Commodities May 28, 2026 09:06 AM

European gas edges up as fresh U.S.-Iran strikes unsettle shipping prospects

Dutch TTF and UK futures rise after a new round of strikes near Bandar Abbas and reported attacks on a U.S. base in Kuwait, reviving concerns over Strait of Hormuz traffic

By Caleb Monroe

European natural gas benchmarks rose on Thursday after renewed exchanges of strikes between U.S. forces and Iran undermined expectations for a near-term deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Dutch front-month TTF contract and British futures both moved higher as reports described strikes near Bandar Abbas, retaliation from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and an attack on a U.S. military base in Kuwait.

European gas edges up as fresh U.S.-Iran strikes unsettle shipping prospects

Key Points

  • Dutch TTF front-month contract rose 3.9% to 48.200 euros per megawatt hour by 08:45 ET (12:45 GMT), according to ICE data.
  • British natural gas futures increased 4.0% to 117.50 pence per therm.
  • Military exchanges near Bandar Abbas and reported strikes on a U.S. base in Kuwait heightened concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, affecting energy supply expectations - impacting energy and shipping sectors.

European natural gas prices rose on Thursday as a fresh exchange of strikes between U.S. forces and Iranian elements damped hopes for an imminent agreement that would restore normal tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Dutch front-month contract at the TTF hub was trading 3.9% higher at 48.200 euros per megawatt hour by 08:45 ET (12:45 GMT), based on ICE data. British natural gas futures also climbed, up 4.0% at 117.50 pence per therm.

Earlier in the day, the U.S. military struck targets near the Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas. Media reports said Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) responded by saying it had struck a U.S. military base in Kuwait, while Kuwaiti authorities reported they were defending against drone and missile attacks.

Reuters reported that the U.S. military shot down four Iranian attack drones and struck a ground control station in Bandar Abbas. Those reported actions represent a renewed kinetic exchange between the two sides, at a time when Tehran had warned of reprisals after U.S. strikes earlier in the week.

The U.S. military described its actions as in "self defense," and maintained that a ceasefire with Iran remained in place. Nonetheless, the sequence of strikes on Thursday raised the prospect of a resumption in open hostilities between Washington and Tehran.

The incidents occurred shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump dismissed a report that Iran and Oman would handle shipping through the Strait of Hormuz under a deal to end the war. The president said Iran wanted a deal but that he was not satisfied with the terms.

Amid those diplomatic efforts to end hostilities, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was reported to have nearly halted, removing a portion of global oil and gas supplies from the market and applying upward pressure on energy prices.


Context note: This report reflects market moves and reported military actions as described by media and military statements on the day in question.

Risks

  • Potential resumption of open hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, which could further disrupt energy markets and shipping routes - affecting energy prices and maritime transport.
  • Continued partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has already dented global oil and gas supplies and could sustain upward pressure on energy prices - impacting downstream industries and fuel-sensitive sectors.
  • Diplomatic uncertainty over proposals to alter management of Strait of Hormuz shipping, with no confirmed agreement and public statements indicating dissatisfaction with reported deals - creating market volatility in energy and logistics.

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