Economy May 22, 2026 08:44 AM

Canadian Retail Sales Rise 0.9% in March as Fuel Spending Surges

Gasoline station receipts drive monthly gain while core retail sales slip; Q1 posts seventh straight quarterly rise

By Derek Hwang

Canada's retail sales climbed 0.9% to $72.7 billion in March, led by a sharp increase at gasoline stations and fuel vendors. Excluding fuel and motor vehicles, core retail activity edged down, and provincial results varied with Ontario and Alberta posting gains while Quebec declined. Retail volumes rose in the first quarter even as March volumes fell.

Canadian Retail Sales Rise 0.9% in March as Fuel Spending Surges

Key Points

  • Headline retail sales increased 0.9% in March to $72.7 billion, driven primarily by a 12.4% jump at gasoline stations and fuel vendors.
  • Core retail sales, which exclude gasoline stations and motor vehicle dealers, fell 0.1% in March; building material retailers and general merchandise stores posted declines while food and beverage retailers advanced.
  • Retail sales rose 2.1% in Q1 2026 (seventh consecutive quarterly increase) with volumes up 1.2% in the quarter despite a 0.7% drop in March; an advance estimate indicates a 0.6% increase in April based on responses from 52.1% of companies surveyed.

Statistics Canada reported that retail sales in Canada rose 0.9% in March, reaching $72.7 billion. The increase reflected gains in four of nine retail subsectors, with gasoline stations and fuel vendors registering the largest rise among those categories.

Gasoline stations and fuel vendors saw receipts jump 12.4% in March. Statistics Canada linked that surge to higher gasoline prices associated with a supply shock stemming from conflict in the Middle East.

Not all retail categories participated in the advance. Motor vehicle and parts dealers posted a 0.5% decline in March, while used car dealers recorded a 4.0% drop. When gasoline stations and motor vehicle dealers are excluded, core retail sales edged down 0.1% for the month.

Several other subsectors moved lower in March. Building material and garden equipment dealers fell 2.9%, and general merchandise retailers declined 0.5%. On the other hand, food and beverage retailers increased 0.5%, driven in part by a 0.8% gain at supermarkets and other grocery retailers.


Geographic differences were apparent across the provinces. Retail sales increased in nine provinces in March. Ontario recorded the largest dollar gain at 1.4%, with Toronto alone up 1.5%. Alberta posted a 2.6% rise. Quebec was the only province to register a decline, down 0.8%, with retail activity in Montreal falling 2.0%.

On a quarterly basis, retail sales rose 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026, marking the seventh consecutive quarterly increase. In terms of volumes, retail sales were up 1.2% for the quarter, although volumes fell 0.7% in March.

An advance estimate based on responses from 52.1% of surveyed companies indicates retail sales increased 0.6% in April.


Commenting on the March results, CIBC economist Andrew Grantham said, "Overall, it appears that higher gasoline prices may already be limiting sales in other areas, which will see inflation-adjusted consumer spending growth decelerate again in Q2 following a solid first quarter."

The March figures show how a substantial rise in fuel spending can lift headline retail sales while core measures of consumer demand show weakness or moderation. The data highlight contrasts across retail subsectors and provinces as policymakers and market participants assess near-term consumer momentum.

Risks

  • Higher gasoline prices may be crowding out spending in other retail categories, which could slow inflation-adjusted consumer spending growth in Q2 - this primarily affects consumer discretionary sectors and retail-focused equities.
  • Provincial disparities in retail performance, including Quebec's 0.8% decline, create uneven demand across regional economies and local retail markets.
  • A decline in volumes in March (down 0.7%) despite quarterly gains suggests short-term weakness that could weigh on retailers reliant on steady monthly foot traffic and sales.

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