Stock Markets July 23, 2026 04:57 PM

Intel's Blowout Quarter Lifts AMD and Arm in After-Hours Trading

Stronger-than-expected Intel results and supply-tight server CPU market push semiconductor peers higher as investors reprice near-term growth expectations

By Hana Yamamoto
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Intel reported a sizable revenue and earnings beat for Q2, driving gains across the semiconductor sector after the bell. The chipmaker's results - including $16.13 billion in revenue and $0.42 adjusted EPS - underscore tight supply in server CPUs and raise the bar for rivals AMD and Arm ahead of their upcoming reports.

Intel's Blowout Quarter Lifts AMD and Arm in After-Hours Trading
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Key Points

  • Intel reported $16.13 billion in Q2 revenue, beating the $14.33 billion consensus by about $1.8 billion, and posted adjusted EPS of $0.42 versus a $0.21 consensus.
  • After-hours trading saw Intel jump roughly 9.51% to about $109.76; AMD and Arm also rose after the bell, with AMD up roughly 2.93% and Arm up about 4.26%.
  • A supply crunch in server CPUs is supporting stronger pricing and longer-term purchase commitments, with reports that China server CPU prices for some products have risen more than 40% since the start of 2026.

Intel reported $16.13 billion in revenue for the second quarter on Thursday, outstripping the Wall Street consensus of $14.33 billion by about $1.8 billion and sparking a broad positive reaction in the chip sector in after-hours trading.

The quarterly release also showed adjusted earnings per share of $0.42, versus a consensus estimate of $0.21. Intel described the quarter as its fastest revenue growth in nearly 15 years - a development that immediately reverberated across semiconductor peers.

Shares of Intel finished the regular NYSE session at $100.10, down 2.46% for the day, before jumping roughly 9.51% in after-hours trading to about $109.76 once the results were public. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) and Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) also advanced after hours - AMD rose from a close of $539.51 to roughly $555.49, an increase of around 2.93%, while Arm moved from $283.04 to about $295.11, up approximately 4.26%.

Intel's revenue outperformance was supported by a 13% year-over-year increase in its Client Computing Group, which generated $8.9 billion during the quarter. But company commentary and market signals point to a broader supply-constrained environment in server CPUs that has become a dominant theme beyond the GPU shortages that drove headlines earlier.

Reuters, citing two people familiar with the matter, reported on Thursday that both Intel and AMD are entering longer-term purchase commitments with Chinese data-centre customers as prices climb. Those same sources indicated that for some server CPU products in China, prices have risen by more than 40% since the start of 2026, with month-on-month increases exceeding 10%.

On an April analyst call, Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan said demand "continues to run ahead of supply, especially for Xeon server CPUs." He highlighted a multi-year supply agreement with Google among several long-term contracts Intel signed in the first quarter of 2026, and noted that lead times for certain products have stretched to six months.

Looking ahead, Intel's guidance for Q3 2026 calls for revenue between $15.8 billion and $16.8 billion, above the consensus estimate of $15.1 billion. The midpoint of Intel's guidance would mark the company's third consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year growth, representing a notable reversal after periods of market share loss to AMD and Arm-based architectures over earlier years.

The results arrive at a sensitive juncture for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which had dropped roughly 20% from its June peak in the days before Intel's announcement. A quarter of the magnitude reported by Intel may help slow or reverse that decline, but whether the lift sustains will depend substantially on upcoming earnings from key peers.

Advanced Micro Devices is scheduled to report Q2 2026 results on August 4, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.61. AMD has already raised its outlook for the server CPU market to more than $120 billion by 2030, citing elevated demand tied to agentic AI workloads. Intel's strong showing tightens scrutiny on AMD's data-centre segment ahead of that release.

Arm Holdings is due to publish quarterly fiscal results on July 29, where consensus EPS stands at $0.37. Options markets were pricing in an implied move of approximately 11% around Arm's results date. Arm's after-hours gains on Thursday reflect lifted sentiment across the sector, but the company's near-term performance will depend on royalty volumes and licensing activity - drivers that are not directly interchangeable with Intel's shipped CPU volumes.


Market context - Intel's beat combined with guidance above consensus has prompted investors to re-evaluate revenue prospects across server CPU vendors. The dynamics of supply constraints, multi-year deals with major cloud customers, and elevated pricing in China are central to the market reaction and to the outlook for competitors.

What to watch next - AMD's and Arm's upcoming quarterly reports will be focal points for investors deciding whether Intel's momentum is industry-wide and durable. For AMD, the data-centre segment will be under close scrutiny; for Arm, royalty and licensing metrics will be the critical read-throughs.

Risks

  • Sustainability of sector rebound depends on upcoming earnings from AMD and Arm - poor results from those firms could reverse the current positive reaction (impacts semiconductors and technology markets).
  • Tight supply and rising prices in China and elsewhere may pressure customer relationships or prompt substitution if shortages persist (impacts data-centre operators and server CPU vendors).
  • Arm's business is driven by royalties and licensing, which do not directly track CPU shipment trends - positive momentum for Intel does not guarantee similar outcomes for Arm (impacts licensing-dependent semiconductor firms).

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