Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,933 total articles
Three federal banking overseers have issued guidance urging lenders to treat income from unauthorized employment as a potential indicator of elevated credit risk, noting repayment may be less reliable if employment ends or if the borrower faces removal from the United States. The guidance is nonbinding and is intended to help implement a presidenti…
Bangladesh and the International Monetary Fund have settled on a broad framework for a replacement lending programme, with reforms to be rolled out in stages to reflect the country's difficult economic circumstances, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said. Detailed negotiations on policy conditions remain pending, with the next round of…
A recent poll of 40 economists indicates Brazil's economy is set to expand modestly through next year despite political uncertainty around the October presidential vote. Crop losses tied to El Niño and an expanding primary deficit are expected to weigh on growth and public finances, while inflation forecasts were nudged higher and policymakers are …
JPMorgan economist Fatih Akcelik warns that elevated inflation momentum in Turkey means policymakers should be careful with rate reductions in the second half of the year. The bank forecasts inflation reaching 29% by the end of 2026 and highlights several external and domestic factors that will determine the inflation path and external balance.
Chinese Premier Li Qiang urged a broader, objective appraisal of the country’s economic condition and called for stepped-up counter-cyclical policy adjustments to bolster momentum as signs point to slowing growth. His remarks, delivered at a meeting with experts and entrepreneurs and reported by state broadcaster CCTV, come ahead of the government'…
The United Arab Emirates informed OPEC that its crude production rose by 80% in June to 3.8 million barrels per day, following Abu Dhabi's decision to leave the producer group effective May 1. The increase, which traders say helped create a surplus in Asia and prompted Saudi discounting, precedes a later escalation in tensions between the US and Ir…
Ukrainian forces attacked seven Russian fuel tankers and five dry-cargo vessels in the Sea of Azov on Monday, part of an expanded maritime campaign. Kyiv's General Staff said the tankers were carrying oil and petroleum products in breach of international sanctions, while the dry-cargo ships and tugboats were transporting military cargo, equipment a…
An Indian third engineer is missing after the Cyprus-flagged container ship GFS Galaxy was struck by an unidentified projectile in the Strait of Hormuz early Sunday. The crew abandoned ship and 23 members were rescued by the Oman Navy. The vessel is being towed to a safe anchorage at Khor Fakkan in the United Arab Emirates while search efforts cont…
New financial disclosures indicate that President Donald Trump received over $1.4 billion last year from crypto ventures tied to his family and shifted a substantial share of those proceeds into portfolios of stocks and bonds. The filings show marked increases in traditional asset ranges by the end of 2025, continued holdings of World Liberty Finan…
China's State Council has approved a five-year plan aimed at lifting retail sales to roughly 60 trillion yuan ($8.85 trillion) by 2030. The strategy, the first of its kind focused squarely on boosting consumption, emphasizes expanding services spending across elderly care, childcare, healthcare, culture, tourism, sports and education, while promoti…
Austrian Finance Minister Markus Marterbauer announced on Monday that he has been diagnosed with lymphoma and will undergo medical treatment over the next three months. The 61-year-old economist said he intends to carry on with his ministerial responsibilities, while scheduling treatment sessions that could occasionally require the rescheduling of …
U.S. semiconductor shares have stumbled after a blistering run, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor index off more than 11% from its June peak even as it remains substantially higher year-to-date. A mix of record profit expansion, volatile fund flows and sharply diverging valuation metrics has traders and analysts debating whether current earnings …
Global pension schemes that boosted hedges against the U.S. dollar after last year’s market shock are now unwinding some of that protection as U.S. real interest rates climb and the Federal Reserve’s leadership changes. The pullback in FX hedging removes a headwind for the dollar and could reinforce its recent rally, while costs of hedging and shif…
Renewed military exchanges between the United States and Iran unsettled markets at the start of the week, pushing oil sharply higher and pressuring U.S. stock futures. The clashes produced conflicting accounts over the status of the Strait of Hormuz, intensifying concerns about energy supply. At the same time, a broad selloff in Asian semiconductor…
A remark from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama about steering pension funds toward Japanese assets sparked gains in Japanese government bonds and a firmer yen, but market strategists argue a rapid, large-scale liquidation of overseas holdings is unlikely. Changes to the Government Pension Investment Fund's allocations would probably be implemented…
Japan's government is considering measures to encourage larger allocations to domestic financial assets by state pension funds, including the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), but does not plan an immediate overhaul of the funds' medium-term asset allocation targets. Officials say any shift would be pursued within the allowable deviation r…
Markets opened the week nervously as confrontations between Iran and the United States in the Gulf, and Tehran's claim to have closed the Strait of Hormuz, pushed oil higher and rippled through equities, yields and currencies. Energy benchmarks climbed about 4%, yields ticked up, and safe-haven flows supported the dollar. Attention is also turning …
U.S. equities enter a busy week where a slate of economic readings, the start of second-quarter earnings and heightened Iran-related tensions will influence investors already navigating sizable sector swings beneath the surface of broadly firm indexes. Key items include Tuesday's consumer price index, bank results from JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sa…
Egypt recorded a current account deficit of $5.1 billion in the first quarter of 2026, up from $2.3 billion a year earlier, central bank data show. The larger shortfall was driven mainly by an expanded merchandise trade deficit and was partially mitigated by stronger remittances, tourism income and Suez Canal receipts. Net foreign direct investment…
Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, who guided Qatar through a period of rapid economic expansion and elevated its diplomatic profile, died on Sunday at the age of 74. Authorities have not disclosed the cause of death. His rule from 1995 to 2013 saw major growth in LNG production and export capacity, international media initiatives, deep infrastruct…
Tang Jie, founder of Chinese AI startup Zhipu and a Tsinghua University faculty member, said meaningful AI safety depends on broad participation, transparency and public oversight rather than restricting advanced models to a limited set of developers. Zhipu has published its GLM-5.2 model under an open-source license and plans to focus on research …
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina has died at age 71 following a brief and sudden illness. His passing, which occurred after a recent trip to Kyiv, leaves an unexpected vacancy in the U.S. Senate and introduces uncertainty for pending legislation and the timing of key congressional priorities.
An analysis highlights how mounting geopolitical tensions, sustained inflation and more frequent economic shocks are eroding the traditional role of government bonds as portfolio protectors. Major investors are responding by raising equity exposure, adding alternative diversifiers and altering fixed-income approaches to contend with a landscape of …
Japanese authorities are moving to increase allocations to alternative investments at the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), the nation’s roughly $1.8 trillion pension fund. Reports indicate a plan to raise exposure to unlisted equities, real estate and other private assets toward the existing 5% ceiling from about 1.7% recorded in March, w…
A CIBC Capital Markets analysis finds that the current wave of AI-related capital spending is contributing roughly 0.4 percentage points to U.S. annual inflation in 2026. The study says inflationary effects have arisen from elevated spending on data centers, computing gear and electricity, and that broader growth powered by AI investment and equity…
