Economy July 13, 2026 08:26 AM

UAE Reports Sharp Jump in June Oil Output After Exiting OPEC

Abu Dhabi tells OPEC it pumped 3.8 million bpd in June - a rise tied to its May exit and amid regional shipping disruptions

By Derek Hwang
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The United Arab Emirates informed OPEC that its crude production rose by 80% in June to 3.8 million barrels per day, following Abu Dhabi's decision to leave the producer group effective May 1. The increase, which traders say helped create a surplus in Asia and prompted Saudi discounting, precedes a later escalation in tensions between the US and Iran and sits alongside differing estimates from the International Energy Agency.

UAE Reports Sharp Jump in June Oil Output After Exiting OPEC
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Key Points

  • UAE reported to OPEC that June crude production rose 80% to 3.8 million bpd, an increase of 1.71 million bpd from May - impacts oil markets and energy producers.
  • The IEA estimated a June rise of 900,000 bpd to a record 4.1 million bpd - a discrepancy that matters for market balances and price signals.
  • Higher UAE supply contributed to a surplus in Asia and prompted Saudi Arabia to offer rare discounts, affecting refiners and regional crude trade flows.

The United Arab Emirates reported to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries that its crude output climbed sharply in June, reflecting a substantial increase following Abu Dhabi's departure from the cartel earlier in May.

Reported volumes and change

In filings to OPEC, the UAE said it produced 3.8 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude in June. That figure represents an increase of 1.71 million bpd compared with May, which the UAE characterized as an 80% rise month-on-month.

Third-party estimate and timing

The June output number reported to OPEC comes before a recent escalation in hostilities between the US and Iran and any potential effects that might have had on flows from the Persian Gulf. Separately, the International Energy Agency in Paris estimated last week that the UAE's crude production increased by 900,000 bpd in June to reach an all-time high of 4.1 million bpd.

Context of the rise

Officials say the jump in production followed Abu Dhabi's decision to withdraw from OPEC at the beginning of May after years of dissatisfaction with the group's output limits. Despite regional disruptions, UAE authorities were able to move cargoes through the Strait of Hormuz during the period.

Market effects

The additional supply from the UAE contributed to a surplus in Asia and was cited as a factor in OPEC leader Saudi Arabia offering uncommon discounts on its crude shipments to the region.

OPEC reporting treatment

OPEC's Vienna-based secretariat continued to include the UAE's volumes in the group's total output in its data even after Abu Dhabi announced its departure effective May 1. OPEC's statutes state that a member's departure formally occurs at the start of the next calendar year, which the secretariat said underpins the reporting approach.

Saudi production figures

Saudi Arabia reported that its own production rose by 561,000 bpd in June to 7.122 million bpd. The kingdom said the volume it supplied to the market that month was 6.637 million bpd.


This article reports only the figures, statements and estimates provided to OPEC and by the IEA, and does not introduce additional data or analysis beyond those reported items.

Risks

  • Escalation in hostilities between the US and Iran could affect flows from the Persian Gulf and disrupt exports - risk for shipping, oil traders and refiners.
  • Ongoing differences in reported volumes - UAE's 3.8 million bpd to OPEC versus the IEA's 4.1 million bpd estimate - create uncertainty for market participants relying on supply data.
  • Treatment of the UAE's figures in OPEC's totals despite its announced departure - reporting and membership timing could complicate assessments of coordinated production policy and market expectations.

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