Stock Markets May 25, 2026 03:19 AM

European markets climb as reports suggest U.S. and Iran near agreement

Hopes the Strait of Hormuz could reopen weigh on oil prices and lift European indices

By Marcus Reed

European equities opened higher Monday after media reports suggested Washington and Tehran have reached an agreement in principle to end their recent conflict. Markets reacted to the prospect that the Strait of Hormuz - a key shipping chokepoint for oil - could be reopened, easing supply concerns that had driven crude above $100 a barrel in recent weeks. Brent crude fell sharply on the news while individual stocks, including Delivery Hero, saw significant moves on takeover speculation.

European markets climb as reports suggest U.S. and Iran near agreement

Key Points

  • European equities opened higher after reports that Washington and Tehran have agreed in principle on an accord to end a more than two-month old war.
  • The reported deal would include reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for roughly a fifth of global oil supplies, reducing a major supply disruption.
  • Brent crude futures fell 4.3% to $95.90 a barrel; Delivery Hero shares jumped to an 18-month high after receiving an indicative takeover offer from Uber.

European stock markets began the week on a stronger footing on Monday as a string of reports and public comments revived hopes that the United States and Iran are close to sealing a peace framework.

By 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), the pan-European Stoxx 600 had risen by 0.6%, the Dax in Germany had climbed by 1.0%, the CAC 40 in France had gained 0.9%, and the FTSE 100 in the U.K. was up by 0.2%.

Over the weekend, news outlets cited a senior White House official saying Washington and Tehran have agreed in principle on an accord to end their more than two-month old war. Crucially, the reports said the understanding would include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway off Iran’s southern coast through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil moves.

The strait has been largely closed to tanker traffic for weeks, a disruption that pushed oil prices higher and raised concerns about a possible spike in inflation across countries exposed to rising energy costs. Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, were last down by 4.3% at $95.90 a barrel. Although that marks a pullback from recent highs above $100 a barrel, Brent remains above the level seen before the conflict began in late February.

The senior official told reporters that specifics related to Iran’s nuclear ambitions still need to be fleshed out, and that Iran’s leadership is expected to take time before formally signing off on any framework understanding. In public comments, U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media that he had instructed his representatives "not to rush into a deal," and added that an American blockade on Iranian ports would stay in effect until an agreement is "reached, certified, and signed."

Exactly when a formal signing might occur is uncertain. Analysts at Vital Knowledge wrote that "presumably this will happen within the next few days."

On the corporate front, one of the larger individual moves was in Germany, where shares of Delivery Hero jumped to an 18-month high after the food delivery group said it had received an indicative takeover offer from ride-hailing company Uber.


Market context and logistics implications

From a shipping and energy perspective, reopening the Strait of Hormuz would directly affect tanker movements and global crude flows. The strait’s closure has been a direct contributor to higher benchmark crude prices and the related inflationary worries noted by investors, an issue that helped shape market positioning heading into the new week.

Individual stocks

Delivery Hero’s share price reaction reflected the takeover chatter; the company confirmed receipt of an indicative approach, while market participants moved quickly to price the potential transaction into the stock.

Overall, the early-morning gains across major European indices appeared driven largely by the improving prospects for a negotiated end to hostilities and the potential normalization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Risks

  • Timing and finalization remain uncertain - Iranian leadership is expected to take time before signing, and the official said details on Iran’s nuclear ambitions still need to be fleshed out, creating execution risk for markets and energy sectors.
  • U.S. political conditions - President Trump said he told representatives "not to rush into a deal" and indicated a blockade would remain until an agreement is "reached, certified, and signed," implying the blockade could continue and sustain shipping and energy market uncertainty until formal steps are completed.
  • Oil price volatility persists - although Brent fell from recent peaks, it remains above pre-conflict levels, leaving energy markets and inflation-sensitive sectors exposed until the situation is fully resolved.

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