Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,907 total articles

U.S.-Taiwan tax pact could gain traction after recent trade accord, AmCham says

U.S.-Taiwan tax pact could gain traction after recent trade accord, AmCham says

AmCham Taiwan's president said a long-pursued dual taxation agreement with the United States may see renewed momentum now that Taipei and Washington have settled a post-tariffs trade deal. The business group is sending a delegation to press officials in Washington, arguing the pact would remove a key barrier to investment and strengthen cooperation…

Asia rate moves recalibrate markets as Japan lifts policy rate to 1%

Asia rate moves recalibrate markets as Japan lifts policy rate to 1%

Central bank actions in Asia kept to the script on Tuesday as Japan raised its short-term policy rate to 1% - the highest level since 1995 - and Australia left its cash rate unchanged at 4.35%. Currency moves were muted immediately after the announcements. Market focus shifts to upcoming press conferences in Sydney and Tokyo, and to economic releas…

RBA Keeps Cash Rate at 4.35%, Signals Further Hikes Possible if Inflation Persists

RBA Keeps Cash Rate at 4.35%, Signals Further Hikes Possible if Inflation Persists

The Reserve Bank of Australia left its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% after its June policy meeting, saying the economy was slowing amid tighter financial conditions. The RBA reiterated that inflation remains too high and warned it could raise the cash rate further if required to control inflation. The bank has increased rates by 75 basis points sinc…

Myanmar's Economic Recovery Stalls as Fuel Crisis Deepens Structural Weaknesses

Myanmar's Economic Recovery Stalls as Fuel Crisis Deepens Structural Weaknesses

The World Bank has revised its economic forecast for Myanmar downward, citing a severe fuel price shock that has intensified pressure on the civil-war-torn nation. The downgrade to a 2.0% real GDP growth projection for the 2026/27 fiscal year reflects deep structural flaws and ongoing instability that continue to hamper recovery efforts despite rec…

Bank of Japan Advances Policy Rate to 31-Year Peak Amid Inflation Concerns

Bank of Japan Advances Policy Rate to 31-Year Peak Amid Inflation Concerns

The Bank of Japan has increased its short-term policy rate to 1.0%, marking the first hike since December and bringing monetary conditions to their tightest level in 31 years. The decision reflects the central bank's priority of managing inflationary risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. Governor Kazuo Ueda was absent due to med…

China's Economic Divergence: Industrial Strength Masks Deepening Consumer Weakness

China's Economic Divergence: Industrial Strength Masks Deepening Consumer Weakness

China's economic landscape in May revealed a stark divergence between robust industrial output and weakening domestic consumption. Retail sales fell by 0.6%, marking the first monthly decline since December 2022, while industrial production accelerated to a 4.5% year-on-year increase. This two-speed growth pattern highlights the ongoing challenges …

Asian Markets Cool on Iran Diplomacy as Japan Rate Hike Looms

Asian Markets Cool on Iran Diplomacy as Japan Rate Hike Looms

Asian equity markets advanced cautiously on Tuesday, tempering earlier enthusiasm following the announcement of a preliminary peace agreement between the United States and Iran. While diplomatic progress initially buoyed risk sentiment, the initial optimism has given way to a more measured approach as market participants shift their focus toward im…

Dollar Holds Near 10-Day Lows as Central Banks Weigh In

Dollar Holds Near 10-Day Lows as Central Banks Weigh In

The U.S. dollar traded near 10-day lows on Tuesday, supported by a tentative Middle East peace agreement that improved risk sentiment and pushed oil prices lower. However, currency gains were tempered as investors awaited key central bank announcements from Japan and Australia, which will provide insights into near-term inflation and interest rate …

Treasury Yields Slide to One-Month Low After Announcement of Preliminary Iran Deal

Treasury Yields Slide to One-Month Low After Announcement of Preliminary Iran Deal

U.S. Treasury yields dropped to the lowest levels in a month following an announcement of a preliminary agreement to end hostilities between the U.S. and Iran. The 10-year yield fell to 4.4197% before settling slightly higher, while the two-year yield retreated to 4.031%. The Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen and oil prices fell sharply, reflecting…

Iran-U.S. ceasefire could broaden market gains - consumers, small caps and ex-U.S. cyclicals seen as beneficiaries

Iran-U.S. ceasefire could broaden market gains - consumers, small caps and ex-U.S. cyclicals seen as beneficiaries

A weekend agreement to end hostilities between the U.S. and Iran and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices down and lifted U.S. equities, raising the prospect that cyclical and consumer-exposed stocks, small caps and non-U.S. markets could catch up to tech-driven gains. Strategists caution that interest-rate expectations and the ongoing do…

Euro-area yields slide after US-Iran preliminary deal eases oil supply concerns

Euro-area yields slide after US-Iran preliminary deal eases oil supply concerns

Euro zone sovereign yields fell on Monday after U.S. and Iranian officials said they reached a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The move pushed oil prices lower and eased immediate inflationary pressure, driving German 10-year and two-year yields to multi-week lows and prompting declines in bond markets glob…

IMF warns economic risks remain high despite reopening of Strait of Hormuz

IMF warns economic risks remain high despite reopening of Strait of Hormuz

The International Monetary Fund says it remains on high alert for lingering economic fallout from the Middle East conflict even after a US-Iran interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted that energy supplies will need time to recover, that commodity prices and inflation expectations have…

IMF says global growth has held up so far, but elevated risks remain

IMF says global growth has held up so far, but elevated risks remain

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the world economy is managing the fallout from the Middle East war so far, despite higher commodity prices, rising inflation and tighter financial conditions. She welcomed a U.S.-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz but cautioned that an escalation or supply disruptions wo…

Builder Confidence Slips in June as Rates and Material Costs Bite

Builder Confidence Slips in June as Rates and Material Costs Bite

US homebuilder sentiment fell in June, with the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropping two points to 35. The index has remained below 40 for 14 months, the longest stretch since the 2011-2012 foreclosure crisis. Industry pressure reflects higher mortgage rates, rising building-material costs and ongoing affordability challenges; residential…

Canada manufacturing output climbs on surge in petroleum and food sectors

Canada manufacturing output climbs on surge in petroleum and food sectors

Canada's manufacturing sales advanced 4.2% to C$77.1 billion in April, driven by a strong rebound in petroleum and coal products and gains in food manufacturing. Sales rose in 17 of 21 subsectors, with petroleum and coal products and food products reaching record highs. Inventories rose modestly while the inventory-to-sales ratio fell and unfilled …

Canadian Wholesale Sales Rise Led by Building Materials and Metals

Canadian Wholesale Sales Rise Led by Building Materials and Metals

Wholesale sales in Canada, excluding petroleum products and oilseed, increased 0.6% to $89.3 billion in April 2026. Year-over-year sales were up 6.3%. Gains were concentrated in the building material and supplies subsector, driven by strong metal product and mineral sales, while machinery, equipment and supplies eased back. Inventories rose modestl…

Brazil Vows Strong Response to Proposed 25% U.S. Tariff

Brazil Vows Strong Response to Proposed 25% U.S. Tariff

Brazil's Finance Minister Dario Durigan said the government will press its strongest legal and diplomatic arguments against a U.S. proposal to impose a 25% tariff on a broad range of Brazilian imports, and expressed hope the measure will not be enacted. Durigan described potential direct engagement between Presidents Lula and Trump and confirmed co…