Options traders are pricing in a potential 7.8% move in Autodesk Inc. shares when the software maker releases quarterly results on May 28 after the market close, according to options data compiled by Bloomberg.
That implied move is drawn from the pricing of near-the-money calls and puts ahead of the company's announcement. By contrast, actual stock reactions to prior Autodesk earnings have varied: in three of the most recent eight reports the share-price change exceeded the size suggested by options, while in the remaining five cases the market moved by a smaller amount than implied.
Below are the eight most recent earnings dates with the options-implied move and the subsequent actual stock performance:
- February 26, 2026 - options implied an 8.3% move; the stock moved 7.0%.
- November 25, 2025 - options implied a 4.4% move; the stock moved 3.2%.
- August 28, 2025 - options implied a 5.7% move; the stock moved 9.0%.
- May 22, 2025 - options implied a 5.2% move; the stock moved 0.1% lower.
- February 27, 2025 - options implied a 5.7% move; the stock fell 8.3%.
- November 26, 2024 - options implied a 7.0% move; the stock declined 3.8%.
- August 29, 2024 - options implied a 5.8% move; the stock moved 2.5%.
- June 10, 2024 - options implied a 3.6% move; the stock moved 4.9%.
The recent record shows that options-derived expectations are not always borne out by market action. For example, on August 28, 2025 the actual change of 9.0% outpaced the options-implied 5.7% move, while on February 26, 2026 implied volatility anticipated an 8.3% shift but the stock changed by 7.0%.
Investors and market participants typically monitor options-implied moves as a gauge of expected volatility around earnings events, but past Autodesk results illustrate that outcomes can vary materially from those expectations.
Context limitations - The data cited here reflect options-derived expectations and the company's historical stock responses on the dates listed. The information is specific to the figures and dates shown and does not attempt to explain underlying causes for the price movements.