Economy June 30, 2026 07:02 AM

India’s Early Fiscal Shortfall Reaches 9.6% of Annual Target in April-May

April-May deficit at 1.62 trillion rupees as tax receipts hold steady and spending rises, including higher capital outlays

By Hana Yamamoto
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Government data show India recorded a fiscal deficit of 1.62 trillion rupees in April-May, equal to 9.6% of the full-year fiscal target of 16.96 trillion rupees for 2026/27. Net tax receipts were unchanged year-on-year at 3.5 trillion rupees, while non-tax revenue edged down to 3.5 trillion rupees from 3.6 trillion rupees a year earlier. Total expenditure rose to 8.8 trillion rupees, with capital expenditure at 2.5 trillion rupees.

India’s Early Fiscal Shortfall Reaches 9.6% of Annual Target in April-May
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Key Points

  • April-May fiscal deficit totaled 1.62 trillion rupees, representing 9.6% of the 16.96 trillion rupee full-year target for 2026/27.
  • Net tax receipts were 3.5 trillion rupees, unchanged from the same period a year ago; non-tax revenue was slightly lower at 3.5 trillion rupees versus 3.6 trillion a year earlier.
  • Total government expenditure rose to 8.8 trillion rupees, with capital expenditure - spending on physical infrastructure - increasing to 2.5 trillion rupees from 2.2 trillion rupees.

New Delhi, June 30 - India posted a fiscal deficit of 1.62 trillion rupees in the April-May period, equivalent to 9.6% of the government's full-year estimate for the financial year ending March 31, official data showed on Tuesday. That full-year fiscal deficit target for 2026/27 is set at 4.3% of GDP, or 16.96 trillion rupees.

The shortfall for April-May this year contrasts with a notably smaller deficit of 131.6 billion rupees in the same two-month period a year earlier.

On the revenue side, net tax receipts during April-May stood at 3.5 trillion rupees, unchanged from the corresponding period a year ago. Non-tax receipts were recorded at 3.5 trillion rupees, down slightly from 3.6 trillion rupees a year earlier.

Government spending increased in the opening two months of the financial year. Total expenditure rose to 8.8 trillion rupees versus 7.5 trillion rupees in the same period last year. Capital expenditure - defined in the release as spending on building physical infrastructure - came in at 2.5 trillion rupees, up from 2.2 trillion rupees a year earlier.

The data release also included an exchange rate reference of $1 = 94.6600 Indian rupees.


Context and implications within the reported figures

The numbers reported provide a snapshot of the government's fiscal position in the first two months of the financial year. Revenues from net taxes remained flat relative to the prior year period, while non-tax receipts showed a small decline. On the expenditure side, both overall outlays and capital spending increased year-on-year in April-May.

These elements together produced the 1.62 trillion rupee deficit figure, which represents 9.6% of the 16.96 trillion rupee full-year fiscal deficit target set by the government for 2026/27.

Risks

  • The April-May deficit of 1.62 trillion rupees is substantially larger than the 131.6 billion rupee deficit in the same period last year - a pronounced year-on-year increase reflected in the official data.
  • Net tax receipts held steady year-on-year while non-tax revenues edged down, limiting revenue-side support during the opening months.
  • Government spending expanded in April-May, with total expenditure rising to 8.8 trillion rupees and capital spending increasing to 2.5 trillion rupees, highlighting fiscal outlays as a component of the larger early deficit.

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