Stock Markets July 23, 2026 01:23 PM

Morgan Stanley Views Power-Rich Bitcoin Miners as Fastest Route to AI Data Center Capacity

Broker sees Hut 8 and Riot Platforms positioned to capture lease demand as hyperscalers chase grid-connected compute capacity

By Marcus Reed
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HUT RIOT APLD

Morgan Stanley has begun covering bitcoin mining companies transitioning to AI infrastructure, arguing that firms owning large, grid-tied power sites are uniquely placed to meet growing demand for AI data centers. The bank initiated Overweight ratings on Hut 8 Mining and Riot Platforms and an Equal-weight on Applied Digital, highlighting power constraints as the main bottleneck for compute expansion and forecasting persistent U.S. power shortages for data center builds through 2028 even if major mining sites are repurposed.

Morgan Stanley Views Power-Rich Bitcoin Miners as Fastest Route to AI Data Center Capacity
HUT RIOT APLD
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Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of bitcoin miners transitioning to AI infrastructure, citing power-constrained AI demand as a key driver.
  • The brokerage started Overweight ratings on Hut 8 and Riot Platforms, and Equal-weight on Applied Digital, with Hut 8 named as the top pick and a $263 price target.
  • Sectors impacted include data centers, electricity/power markets, and industrial real estate tied to powered shell assets.

Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of bitcoin miners that are repositioning their operations toward AI infrastructure, arguing that companies with substantial, grid-connected power footprints could become preferred partners for hyperscale AI developers seeking rapid access to electricity-backed compute capacity.

The firm said power supply has emerged as the primary constraint on AI infrastructure growth, elevating the attractiveness of existing bitcoin mining campuses as potential sites for data center conversion. According to Morgan Stanley, owners of "powered shell" assets - facilities with substantial on-site power and grid interconnections - can extract favorable lease economics as AI firms race to secure electricity and accelerate deployments.

The brokerage expects demand for compute to persistently outstrip available supply, and it warned that U.S. data center developers could still confront power shortages through 2028 even if all major bitcoin mining locations were repurposed to handle AI workloads. That backdrop, Morgan Stanley argued, supports long-term value creation for companies that already control grid-ready power assets.

In its initial coverage, Morgan Stanley assigned Overweight ratings to Hut 8 Mining and Riot Platforms while giving Applied Digital an Equal-weight rating. The firm selected Hut 8 as its top pick and set a price target of $263, a level the report said implies roughly 141% upside from prevailing share prices.

Hut 8 was described as having consistently secured high-quality AI infrastructure leases and holding one of the sector's strongest portfolios of power assets, which Morgan Stanley said positions the company to benefit from future data center expansion.

Riot Platforms was also rated Overweight with a $36 price target. Morgan Stanley pointed to Riot's substantial pipeline of powered sites, singling out its Corsicana and Rockdale campuses as likely to attract AI data center tenants. The report noted Riot's existing grid interconnections and infrastructure could enable economically attractive conversions as the company shifts emphasis away from bitcoin mining.

Applied Digital received an Equal-weight rating with a $36.50 price target. While Morgan Stanley acknowledged Applied Digital's sizeable portfolio of contracted AI data center leases, the firm highlighted comparatively lower returns on invested capital and financing risks associated with its development pipeline as constraints on upside potential.

The report emphasized that AI capabilities are evolving at a non-linear pace and that this technical acceleration is driving sustained demand for computing power that exceeds current supply. In Morgan Stanley's view, bitcoin mining operators that already own robust power infrastructure offer one of the quickest and lowest-risk avenues to mitigate electricity constraints confronting hyperscale AI developers.

Market moves referenced in the coverage included intraday changes for the stocks mentioned: RIOT +3.64%, HUT +7.7%, and APLD -0.33%.


This analysis frames a potential industry pivot in which power-rich industrial campuses are repurposed to meet AI computing needs, with implications for data center development, power markets, and owners of specialized industrial real estate.

Risks

  • Morgan Stanley estimates U.S. data center developers could still face power shortages through 2028 even if major bitcoin mining sites are repurposed, creating continued supply constraints for AI capacity.
  • Applied Digital's upside is tempered by lower returns on invested capital relative to peers and financing risks associated with its development pipeline.
  • The speed of conversion from bitcoin mining to AI data center use and the availability of grid interconnections could affect lease economics and timing for potential tenants.

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