Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

6,933 total articles

Calmer markets ahead of earnings rush as Samsung and banks take centre stage

Calmer markets ahead of earnings rush as Samsung and banks take centre stage

Global markets began the week in a subdued fashion as attention turns to a heavy earnings calendar and a mix of geopolitical and economic datapoints. Oil softened after OPEC+ agreed a modest output increase, Asian equities pared gains following strong year-to-date rallies, and investors await Federal Reserve minutes and several central bank appeara…

How a K-shaped Recovery Reshapes Demand and Policy Choices

How a K-shaped Recovery Reshapes Demand and Policy Choices

K-shaped dynamics that surfaced in late 2024 to early 2025 describe a widening split in consumption between higher- and lower-income households. Bank of America notes the top 10% of households accounted for about 23% of consumption while the bottom 10% contributed roughly 4%. That divergence makes overall demand increasingly dependent on wealthy ho…

Investors Await Fed Minutes and Early Earnings Cues as Tech Leads Market Churn

Investors Await Fed Minutes and Early Earnings Cues as Tech Leads Market Churn

Market participants enter the week looking for guidance on interest-rate prospects from minutes of last month’s Federal Reserve meeting and initial signals from a consequential earnings season. The recent rally, driven largely by technology and semiconductor gains that lifted the S&P 500 in the second quarter, has shown fresh instability. Investors…

OPEC+ Seen Approving 188,000 bpd Aug. Output Increase as Supply Gradually Returns

OPEC+ Seen Approving 188,000 bpd Aug. Output Increase as Supply Gradually Returns

OPEC+ delegates are expected to authorize a further rise in production targets for August, amounting to 188,000 barrels per day, according to sources familiar with internal talks. The move would follow quota increases for June and July as the producer group continues a step-by-step restoration of supply disrupted during the recent conflict that clo…

Khamenei Family Members Lead Public Rites as New Supreme Leader Remains Unseen

Khamenei Family Members Lead Public Rites as New Supreme Leader Remains Unseen

Three of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's sons attended public funeral services in Tehran for the late supreme leader and four family members, while Mojtaba Khamenei - who succeeded his father - did not appear. Authorities staged large-scale processions and mobilization plans as the country prepares further ceremonies at home and in Iraq, and reported inju…

Mass Mourning in Tehran as U.S. Says Talks with Iran Will Resume After Ceremonies

Mass Mourning in Tehran as U.S. Says Talks with Iran Will Resume After Ceremonies

Millions attended a second day of public mourning in Tehran for Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as U.S. President Donald Trump said negotiations with Tehran are expected to resume once weeklong funeral rites conclude. Ceremonies will continue in multiple Iranian cities and in Iraq before burial in Mashhad later this week. Diplomac…

EV battery life outpaces expectations as replacement worries linger

EV battery life outpaces expectations as replacement worries linger

Recent battery-performance data indicate that contemporary electric vehicle battery packs are holding up far better than many anticipated. Analytics from Recurrent find average EVs keep as much as 95% of their original driving range after five years, and replacement rates for vehicles built since 2022 have fallen to 0.3%. Despite these improvements…

Trump Delivers National Mall Address as U.S. Observes 250th Anniversary

Trump Delivers National Mall Address as U.S. Observes 250th Anniversary

President Donald Trump marked the United States' 250th anniversary with an address on the National Mall that celebrated the nation's history and called for unity. The program was delayed by weather for more than an hour, included military honors and historical flag displays, and concluded with a record-setting fireworks show. Organizers and authori…

New Zealand Pledges Seven New Trade Talks Under National Party Victory

New Zealand Pledges Seven New Trade Talks Under National Party Victory

New Zealand’s National Party has outlined an ambitious trade expansion plan, promising to initiate negotiations for seven new free trade agreements within its first five years in office if it wins the upcoming general election. The proposal aims to open new markets for New Zealand exporters, building on recent successes in India and the European Un…

Australia Advances Regional Security Ties and Nuclear Energy Deal With India

Australia Advances Regional Security Ties and Nuclear Energy Deal With India

Australia is moving forward with two major strategic agreements this week, formalizing a security partnership with Fiji and finalizing a uranium export deal with India. The Vuvale Union aims to expand defense cooperation in the Pacific, while the nuclear agreement addresses India's civilian energy needs. These developments highlight Canberra's focu…

Trump and Putin Hold Extended Dialogue on Ukraine, Iran, and NATO Logistics

Trump and Putin Hold Extended Dialogue on Ukraine, Iran, and NATO Logistics

U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin conducted an 85-minute phone call on Saturday, addressing the ongoing war in Ukraine, the conflict involving Iran, and preparations for the upcoming NATO summit in Ankara. The conversation highlighted divergent approaches to conflict resolution, with Moscow emphasizing core interests …

Vance Urges Political Renewal in Britain, Signals Enduring US-UK Bond

Vance Urges Political Renewal in Britain, Signals Enduring US-UK Bond

U.S. Vice President JD Vance has expressed concern over the United Kingdom's recent political volatility, asserting that the nation has suffered from prolonged leadership failures. Following Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s announcement to resign after just two years in office, Vance highlighted the unprecedented frequency of leadership changes as evi…

Trump Administration Unveils Massive Regulatory Rollback Plan Targeting 702 Rules

Trump Administration Unveils Massive Regulatory Rollback Plan Targeting 702 Rules

The Trump administration has introduced a sweeping plan to dismantle 702 federal regulations across various agencies, signaling an aggressive push toward deregulation. This initiative, which builds upon hundreds of rules already addressed this fiscal year, is projected to yield up to $1.5 trillion in economic savings. Central to the strategy is the…

Goldman Lifts USD/JPY Targets as Japan Faces Continued Depreciation Pressure

Goldman Lifts USD/JPY Targets as Japan Faces Continued Depreciation Pressure

Goldman Sachs has raised its near- and medium-term forecasts for the dollar against the yen, pointing to higher-for-longer U.S. yields, limited U.S. recession risk, fiscal pressures in Japan and only incremental moves from the Bank of Japan as reasons the yen will likely remain under pressure. The bank now expects USD/JPY to reach 162 in three mont…

France's Budget Fight Escalates as Fiscal Strains and Political Risks Grow

France's Budget Fight Escalates as Fiscal Strains and Political Risks Grow

French officials have warned that failure to pass a new finance bill could deepen fiscal pressures and spark renewed political instability. The government is seeking support to reduce the budget deficit to below 5% of GDP by 2027, while cautioning that without a fresh budget the deficit could reach 6.5% as current spending rolls over. The debate un…

BofA: FX Intervention Leaves Mark on Reserves and Central Bank Balance Sheets

BofA: FX Intervention Leaves Mark on Reserves and Central Bank Balance Sheets

Bank of America observes that foreign exchange intervention, though infrequent among major economies, can have outsized effects on global markets, central bank reserves and U.S. Treasury trading. Recent activity in the Japanese yen and Swiss franc illustrate how official action, including coordinated operations and verbal guidance, can influence in…