Stock Markets May 7, 2026 02:03 AM

Solvay posts Q1 EBITDA broadly in line with expectations as sales fall short of estimates

Basic Chemicals underperforms while Performance Chemicals outpaces forecasts; company keeps full-year targets intact

By Leila Farooq

Solvay reported first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of €219 million, effectively in line with analyst consensus. Group sales fell short of expectations, driven by weaker volumes and negative pricing trends, while the company reiterated its full-year guidance and cash targets. The Basic Chemicals arm missed forecasts, offset in part by stronger-than-expected results from Performance Chemicals.

Solvay posts Q1 EBITDA broadly in line with expectations as sales fall short of estimates

Key Points

  • First-quarter adjusted EBITDA was €219 million, in line with the €220 million consensus.
  • Group sales totaled €997 million, below the €1.04 billion expected, with organic sales down 8.5% due to a 3.3% volume decline and a 5.2% pricing drop; currency effects added 2.6%.
  • Basic Chemicals missed forecasts while Performance Chemicals exceeded expectations; operating cash flow and free cash flow declined year-on-year, and net financial debt was €1.7 billion (debt-to-EBITDA: 2x).

Solvay reported adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of €219 million, effectively matching consensus expectations of €220 million. The company maintained its full-year underlying EBITDA guidance range of €770 million to €850 million, against a consensus view of €814 million, and reconfirmed targets for free cash flow and capital spending.

Group revenue for the quarter reached €997 million, below the consensus estimate of €1.04 billion. On an organic basis, sales declined by 8.5% as a combination of a 3.3% fall in volumes and a 5.2% reduction in pricing more than offset a positive currency contribution of 2.6%.


Division performance

The Basic Chemicals division delivered adjusted EBITDA of €129 million, short of the €150 million consensus. Sales for the division totaled €610 million, down 6.7% on an organic basis.

  • Soda Ash & Derivatives: Sales of €397 million, down 7.2% organically. The company cited lower pricing in domestic markets and a more pronounced decline in the seaborne market as drivers of the weakness.
  • Peroxides: Sales of €213 million, down 5.8% organically. Volumes fell, reflecting reduced demand for HPPO and other intermediates.

In contrast, the Performance Chemicals division outperformed expectations, producing adjusted EBITDA of €84 million versus a consensus of €62 million. Sales in this segment were €387 million, down 11.3% organically.

  • Silica: €129 million in sales, a 7% organic decline driven by lower tire volumes.
  • Coatis: €115 million in sales, down 16% organically.
  • Special Chemicals: €142 million in sales, down 11% organically.

Cash flow and balance sheet

Operating cash flow for the quarter was €94 million, versus €116 million in the same period a year earlier. Free cash flow to shareholders from continuing operations amounted to €26 million, down from €42 million in the prior-year quarter. Net financial debt stood at €1.7 billion, corresponding to a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2 times.


Guidance and capital allocation

Management reconfirmed its full-year underlying EBITDA guidance range of €770 million to €850 million and maintained a free cash flow target of at least €200 million. Maximum capital expenditure guidance remains capped at €300 million.

Overall, the quarter combined a near-consensus group EBITDA outcome with mixed divisional dynamics: Basic Chemicals underdelivered against estimates while Performance Chemicals provided a stronger-than-expected contribution. Sales weakness across the group was led by volume declines and negative pricing, only partly offset by favorable currency movements.

Risks

  • Continued volume weakness - Organic volumes fell 3.3% in the quarter, which could pressure sales across chemical segments.
  • Negative pricing environment - Pricing declined 5.2% organically, including marked softness in seaborne soda ash markets, which may constrain revenue recovery.
  • Cash flow and leverage pressure - Operating cash flow and free cash flow were lower year-on-year, and net financial debt of €1.7 billion implies ongoing leverage considerations for the balance sheet.

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