Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
4,096 total articles
Stock indexes tumbled and global bond markets sold off on March 26 as a near-month-long conflict in the Middle East rekindled fears of prolonged disruption to oil and gas flows. Brent crude spiked to $108.01 a barrel while safe-haven demand pushed the U.S. dollar higher and gold lower. Market participants reacted to statements from Iranian and U.S.…
Mexico’s central bank reduced its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 6.75%, moving from 7.00% and signaling it is considering an additional cut though offering no timetable. Banxico cited the exchange rate, subdued economic activity in early 2026, and the level of existing monetary restriction as determinants of the decision, while notin…
French maritime authorities confirmed that an unauthorized drone was detected near the naval base in Toulon on March 24. Police responded to the scene, questioned the individual operating the device, and the Mediterranean prefecture said unauthorized drone sightings over military sites in Europe have risen recently, while offering little further in…
The Bank of Canada cautioned that permanent structural changes - including heightened U.S. trade protectionism, tighter Canadian immigration controls and the spread of artificial intelligence - will present significant policy challenges over the next five years. Senior deputy governor Carolyn Rogers said the central bank must adapt its forecasting …
Anchorage Digital said it will integrate Justin Sun’s Tron blockchain into its regulated platform, enabling U.S. institutional clients to custody Tron’s token, tronix. The move follows a recent $10 million settlement by Sun to resolve SEC charges and comes as U.S. policy debates and current decentralized trading patterns shape access to the token.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that a U.S. insurance initiative intended to improve the safety of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will begin soon. The program, first announced by the President on March 3, will have the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation provide insurance guarantees accompanied by naval…
An internal memo indicates that the International Criminal Court's executive arm is still reviewing allegations of sexual misconduct made against Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan. Khan has temporarily stepped aside and denies wrongdoing. Outside judges reportedly concluded the factual record did not establish misconduct, but the Bureau of the Assembly o…
Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor said policymakers should keep interest rates unchanged until the full economic effect of the war in Iran becomes clearer. Taylor, previously a long-standing proponent of lower rates before the conflict began, voted this month with the rest of the Monetary Policy Committee to hold borrowing costs. He cited sig…
The average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 6.38%, the highest reading since early September, Freddie Mac reported on Thursday. Rising oil prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict have heightened inflation concerns and lifted U.S. Treasury yields, driving mortgage rates up for the fourth consecutive week and eroding recent gains in …
Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey reports the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.38% as of March 26, 2026, up from 6.22% the prior week. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 5.75%. Freddie Mac's chief economist notes the housing market is showing gradual improvement compared with a year earlier, with purchase and refinance applications hig…
The Bank of Israel is widely expected to maintain its policy rate at 4.0% at its upcoming decision, as conflict involving Iran has heightened inflationary pressures through rising oil prices. Economists surveyed unanimously forecast no change, citing elevated risk premiums, supply constraints linked to regional fighting, and fiscal developments tie…
President Donald Trump told a Cabinet meeting that Iran has asked to negotiate after U.S. forces carried out Operation Epic Fury for about three weeks. He said the campaign has devastated much of Iran's military capacity - including the navy, air force, missile launchers and drone facilities - and that Tehran now faces a choice to reach a deal and …
UBS now anticipates the Federal Reserve will postpone the start of its easing cycle until September, followed by a second reduction in December. The bank points to persistent core inflation, tariff-related price pressures, oil-driven volatility linked to Iran, and a changed Fed view of the labor market as reasons for the delay. UBS leaves open the …
S&P Global has raised its projected average inflation rate for Turkey in 2026 to 28.9% from a prior estimate of 23.4%, attributing the increase primarily to higher energy prices. The agency highlighted Turkey's heavy reliance on energy imports - net energy imports equal about 3.5% to 4.5% of GDP - and noted that price swings in oil and gas, intensi…
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan warned at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami that the ongoing conflict involving Iran risks further damaging global supply chains, particularly in oil. He said recent weeks have produced disruptions that exceed those seen after the COVID-19 pandemic and urged rapid collective action to prevent more severe con…
A new interim report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development finds that the conflict in Iran has produced an energy price shock that is increasing inflationary pressure and adding significant uncertainty to the global economic outlook. The OECD warns that disruptions to oil and natural gas flows, especially through the Strai…
New filings for U.S. unemployment benefits inched higher last week, a modest move that underscores a labor market holding steady. At the same time, inflation pressures linked to conflict in the Middle East have pushed up energy and input prices, complicating the Federal Reserve’s outlook and leaving policymakers room to maintain current interest ra…
Economists surveyed in late March anticipate the Federal Reserve will keep the federal funds rate unchanged through the summer and only consider trimming policy in September, even as financial markets increasingly rule out cuts this year and factor in a non-negligible chance of a rate hike amid a worsening Middle East conflict and higher oil prices…
A narrow majority of economists surveyed expect the Bank of England to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% through the remainder of the year, reversing forecasts for near-term cuts. While energy-driven inflation risks from the U.S. and Israeli conflict with Iran have forced many forecasters to lift inflation and year-end rate projections, most economists do no…
Iceland's consumer price inflation accelerated to 5.4% in March, the highest year-on-year reading since September 2024, driven by higher crude oil prices linked to conflict-related shipping disruptions. The central bank has already increased rates once and signaled a probable additional quarter-point hike at its next meeting on May 20.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development lowered its projection for UK GDP growth in 2026 to 0.7% from 1.2%, the largest downgrade among G20 economies in its interim outlook. The revision reflects the effect of disrupted energy supplies and higher commodity prices tied to the US-Israel war with Iran. Inflation in the UK is seen ac…
Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden told a London audience that the risk of a wage-price feedback loop stemming from the Iran War appears reduced, citing a loosening labour market and subdued economic activity that curb bargaining power for both firms and workers. She said policymakers remain vigilant, noting risks operate on both sides a…
Surveys published this week show consumers in Germany, France and Italy turning more pessimistic amid rising fuel prices linked to the conflict in the Middle East. Analysts warn that higher petrol costs are only the first wave of pressure on household budgets, with disrupted fertilizer flows and potential food-price increases still to come. At the …
The European Parliament voted to advance legislation enacting the European Union's trade commitments with the United States, with 417 in favor, 154 against and 71 abstentions. The package would remove EU import duties on U.S. industrial goods, broaden market access for American agricultural products and continue a zero-duty regime on U.S. lobsters.…
Asian policymakers moved quickly to shore up confidence as the regional fallout from the U.S.-Israel war on Iran pushed global oil prices higher. South Korea announced a 5 trillion won emergency bond repurchase program and fuel measures to cap local price impacts, while the Philippines convened an unscheduled policy meeting that left its key rate a…
