Stock Markets June 1, 2026 08:59 AM

JPMorgan Sees Room for Further Gains in Magnificent Seven, Stops Short of 2025 Replay

Bank points to stretched derating and solid earnings as bases for upside, but cautions against expecting another narrow, tech-led surge

By Caleb Monroe MSFT GOOGL AAPL AMZN NVDA

JPMorgan told clients it remains constructive on the Magnificent Seven names after a significant derating earlier this year left valuation room for recovery. The bank acknowledged headline risk from the Middle East and tempered expectations that this rally will mirror the concentrated, mega-cap technology-led advance seen in 2025. It flagged tactical stabilization in beaten-down AI-related names, interest in emerging market memory producers given limited near-term supply additions, and a potential improvement in Consumer Cyclicals as oil and yields ease.

JPMorgan Sees Room for Further Gains in Magnificent Seven, Stops Short of 2025 Replay
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Key Points

  • JPMorgan views the Magnificent Seven as having room to rally after a 10-year low in group valuation in March, supported by earnings.
  • The bank does not expect a repeat of the concentrated, mega-cap technology rally of 2025 and remains cautious on long-term AI cannibalization trades, though tactical stabilization is seen as likely.
  • JPMorgan highlighted emerging market memory exposure as durable given limited supply additions before 2028, and suggested adding Consumer Cyclicals exposure in summer as oil and yields potentially decline; Utilities and low-volatility stocks are also increasingly attractive as yields fall.

JPMorgan reiterated a positive view on the so-called Magnificent Seven in a client note on Monday, arguing that the cohort's pullback earlier in the year has opened the door to additional upside even as the bank dismissed the likelihood of a repeat of last year's narrow technology-fueled rally.

Analyst Mislav Matejka said the firm has consistently recommended buying into equity weakness tied to the Iran conflict since the latter half of March, and that the bank still sees further upside for the Mag-7 group. At the same time, JPMorgan made clear that headline geopolitical risk from the Middle East remains a factor investors should monitor.

The note emphasized fundamentals in support of the bank's stance, stating that recent earnings have largely justified the rebound in these names. JPMorgan pointed to the group's valuation trough in March, when it reached a 10-year low, as providing a foundation for a recovery that could play out from current levels.

However, the bank was explicit that it does not expect a replay of the second-half 2025 rally, which was heavily concentrated in mega-cap technology stocks. On AI-related trades, JPMorgan continues to view longer-term cannibalization risks with caution, but acknowledged that tactical stabilization is probable given the magnitude of the earlier selloff in that cohort.

Beyond the Magnificent Seven, the note highlighted an emerging market memory trade that the bank believes has durability. JPMorgan noted that meaningful supply additions for memory are not expected before the start of 2028, a dynamic that supports the trade for now.

On broader positioning, JPMorgan said Consumer Cyclicals are under pressure due to profit warnings and cautious guidance from companies in the sector. Still, the bank suggested the group could see an improvement in the second half of the year if oil prices ease and bond yields decline. In that context, JPMorgan recommended investors look to add exposure to the sector during the summer, and flagged low-volatility stocks and Utilities as increasingly interesting as yields move lower.

The bank's note included market moves for a range of large-cap and market indicators, citing intraday or recent percentage changes reported alongside the commentary: MSFT +5.45%, GOOGL -2.51%, AAPL -0.14%, AMZN -1.23%, NVDA -1.45%, LCO +4.25%, TSLA -1.43%, US10YT=X +0.54%, META -0.44%, GOOG -2.51%, MEMc1 +1.9%, SIXY -0.97%, SIXU -0.46%, LOWV +0.01%.


While JPMorgan's view is constructive overall, its note balanced optimism about valuation-driven recovery with caution about concentrated leadership and ongoing headline risks. The bank's guidance on sector rotation and interest-rate sensitivity provides a framework for portfolio positioning if the macro environment evolves as it outlines.

Risks

  • Headline geopolitical risk from the Middle East could continue to cause market volatility and disrupt the path to recovery for equities - this primarily affects global equities and risk-sensitive sectors such as energy and cyclicals.
  • Persistent AI cannibalization concerns mean some technology and AI-related trades carry fundamental risk, limiting the sustainability of any rally in those cohorts - this impacts mega-cap technology and related hardware/software suppliers.
  • Profit warnings and cautious guidance are weighing on Consumer Cyclicals, creating uncertainty around the sector's earnings trajectory and the timing of any second-half improvement - this directly affects retailers, discretionary manufacturers, and consumer-facing companies.

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