Foreign exchange markets and global currency movements.
Coverage of currency markets including major pairs, central bank actions, interest-rate differentials, and geopolitical influences. This section highlights trends in FX markets that impact global trade, inflation, and cross-asset correlations.
624 total articles
Deutsche Bank's head of foreign exchange research, George Saravelos, says the June Federal Reserve meeting - the first led by incoming chair Kevin Warsh - will be a pivotal moment for rate policy and could spark notable market volatility. Saravelos highlighted the ongoing debate over whether U.S. interest rates are sufficiently restrictive amid sol…
The Republican People’s Party (CHP) in Turkey faces a deepening leadership split after a court annulled its 2023 congress that elected Ozgur Ozel and restored Kemal Kilicdaroglu to the chairmanship. Both men planned to address party lawmakers at rival gatherings on Tuesday, with MPs loyal to Ozel assembling at parliament and Kilicdaroglu calling su…
Most Asian currencies strengthened on Tuesday while the U.S. dollar eased from a two-month peak as investors reacted to a tentative halt in hostilities between Israel and Iran and prepared for U.S. consumer price data. China reported a sharp acceleration in May exports and a widening trade surplus, while global yields remained elevated after a robu…
Wells Fargo’s emerging markets strategy team closed its recommendations to bet against the dollar versus the Chilean and Argentine pesos, pointing to a firmer near-term dollar driven by a backup in the U.S. yield curve - particularly real rates - and increased uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s central outlook. The bank realized about a 10.6%…
Sterling and the euro rose slightly on Monday after the dollar surged on a surprisingly strong U.S. jobs report. As of 08:42 ET (12:42 GMT), GBP/USD was up 0.12% at 1.3358 and EUR/USD climbed 0.19% to 1.1543. The moves come against a backdrop of markets repricing Federal Reserve tightening, a blackout period ahead of the June 17 FOMC meeting, and a…
Asian currencies steadied on Monday following a retreat in the prior session as markets digested stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls that have increased the odds of tighter Federal Reserve policy. The U.S. Dollar Index remained close to a two-month peak, while regional pairs moved unevenly amid fresh geopolitical tensions in the Gulf that underpin…
UBS analysts say unusually muted swings across major FX pairs have driven implied volatility lower, reducing the cost of hedging U.S. dollar exposure. With the dollar currently supported by higher interest rates and geopolitical tensions, investors may find now an opportune moment to add currency hedges, while selectively increasing exposure to cur…
Bank of America retains a guarded near-term stance on the euro, pointing to risks from energy markets and relatively stronger U.S. economic momentum. While investor sentiment toward Europe has weakened and energy-related exposure leaves the currency vulnerable, expectations for energy normalization and improved euro-area growth later in the year un…
Sterling and the euro retreated on Friday after U.S. labor market figures showed stronger-than-anticipated hiring, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer and supporting demand for the dollar. GBP/USD traded lower at 1.3413 as of 08:55 ET (12:55 GMT), while EUR/USD eased to 1.1594, with market …
The U.S. dollar steadied on Friday and was poised to finish the week higher as elevated tensions in the Middle East reinforced expectations of stronger inflation and a persistently hawkish U.S. rate outlook. Market attention concentrated on the upcoming May nonfarm payrolls release for fresh guidance on the U.S. economy and interest rates, while un…
Sterling and the euro edged higher against the dollar on Thursday as traders took a breather ahead of the U.S. non-farm payrolls report. GBP/USD traded around 1.3459 after a modest recovery, while EUR/USD held near 1.1640. The dollar’s fundamental strength persists following firm U.S. data and a cautious Fed outlook, and geopolitical friction betwe…
Most Asian currencies steadied on Thursday following large declines the previous session as the U.S. dollar remained close to a roughly two-month high. Markets were balancing a Washington statement that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to implement a ceasefire - contingent on Hezbollah halting its attacks - against fresh regional hostilities and stron…
The Canadian dollar fell to its weakest level in eight weeks amid heightened Middle East hostilities and U.S. trade actions. The loonie traded lower versus the U.S. dollar as oil prices rose and economic data showed a modest services expansion alongside a recent contraction in GDP growth. Market sentiment shifted toward the U.S. dollar and equities…
The Japanese yen fell to around 160 per U.S. dollar after renewed tensions in the Gulf region prompted investors to seek safety in the dollar. Iranian ballistic missile launches and subsequent U.S. strikes contributed to the move, which wiped out gains from Tokyo's large-scale intervention a month ago. Rising oil prices and stalled diplomacy have s…
Sterling and the euro slipped modestly as the dollar gained traction following stronger-than-expected U.S. labour market data. Renewed tensions in the Middle East and a rebound in oil prices added to concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to keep policy restrictive for longer, weighing on risk-sensitive currencies and sentiment.
Turkey's central bank reported gross foreign exchange reserves of $54.22 billion as of May 22, down from $61.23 billion a week earlier. The level represents the lowest reserves since June 2021. The central bank sold billions of dollars in the latter part of May; those sales occurred after a court ruling that removed the leader of the main oppositio…
The Swiss economy ministry dismissed conclusions from a U.S. probe into how countries handle imports made with forced labour, rejecting recommendations that Switzerland faces higher tariffs. The U.S. Trade Representative has proposed new duties of 10% or 12.5% on goods from 60 economies to address alleged failures to curb trade in forced-labour pro…
Asian foreign-exchange markets were broadly subdued as investors digested renewed military activity in the Middle East, a sweeping U.S. tariff proposal and fresh warnings from Japanese authorities after the yen briefly crossed the 160-per-dollar threshold. The U.S. Dollar Index edged modestly higher while regional currencies saw small moves amid at…
The euro's share of global markets stayed roughly unchanged at about 20% last year, according to a European Central Bank report. Despite expectations that uncertain U.S. economic policy could have boosted the euro's standing as an alternative to the dollar, investors redirected capital into gold and smaller currencies. The euro did, however, record…
BCA Research says the dollar's muted reaction during the Iran-related tensions reflects a retreat in geopolitical risk premia rather than an erosion of confidence in the currency. With risk sentiment improving and interest-rate and growth dynamics set to favor the U.S., the research house expects the dollar to remain resilient over the coming quart…
The pound found modest support alongside the euro on Tuesday as the dollar softened amid renewed US-Iran negotiation breakdowns and a retreat in Brent crude below $95. GBP/USD and EUR/USD both advanced slightly in early New York trade, while attention remained on USD/JPY approaching the psychologically important 160.0 level and on incoming US and e…
A European Central Bank report finds the euro increasingly behaved like a safe-haven currency during several episodes of market stress in 2025 and early 2026, moving in tandem with the Swiss franc and Japanese yen. The report links these shifts to specific U.S.-originated risk events, changes in official holdings of U.S. Treasuries and stronger for…
The U.S. dollar remained steady as traders digested contradictory messages about talks between Washington and Tehran. Currency markets traded in a tight range, with the dollar index near recent levels, Treasury yields close to recent peaks and investors eyeing this week's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for further guidance on Federal Reserve policy.
Several major currency pairs carry sizeable options expiries on Tuesday, with concentrated strike levels in EUR/USD, USD/JPY and USD/BRL among others. Market participants monitoring order flow and stop placement will likely pay attention to the strikes as they can affect price action around the New York cut. Wednesday and Thursday expiries add addi…
Bank of America strategist Kamal Sharma says a structural shift in foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK - toward greenfield projects, R&D and knowledge-intensive sectors such as AI, biotechnology and advanced manufacturing - should provide medium-term support for the British pound, even if immediate balance of payments improvements are not g…
