World May 7, 2026 12:03 AM

Peace Plan Talks Raise Hopes of Rapid End to Iran War as Negotiations Continue

U.S. proposal could formally end hostilities while leaving key demands unresolved; markets react to possibility of de-escalation

By Avery Klein

U.S. President Donald Trump said a rapid end to the conflict with Iran was possible as Tehran reviewed a U.S. peace proposal that sources described as a one-page memorandum to formally end the war. Iranian officials signalled skepticism, and key U.S. demands were not included in the initial outline. The prospect of a deal sent oil prices sharply lower and drove gains in global equity markets, while naval operations and enforcement actions continued in the Gulf region.

Peace Plan Talks Raise Hopes of Rapid End to Iran War as Negotiations Continue

Key Points

  • A one-page U.S. memorandum is reported to offer a formal end to the conflict and would initiate 30 days of detailed negotiations on shipping, sanctions and Iran’s nuclear programme - impacts energy and shipping sectors.
  • Iranian officials publicly expressed skepticism about the proposal, calling it unrealistic and characterizing media reports of imminent agreement as U.S. spin - impacts diplomatic and geopolitical risk assessments.
  • Reports of deal progress pushed Brent crude down about 11% to roughly $98 a barrel at one point, while global equities rose and bond yields fell - impacts oil markets and broader financial markets.

Overview

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that a quick end to the war with Iran was possible, as Tehran considered a U.S. proposal that officials say would formally terminate the conflict while leaving several major U.S. demands unresolved. Iranian spokespeople and lawmakers expressed doubt about the package, and the wider picture remains one of disagreement on critical security issues.


What the proposal would do

According to sources briefed on the mediation effort, the U.S. peace proposal is structured as a one-page memorandum intended to formally bring the fighting to an end. Those same sources said the memorandum would open the door to subsequent negotiations over three central items: resuming shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, lifting U.S. sanctions on Iran and imposing limits on Iran's nuclear programme.

Sources described the memorandum as a preliminary step that would not immediately require concessions from either side. If both parties accepted the outline, the sources said, it would trigger a 30-day period of detailed talks aimed at converting the memorandum into a full agreement.


Statements from U.S. and Iranian officials

Trump said, "They want to make a deal. We’ve had very good talks over the last 24 hours, and it’s very possible that we’ll make a deal," and added, "it’ll be over quickly."

Iranian comments were more guarded. A foreign ministry spokesperson quoted by Iran’s ISNA news agency said Tehran would convey its response to the proposal. Ebrahim Rezaei, a lawmaker who serves as a spokesperson for parliament’s powerful foreign policy and national security committee, dismissed the U.S. proposal as "more of an American wish-list than a reality." Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, speaker of Iran’s parliament, mocked reports of imminent agreement on social media in English, writing that "Operation Trust Me Bro failed," and described such coverage as U.S. spin following the failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.


Mediation and personnel

Sources close to the mediation said the U.S. negotiating team is being led by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. A Pakistani source and another individual briefed on the talks indicated an agreement on the one-page memorandum was close, though Tehran’s formal response was still pending at the time of reporting.


Gaps and omissions in the initial outline

While the memorandum would start talks on shipping, sanctions and nuclear limits, the sources did not indicate inclusion of other significant U.S. demands that Tehran has previously rejected. The sources did not mention provisions addressing Iran’s missile programme, an end to support for proxy militias in the region, or Iran’s existing stockpile of more than 400 kg (882 pounds) of near-weapons-grade uranium.


Military posture and recent actions

Despite the diplomatic movement, military actions continued in the region. U.S. Central Command reported that forces fired on an unladen Iranian-flagged tanker on Wednesday, disabling the vessel as it attempted to sail toward an Iranian port in violation of a U.S.-imposed blockade.

Separately, Trump paused a two-day-old U.S. naval operation intended to reopen the blockaded Strait of Hormuz, citing progress in peace talks. NBC News, citing two unnamed U.S. officials, reported that the pause followed Saudi Arabia’s decision to suspend the U.S. military’s use of a Saudi base for the operation. The report said Saudi officials were surprised and angered by prior U.S. statements that Washington would help escort ships through the strait, and that they told the United States they would deny permission to fly military aircraft out of a Saudi base or through Saudi airspace. The White House did not immediately comment on that account.

The U.S. military, however, has continued to enforce its own blockade on Iranian shipping in the region.


Market reactions

Markets reacted quickly to reports of a possible deal. Global oil prices plunged to two-week lows on Wednesday, with benchmark Brent crude futures dropping roughly 11% to around $98 a barrel at one point, before recovering above $100 a barrel. Global equity indices rose and bond yields fell on growing optimism that further military escalation might be avoided.

"The contents of the U.S.-Iran peace proposals are thin, but there is an expectation in the market that further military action will not take place," said Takamasa Ikeda, a senior portfolio manager at GCI Asset Management.


Next steps and uncertainties

If Tehran formally accepts the one-page memorandum, the sources said, that acceptance would mark the start of a 30-day period for detailed negotiations. The sources emphasized that the memorandum itself would not necessarily resolve deeply contested issues and pointed out significant gaps relative to prior U.S. demands. Iran’s formal reply to the proposal was awaited, and key actors in the region expressed skepticism about prospects for a rapid resolution.


Bottom line

The U.S. proposal, as described by mediation sources, aims to create a framework to end hostilities and open negotiations on shipping, sanctions and nuclear limits. Iranian officials have publicly questioned the plan’s realism, and important U.S. conditions are not mentioned in the initial outline. Markets responded to the possibility of de-escalation, but the coming days will determine whether the memorandum can convert into a comprehensive, enforceable agreement.

Risks

  • Key U.S. demands such as limits on Iran’s missile programme, an end to support for proxy militias, and Iran’s more than 400 kg stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium were not included in the initial memorandum, leaving significant negotiating gaps - risk to long-term security and non-proliferation efforts.
  • Continued military enforcement actions occurred alongside diplomacy, including U.S. strikes to disable an Iranian-flagged tanker and a paused naval mission to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, creating a risk of renewed escalation - risk to regional shipping and energy supply.
  • Uncertainty remains over regional cooperation, with reports that Saudi Arabia suspended U.S. military basing support for an operation in the strait, which could constrain future operational options and complicate diplomatic outcomes - risk to coalition military planning and logistics.

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