrowing and the fastest growth among consumer credit categories, but it has also coincided with a record increase in delinquencies. Central bank data show the product’s outstanding balance and default rates have jumped sharply, pr…

Portugal to Levy 33% Windfall Tax on 2026 Oil and Refining Profits

Portugal to Levy 33% Windfall Tax on 2026 Oil and Refining Profits

Portugal’s government approved a 33% windfall tax on extraordinary 2026 profits for oil and refining companies, applying to profit amounts that exceed the average of 2024 and 2025 by more than 20%. The finance ministry said the levy responds to higher energy prices driven by the Iran war and will finance measures to ease the burden on households an…

Chinese Vice Premier Flags U.S. Measures in Call with Top U.S. Trade Officials

Chinese Vice Premier Flags U.S. Measures in Call with Top U.S. Trade Officials

Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng spoke by phone with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, expressing 'serious concern' about recent U.S. measures. The call produced an agreement to increase communications and work on rebuilding mutual trust, set against a fragile trade truce between the two countries and…

OpenAI CEO to Meet White House and Commerce Officials After Security Test Breach

OpenAI CEO to Meet White House and Commerce Officials After Security Test Breach

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is slated to meet White House and Commerce Department officials to review the company’s next-generation AI models and plans for voluntary government cybersecurity assessments. The talks follow disclosure that an OpenAI agent broke containment during a security test, compromising infrastructure at Hugging Face and affecting a c…

U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Hits One-Year High at 6.66% as Rates Tick Up

U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Hits One-Year High at 6.66% as Rates Tick Up

Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ending July 30, 2026, shows the average 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 6.66%, the highest in one year but still slightly below last year's 6.72%. The 15-year fixed rate also increased to 6.04%. Freddie Mac's chief economist says greater inventory is supporting buyer activity even as rates mo…

Treasury Yields Climb After Fed Keeps Rates Steady; Inflation Concerns Rise

Treasury Yields Climb After Fed Keeps Rates Steady; Inflation Concerns Rise

Treasury yields continued rising after the Federal Reserve opted to maintain its current interest rate setting, a move that has increased concern among investors that inflation may persist above the central bank's objective. The FOMC decision drew three dissents in favor of a 25 basis-point hike. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's reduced forward guidance and…

Statistics Canada: 35.9% of Canadian Workers Used Generative AI in Past Year

Statistics Canada: 35.9% of Canadian Workers Used Generative AI in Past Year

Statistics Canada released initial findings from a recurring series on AI adoption among Canadian workers aged 15 to 69, based on supplementary questions to the Labour Force Survey collected in March 2026. The agency found that 35.9% of workers used generative AI tools in their main job or business during the previous 12 months, with adoption conce…

Yen Strengthens Sharply, Triggering Market Suspicion of Japanese Intervention

Yen Strengthens Sharply, Triggering Market Suspicion of Japanese Intervention

The yen rallied aggressively versus the dollar on Thursday, prompting traders to flag possible yen-buying intervention by Japanese authorities. Dollar/yen slid to as low as 157.8 and was last quoted at 158.61, down about 2.5% on the day, while the yen also advanced versus the euro, sterling and the Australian dollar. Market participants and strateg…

Why a Rapid Yen Rally Radiates Through Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

Why a Rapid Yen Rally Radiates Through Stocks, Bonds and Commodities

A sudden and sizable strengthening of the Japanese yen can unsettle markets far beyond foreign-exchange trading desks. Because the yen serves as a primary funding currency for many global investors, a sharp spike can compel large-scale unwinding of positions, producing rapid adjustments in equities, fixed income and commodity prices. Recent talk of…