Economy July 12, 2026 06:50 AM

Egypt’s Q1 Current Account Shortfall Widens to $5.1 Billion

Higher merchandise trade gap offsets gains in remittances, tourism and Suez Canal receipts as FDI remains steady

By Leila Farooq
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Egypt recorded a current account deficit of $5.1 billion in the first quarter of 2026, up from $2.3 billion a year earlier, central bank data show. The larger shortfall was driven mainly by an expanded merchandise trade deficit and was partially mitigated by stronger remittances, tourism income and Suez Canal receipts. Net foreign direct investment slipped marginally.

Egypt’s Q1 Current Account Shortfall Widens to $5.1 Billion
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Key Points

  • Current account deficit rose to $5.1 billion in Q1 2026 from $2.3 billion a year earlier - impacts trade and external financing dynamics.
  • Remittances, tourism receipts and Suez Canal revenues increased, partially offsetting the wider merchandise trade deficit - relevant to services and transfer-dependent sectors.
  • Net foreign direct investment slowed slightly to $3.7 billion from $3.8 billion - important for investment and capital inflow monitoring.

Egypt's current account deficit widened sharply in the first quarter of 2026, reaching $5.1 billion compared with $2.3 billion in the same period of 2025, according to central bank data released today.

The central bank attributed the larger deficit primarily to a bigger merchandise trade gap. That deterioration was partly offset by higher inflows from remittances, elevated tourism receipts and increased Suez Canal revenues, the data showed.

Net foreign direct investment inflows registered a small decline year-on-year, coming in at $3.7 billion for the quarter versus $3.8 billion in Q1 2025.


Major flows reported for the quarter

  • Remittances from Egyptians working abroad rose to $12.8 billion, up from $9.3 billion in the first quarter of 2025.
  • Tourism receipts increased to $4.2 billion from $3.8 billion a year earlier.
  • Suez Canal revenues were reported at $1.0 billion, compared with $0.8 billion in the year-earlier quarter.
  • Oil import payments climbed to $5.7 billion, from $4.8 billion in Q1 2025, while oil export receipts increased to $1.6 billion from $1.2 billion over the same interval.

The central bank's release highlights that while several service and transfer-related inflows strengthened during the period, they were insufficient to counterbalance a larger merchandise deficit. The figures show a persistent reliance on workers' remittances, tourism revenue and canal receipts to help narrow the external financing gap.

Net FDI flows remained near the prior year's level, dipping only slightly. The data do not detail sectoral composition of these investment flows, but the headline number indicates relatively stable interest from foreign investors in net terms during the quarter.

The central bank publication provides a granular snapshot of external transactions for Q1 2026, documenting both the pressure from increased import bills and the partial relief provided by higher inflows in other accounts.

Risks

  • A larger merchandise trade deficit, which contributed to the wider current account shortfall - affects trade-exposed sectors and external balance.
  • Rising oil import bills, with imports up to $5.7 billion from $4.8 billion, increasing dependence on energy imports - relevant to the energy and transport sectors.
  • Continued reliance on volatile receipts such as remittances, tourism and Suez Canal income to offset trade gaps - poses uncertainty for services and external revenue stability.

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