Commodities June 21, 2026 07:42 PM

Traffic Through Strait of Hormuz Plummets After Iran Says Waterway Closed Again

Shipping counts drop sharply amid Tehran's renewed closure declaration; regional crude tenders offer flexible loading options

By Maya Rios
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Ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz fell markedly on Sunday after Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it had closed the waterway again, citing breaches of an interim ceasefire. Analytics firm Kpler recorded five vessels transiting on Sunday, down from 26 the previous day. The development follows a temporary lifting of an effective blockade last week tied to a 60-day extension of a ceasefire agreement with the United States.

Traffic Through Strait of Hormuz Plummets After Iran Says Waterway Closed Again
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Key Points

  • Observed ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to five on Sunday from 26 the previous day, according to Kpler analytics.
  • Three VLCCs among the Sunday transits were reported to be carrying 2 million barrels each of Saudi crude and fuel oil, with one vessel bound for Japan.
  • Gulf producers Abu Dhabi National Oil Co and Kuwait Petroleum Corp issued crude tenders allowing loading from inside or outside the Strait of Hormuz, reflecting logistical adjustments.

SINGAPORE, June 22 - Ship movements through the Strait of Hormuz declined sharply on Sunday following an announcement from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) that it had again closed the strategic waterway, according to shipping analytics data.

Data compiled by analytics firm Kpler showed only five vessels passed through the strait on Sunday, a steep drop from the 26 ships observed on the preceding day. The Sunday transits included three Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) reported to be carrying 2 million barrels each of Saudi crude and fuel oil, one of which was bound for Japan. Kpler's count may not include vessels that have switched off their automatic identification transponders while in the Gulf.

The IRGC's declaration on Saturday came after Tehran had effectively lifted a prior blockade of the strait last week as part of an agreement with the United States to extend an April ceasefire for 60 days to allow for peace negotiations. The IRGC said the renewed closure was in response to Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The U.S. military, however, said commercial vessels were still operating.

Shipping movements earlier in the weekend showed a larger flow. On Saturday, three VLCCs exited the strait carrying crude from the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq, and three additional tankers were recorded transporting various oil products. Kpler's records also noted that 13 ships entered the strait on Saturday, including two VLCCs.

Regional crude sellers have adjusted commercial options in light of operational uncertainty. Gulf producers Abu Dhabi National Oil Co and Kuwait Petroleum Corp issued tenders offering crude for sale with the option to load either from inside the Strait of Hormuz or from locations outside it.


Market context

The sharp reduction in observed transits over a single day illustrates how declarations over the strait can rapidly affect visible shipping activity. While Kpler's figures offer a snapshot of movements, the potential for vessels to travel with transponders off introduces an element of uncertainty into publicly available counts.

Authorities on both sides have provided differing signals - Tehran's IRGC announced a shutdown, and U.S. forces indicated commercial traffic was continuing - leaving market participants and shippers with mixed operational cues.

Risks

  • Data gaps - Kpler's transit counts may understate actual traffic if vessels switch off transponders, increasing uncertainty for shipping and commodity market participants.
  • Operational uncertainty - Conflicting signals from Iran's IRGC declaring a closure and U.S. military statements that commercial vessels were still operating create ambiguity for shippers, insurers and energy traders.
  • Supply and logistics disruption - Renewed closure declarations have the potential to disrupt crude and product movements for Gulf producers and importers, affecting oil market logistics and related sectors.

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