Options market pricing implies a 13% price swing for Samsara Inc. Class A (NYSE:IOT) when the company reports quarterly results after the market close on June 4, based on options data compiled by Bloomberg. That implied move reflects traders' expectations for a potentially significant reaction to the announcement.
Looking at recent earnings cycles, Samsara has displayed a pattern of volatile post-earnings trading. In five of the last eight quarterly reports, the stock's actual change exceeded the magnitude that options-implied moves had suggested.
In March, the stock rallied 28.9% after earnings, outpacing a 15.7% implied move.
In December 2025, shares rose 21.1%, surpassing the 13.5% expected movement.
In September 2025, the stock climbed 18.1%, well above an 8% implied move.
There have also been instances when the market reaction was more muted than option markets had priced in. In June 2025, shares fell 3% despite options implying an 11.3% move, and in March 2025 the stock dropped 29.3% against a 14.8% implied move.
Across the past two years, Samsara's post-earnings price changes have ranged from a 29.3% decline to a 28.9% gain, illustrating a wide band of outcomes that market participants have faced around reports.
Traders and investors monitoring Samsara ahead of the June 4 release will likely be weighing the options-implied expectation against the company's recent record of unpredictable, sometimes outsized, reactions. The implied 13% move sets a benchmark for how the market is positioning, but historical precedent includes both larger-than-expected jumps and instances where actual movement fell short of expectations.
The coming report will provide another data point in that pattern. Market participants using options to hedge or speculate will watch both the actual earnings details and the immediate trading reaction to assess whether the stock again breaks from what option prices have signaled.