Stock Markets May 28, 2026 04:17 PM

Gap Lowers Sales Outlook as Consumers Pull Back on Nonessential Spending

Retailer tightens revenue forecast while raising profit guidance on expected tariff relief and returns cash to shareholders

By Marcus Reed

Gap Inc. trimmed its sales forecast for fiscal 2026 and flagged tepid near-term demand as U.S. consumers tighten budgets. The company raised its full-year adjusted profit outlook, citing roughly $80 million in expected tariff relief, and reported $464 million returned to shareholders in the quarter through buybacks and dividends.

Gap Lowers Sales Outlook as Consumers Pull Back on Nonessential Spending

Key Points

  • Gap trimmed fiscal 2026 sales forecast to 1% - 2%, down from 2% - 3%. This impacts the retail apparel sector and consumer discretionary markets.
  • Company raised full-year adjusted profit guidance to $2.30 - $2.40 per share, citing about $80 million in tariff relief to boost gross profit and operating income in fiscal 2026.
  • Quarterly revenue of $3.50 billion missed analysts' average estimate of $3.52 billion; Gap returned $464 million to shareholders via buybacks and dividends in the fiscal first quarter.

Gap Inc. on Thursday reduced its annual sales forecast, saying weaker discretionary spending among budget-conscious American households is weighing on demand for its brands. The apparel retailer, which is in the midst of a turnaround effort, joined affordable luxury goods maker Tapestry in signaling softer sales growth for the current quarter.

While lowering its top-line expectations, Gap lifted its adjusted profit forecast for the year. The company said it expects roughly $80 million in tariff relief to bolster gross profit and operating income in fiscal 2026.

Gap reported it returned $464 million of cash to shareholders during the first quarter of the fiscal year via share repurchases and dividends. The company pointed to deteriorating consumer sentiment and rising inflation as headwinds for discretionary spending, noting consumer sentiment in the U.S. fell to a record low in May and inflation posted its largest gain in three years.

Within the brand portfolio, quarterly sales at Athleta declined again, while Old Navy continued to post growth but at a slower rate. As part of its effort to attract shoppers, the company under CEO Richard Dickson has been introducing new styles, including high-waisted run shorts and straight-leg pull-on linen pants.

Gap provided updated guidance for fiscal 2026 sales growth, now expecting an increase of 1% to 2%, down from a prior forecast of 2% to 3%. For the second quarter, the company now anticipates sales to be flat to down 1%, a range that contrasts with analysts' estimates of about 2.1% growth to $3.80 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

For the quarter, Gap's revenue totaled $3.50 billion, missing analysts' average estimate of $3.52 billion. The company revised its full-year adjusted earnings outlook to a range of $2.30 to $2.40 per share, up from its previous forecast of about $2.20 to $2.35 per share.


Key takeaways from the quarterly release:

  • Sales guidance for fiscal 2026 trimmed to 1% - 2% growth, down from 2% - 3%.
  • Company raised full-year adjusted profit guidance to $2.30 - $2.40 per share.
  • Gap expects ~$80 million in tariff relief to lift gross profit and operating income in fiscal 2026.
  • Quarterly revenue of $3.50 billion missed the $3.52 billion analysts' average.
  • Returned $464 million to shareholders in the first fiscal quarter via buybacks and dividends.

The company’s update underscores how weakening consumer sentiment and rising inflation are filtering into retail results, with specific pressure on discretionary apparel sales. Gap’s performance varied by brand, with Athleta declining and Old Navy slowing, even as new product introductions aim to re-engage shoppers.

Risks

  • Sustained weak consumer sentiment and higher inflation could further depress discretionary spending, affecting retail apparel sales and related supply chain demand.
  • Continued declines at specific brands, such as Athleta, and slowing growth at Old Navy present execution and demand risks within Gap's brand portfolio.
  • Second-quarter sales guidance of flat to down 1% is below analysts' expectations, creating uncertainty for near-term revenue performance and investor sentiment.

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