Stock Markets May 28, 2026 11:02 AM

Xpeng warns Q2 revenue will trail expectations as China EV demand softens

Automaker cites prolonged market slowdown and intensifying competition even as it lines up new models and ADAS features

By Hana Yamamoto XPEV

Xpeng projected second-quarter revenue below analysts' consensus, reflecting an extended cooling in Chinas auto market and heightened rivalry among electric vehicle makers. The company reported mixed first-quarter results including revenue modestly above estimates, sharply lower vehicle deliveries year-over-year, and a widened quarterly net loss. Management is pushing new model launches and advanced driver-assistance features as the company seeks to regain sales momentum.

Xpeng warns Q2 revenue will trail expectations as China EV demand softens
XPEV

Key Points

  • Xpeng's second-quarter revenue guidance of 19.60 billion to 20.80 billion yuan is below analysts' average estimate of 21.71 billion yuan, indicating weaker-than-expected near-term demand.
  • First-quarter revenue of 13.03 billion yuan slightly exceeded estimates, but vehicle deliveries plunged 33.3% year-over-year to 62,682 units and the company reported a wider net loss.
  • Management plans to roll out four new models this year, and is emphasizing advanced driver-assistance systems and richer feature sets as the company seeks to counter the market slowdown.

Overview

Xpeng said it expects second-quarter revenue to land between 19.60 billion yuan and 20.80 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 7.3% to 13.8% but short of analysts' average forecast of 21.71 billion yuan, according to LSEG data. The guidance underscores a sustained pullback in demand and intensifying competition in China's electric vehicle sector.


First-quarter results and operating metrics

For the quarter ended in March, Xpeng recorded revenue of 13.03 billion yuan, narrowly topping estimates of 12.93 billion yuan. Despite that revenue beat, deliveries fell sharply: total vehicle deliveries in the first quarter came in at 62,682 units, down 33.3% from 94,008 units in the same period a year earlier. The company projected deliveries for the June quarter of between 100,000 and 106,000 units.

Net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders widened to 1.78 billion yuan in the first quarter, compared with a loss of 664 million yuan in the year-ago period. That result contrasts with a profit of 383.2 million yuan reported in the previous quarter. For reference, the exchange rate cited was $1 = 6.7796 Chinese yuan renminbi.


Market context and management response

Broader industry indicators cited alongside Xpeng's results point to a cooling market: domestic car sales in China declined for a seventh consecutive month in April, and industry estimates included in the report indicate that EV and plug-in hybrid sales growth may slow in 2026 after several years of rapid expansion. In response, Chinese EV manufacturers are increasingly emphasizing advanced driver-assistance systems, richer feature sets and expanded model lineups to navigate the downturn.

Xpeng's management is pursuing that strategy. CEO Xiaopeng He highlighted the company's recent product momentum, noting that the successful launch of the GX has helped to kickstart the model pipeline. He added that Xpeng plans to introduce four new models this year, which the company says will position it for a stronger sales trajectory.


Market reaction and shareholder context

Shares of Xpeng listed in the United States have experienced significant pressure this year, sliding nearly 19% year-to-date up to the last close. The stock was trading marginally higher in early sessions following the results and guidance, reflecting a mixed investor reaction to the outlook and recent performance.


Implications

The company faces a near-term challenge: revenue guidance that fails to meet consensus despite a modest quarterly revenue beat, falling deliveries compared with the prior year and a widened quarterly loss. Management is betting on new models and technology features to restore growth, but the pace of recovery will depend on broader market dynamics in China and the competitive response from other EV makers.


Key figures at a glance

  • Q2 revenue guidance: 19.60 billion to 20.80 billion yuan (up 7.3% to 13.8% year-over-year).
  • Analysts' average Q2 estimate: 21.71 billion yuan (LSEG).
  • Q1 revenue: 13.03 billion yuan (est. 12.93 billion yuan).
  • Q1 deliveries: 62,682 units (down 33.3% from 94,008 a year earlier).
  • Q2 delivery guidance: 100,000 to 106,000 units.
  • Q1 net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders: 1.78 billion yuan (prior-year loss 664 million yuan; prior quarter profit 383.2 million yuan).

Risks

  • Continued softness in Chinese auto demand - Domestic car sales fell for a seventh straight month in April, which could pressure vehicle volumes and revenue for automakers and suppliers.
  • Intensifying competition in the EV market - Greater rivalry among Chinese EV makers may compress pricing power and margins, affecting manufacturers' profitability and valuation.
  • Execution risk on new models and technology - Xpeng's recovery depends on successful launches and customer uptake of its new models and ADAS features; failure to gain traction would impede sales recovery.

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