Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,933 total articles
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva makes her first visit to Argentina amid growing investor confidence in President Javier Milei's reform agenda. Economic indicators such as rising exports, growing foreign-exchange reserves and sharply lower inflation have lifted sentiment, and credit rating agencies have issued upgrades. Still, a $32.3 bil…
A DIHK industry survey of more than 3,000 companies finds climbing energy costs are forcing many German firms to delay investment and contemplate cutting domestic capacity or shifting production overseas. The lobby group reports near-term business burdens and a weakening competitiveness outlook tied to energy price pressures.
The 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals on July 25 refused to allow the Trump administration to put into effect an executive order that would have imposed new requirements on mail-in voting in 23 states. The court denied the Justice Department’s request to stay a lower-court injunction that found essential portions of the March order unconstitutional…
A growing cohort of major brokerages now sees a tangible risk that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its July meeting, driven by a sharp jump in oil prices and renewed conflict in the Middle East. While most firms still list no change as their baseline, limited guidance from Chair Kevin Warsh and recent market moves have turned the u…
Italy's cabinet will meet to consider measures aimed at the surge in diesel costs, balancing support for households and energy-intensive firms with commitments to reduce the public deficit agreed with the European Union. A temporary excise duty cut implemented in March and ended on July 3 cost almost €2 billion and drew criticism from EU and IMF of…
British retailers recorded their least severe year-on-year sales drop in six months during July, according to the Confederation of British Industry. The CBI's distributive trades balance improved to -26 from -54 in June, while wholesalers reported broadly unchanged volumes and retailers' expectations for August strengthened. Despite the moderation,…
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned that while Japan is recording inflationary trends, the government cannot yet declare deflation risk eliminated. With consumer prices and the GDP deflator moving higher and wage gains beginning to appear, the administration is pressing for increased domestic investment, a recalibration of fiscal policy and cleare…
In the first 18 months of President Donald Trump’s second term the U.S. economy has absorbed a string of policy-led shocks - including a tightened immigration regime, higher tariffs and an unexpected war with Iran - while showing unexpected resilience. Growth has been supported by strong corporate issuance and heavy investment in AI infrastructure,…
Bank Indonesia faces renewed scrutiny after Governor Perry Warjiyo resigned unexpectedly after eight years in office. The appointment of senior deputy governor Destry Damayanti as interim chief provides short-term continuity, but markets are watching closely for the next permanent nominee and whether monetary policy will remain insulated from polit…
Shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait fell to its lowest level in months on Sunday, with tanker and commodity vessel traffic reduced after reported Houthi attacks on Saudi targets. Transit through the Strait of Hormuz was also limited over the weekend as a fragile cessation in U.S.-Iran airstrikes continued, raising concerns about renewed risks…
Investors enter a condensed week of potentially market-moving events that include a Federal Reserve interest rate decision, other major central bank announcements, a slate of earnings from the largest technology companies, key U.S. economic releases including the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, and evolving developments in the Middle East that hav…
U.S. stock futures rose as the United States and Iran announced a pause in hostilities, pushing oil prices down and lifting energy-sensitive equities in premarket trading. Airlines and cruise operators led gains while energy producers fell. Investors remain attentive to Federal Reserve policy signals and a slate of major tech earnings this week.
Slovak central bank governor Peter Kazimir said the European Central Bank will likely need to raise interest rates at least once more to keep inflation in check. He warned that further deterioration in the economic outlook or persistent price pressures from rising energy costs could require additional tightening beyond current expectations, and sai…
Policymakers in Tokyo, Washington and London face a volatile backdrop this week as rising energy prices, shipping risks in the Middle East and a new round of U.S. tariffs add to market uncertainty. A U.S. Federal Reserve meeting and big technology earnings will test investor expectations in the United States, while the Bank of Japan and Bank of Eng…
The Bank of England is widely expected to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% this week even after a recent jump in oil above $100 a barrel linked to the U.S.-Iran conflict. British inflation has eased to a 15-month low of 2.6% in June and remains below the BoE's earlier forecasts, but higher wholesale energy costs and market pricing for future hikes leave the…
U.S. equity futures moved higher after a two-day pause in strikes between the United States and Iran eased some pressure on oil markets. Investors are shifting focus to a busy week of corporate earnings, with roughly one-third of S&P 500 companies scheduled to report and aggregate earnings expected to rise sharply year-over-year. A Federal Reserve …
A U.S. weather agency's forecast of an 81% probability of a very strong El Niño through the October-December period is prompting concern among investors and central bankers. The event is likely to produce drought in parts of Asia and heavy rains in South America, endangering harvests, elevating food and electricity prices, and potentially forcing e…
Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo unexpectedly resigned on Monday for personal reasons, a move accepted by President Prabowo Subianto. Senior Deputy Governor Destry Damayanti will act as interim governor pending appointment of a permanent successor. The rupiah weakened and the benchmark stock index fell following the announcement, while the cen…
Planned changes to Germany’s sick-note regime - including the removal of telephone sick notes and allowing employers to demand medical certificates from day one - aim to curb rising absenteeism and boost productivity. Researchers and health-insurer data, however, highlight that elevated sick leave is concentrated in occupations with high emotional …
The Reserve Bank of India is widely expected to maintain its policy repo rate at 5.25% at the August 3-5 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and to keep rates on hold for the remainder of the year, according to a Reuters poll of economists conducted July 21-27. While consumer inflation ticked up to 4.38% in June - the first reading above the RBI's 4%…
A fragile halt in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, alongside renewed attacks by the Houthis on Saudi oil infrastructure, has been interpreted by markets as a tentative step toward de-escalation. Brent crude fell roughly 4% to $92.80. Equities showed modest gains, with Nasdaq futures rising about 1%, though Asian markets softened ahead of heav…
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 1% at a two-day meeting concluding on Friday, while signalling the possibility of additional rate increases in future statements. Rising producer prices tied to an energy shock, a depreciating yen and robust global demand for AI-related products are increasing upside risks to inflat…
Yardeni Research argues Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is signaling a move away from tying policy to the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate and toward measures that emphasize persistent price pressures. Warsh has avoided explicitly naming headline PCE as the policy benchmark and has urged focus on underlying inflatio…
U.S. equities enter a pivotal week as investors await a Federal Reserve policy decision and a wave of corporate earnings dominated by major technology firms spending heavily on artificial intelligence. Recent steep drops in Alphabet and Tesla have already trimmed major indexes, and rising oil and Treasury yields add to market uncertainty. Attention…
Goldman Sachs projects that the five task forces established by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will likely recommend limited, compromise-oriented adjustments rather than sweeping reforms. Consensus among FOMC members should constrain the scope of changes to Fed communications, the balance sheet, economic data practices, AI considerations, and th…
