Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
Oman and Iran have agreed to create a joint working team tasked with developing a framework for managing navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. The commitment was made during talks in Muscat involving senior Iranian and Omani officials and includes plans to consult other coastal states and relevant parties while upholding each country's sovereign…
Goldman Sachs expects core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation to stay high through the end of 2026, then decline meaningfully in 2027 as pressures linked to artificial intelligence and energy passthrough ease. The firm’s forecasts for core PCE and core CPI show cooling between December 2026 and December 2027, supported by lower oil p…
Bank of America expects Mexico's central bank to vote unanimously to maintain its policy rate at 6.50% at the June 25 meeting and to keep that level through 2026. The firm highlights weak domestic activity, a negative output gap, contracting consumption and investment in Q1, and a relatively strong peso. Inflation sits below 4% but remains above ta…
Former Bank of Japan policymaker Sayuri Shirai said the yen could weaken to around 165 per dollar if the Federal Reserve raises rates this year, pointing to persistent U.S.-Japan interest-rate differentials and limited scope for renewed intervention in currency markets. Market positioning, recent BOJ moves and fiscal risks in Tokyo add to pressure …
The Federal Reserve will publish the results of its annual bank stress tests on Wednesday at 4:00 p.m. ET (2000 GMT). The exercise models a severe economic downturn to determine whether large banks would remain above minimum capital thresholds and to calculate the size of an additional stress capital buffer. This year’s results will offer a snapsho…
Ten years after the 2016 referendum, the economic consequences of Britain’s decision to leave the European Union continue to show across growth, prices, finance and markets. While some sectors such as fintech, life sciences and AI have maintained strong global positions, overarching weaknesses in investment, productivity and political stability hav…
Macquarie Economics predicts China will step up fiscal support in the months ahead to arrest a deeper slowdown, while stopping short of the broad, aggressive stimulus measures deployed in 2024. Economists Larry Hu and Yuxiao Zhang say a modest near-term easing of fiscal policy is likely, driven by a desire to protect growth without overcommitting b…
European Central Bank policymaker Peter Kazimir said on June 23 that the bank has more to do to ensure inflation expectations remain anchored, noting that damage from the Middle East conflict will not be undone quickly. He highlighted the June rate increase as a tool that positions the ECB to respond if incoming data require further action, and sai…
U.S. equity futures pointed lower as investors scaled back exposure to technology names, driven by fresh weakness in SpaceX shares and rising doubts about the sustainability of heavy AI-related investment. Nasdaq 100 futures plunged, while S&P 500 and Dow futures also moved lower. Energy markets softened after signs of progress in U.S.-Iran negotia…
European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane told lawmakers that euro zone inflation could remain above the ECB's 2% target for an extended period, even if a resolution of the Middle East conflict reduces near-term energy price pressure. He said the central bank raised rates this month to guard longer-term inflation expectations and that marke…
June's flash S&P Global UK Services PMI fell to 48.7 from 49.3, the weakest reading since January 2023, signaling contraction in Britain’s services sector with steep declines in employment and new business. The drop, together with weaker manufacturing and a soft composite PMI, highlights economic fragility as a likely change in prime ministership a…
Pakistan’s involvement in facilitating talks between Iran and the United States has won international praise and created an opening to convert diplomatic capital into economic advantages. Analysts and former officials, however, caution that any external goodwill will not resolve Pakistan’s deep fiscal imbalances, narrow tax base, and recurring reli…
European equity futures pointed to a weaker start on Tuesday as traders priced in further Federal Reserve tightening and worried that increased corporate spending on artificial intelligence could strain balance sheets. Futures tracking the STOXX 600, DAX and CAC 40 were all lower, while markets maintained bets on ECB rate moves despite dovish signa…
Nissan has halted development of a fully electric version of its Qashqai SUV, sources say, as the automaker trims models and seeks cost savings. The move affects plans tied to the Sunderland plant in Britain, raises questions about the timing of any future EV launch of the Qashqai, and comes amid broader changes to Nissan’s global product mix and U…
India's private sector growth eased in June to its weakest pace in three months, driven by softer new orders and falling business confidence. HSBC's flash composite PMI, compiled by S&P Global, slipped to 57.4 from 59.3 in May, with both services and manufacturing readings declining. Employment gains were marginal, cost pressures continued to moder…
A recent episode of The Big View examines the phenomenon dubbed 'Muskism' and asks whether the SpaceX founder's emergence as the first trillionaire reflects a singular case or a broader model. The discussion highlights how he reportedly achieved that status by flouting conventional business practices, disrupting financial norms and aligning with fa…
The yen approached depths not seen in decades, trading around 161.60 per dollar in Asian hours after earlier touching near-historic levels during U.S. trade. An online discussion between Japan's finance minister and the U.S. Treasury secretary has raised the prospect of coordinated action even as past intervention and Bank of Japan rate hikes have …
Baseten, a California-based artificial intelligence startup co-founded by Australians, has raised $1.5 billion in a funding round that values the company at $13 billion. The investment underscores the growing capital influx into AI firms, particularly those providing infrastructure for commercializing generative AI. Australian venture capital firm …
The U.S. dollar maintained its strength on Tuesday as financial markets recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy, with a majority of traders now anticipating rate increases later this year. Concurrently, oil prices staged a rebound following recent declines, while the Japanese yen approached its weakest levels in four decades, …
Asian stock markets experienced a broad decline on Tuesday as investors shifted their focus from speculative growth assets to more defensive sectors. This market movement coincided with a significant repricing of Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, driven by an increased likelihood of aggressive rate hikes to combat inflation. Simultaneousl…
U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to file a new lawsuit against ABC, alleging false reporting regarding the condition and maintenance history of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C. The president's social media posts claim the network failed to disclose historical spending by previous administrations on the site. T…
Australia's property market is undergoing a significant transformation as the Labor government's plan to eliminate negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount takes effect. The policy shift, designed to improve affordability for first-home buyers, has already led to a sharp decline in auction clearance rates and dampened investor participat…
The Five Eyes intelligence alliance has issued a stark warning regarding the rapid advancement of frontier artificial intelligence models, stating that these technologies are poised to significantly enhance offensive hacking capabilities. The alliance emphasized that the timeline for this transformation is measured in months rather than years, nece…
The U.S. Senate has moved forward with a comprehensive bipartisan housing bill aimed at addressing a chronic shortage of affordable single-family homes. The legislation, known as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, introduces caps on institutional investors, streamlines permitting processes, and expands financing options. This move comes as voter…
Global equity markets delivered a mixed performance on Monday as investors navigated a complex landscape of geopolitical developments and macroeconomic data. Optimism surrounding Middle East peace talks provided support for Asian and European markets, while Wall Street faced headwinds from technology sector volatility and interest rate concerns. Co…
