When Bonds Stop Offsetting Stocks: What a 30-Year Low in Correlation Means for Portfolios
UBS reports the two-month rolling correlation between the S&P 500 and the 10-year Treasury yield has dropped to -0.69, the lowest reading since 1996. Historically, negative bond-equity correlations have offered downside protection for balanced portfolios because investors flock to government bonds when equities fall. That relationship is weakening …