Commodities April 29, 2026 01:54 PM

Russia to Remain in OPEC+ as UAE Announces Exit, Kremlin Voices Hope Group Endures

Kremlin emphasises stabilising role of OPEC+ while Russian officials warn of potential price pressures if coordination weakens

By Avery Klein
Russia to Remain in OPEC+ as UAE Announces Exit, Kremlin Voices Hope Group Endures

The Kremlin said Russia will continue participating in OPEC+ after the United Arab Emirates announced it would leave the grouping, expressing hope the producer alliance can continue functioning despite heightened tensions in energy markets. Russian officials cautioned that uncoordinated policy following the UAE’s departure could lead to increased production and downward pressure on prices, while noting current price support from a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

Key Points

  • Russia will remain a member of OPEC+ despite the UAE’s announced withdrawal; Moscow hopes the producer alliance will continue to operate - impacts oil markets and producer coordination.
  • Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said OPEC+ helps "minimise fluctuations" and stabilise energy markets; Russia respected the UAE’s sovereign decision and said Abu Dhabi did not give Moscow prior warning - impacts diplomatic energy dialogue.
  • Finance Minister Anton Siluanov warned that uncoordinated production after the UAE exit could lead to higher output and falling prices; current price support was attributed to a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz - impacts crude prices, energy companies, and trading markets.

MOSCOW, April 29 - Russia intends to remain a member of OPEC+ despite the United Arab Emirates' recent decision to withdraw from the organisation, the Kremlin said on Wednesday, while signalling a desire for the producer alliance to persist amid turbulence in global energy markets.

The UAE announced on Tuesday that it would quit the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, a move that has exacerbated visible strains among Gulf states as an energy crisis linked to the Iran war continues to unfold. Within the OPEC+ framework, the UAE was the fourth-largest producer and Russia ranks second after Saudi Arabia.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov underscored the continuing importance of the OPEC+ format, particularly in the present environment of market volatility. "This format helps to substantially, let’s say, minimise fluctuations in energy markets and makes it possible to stabilise those markets," he said at a daily briefing.

Peskov added that Russia respected the UAE’s sovereign decision to withdraw and expressed hope that bilateral energy dialogue between Moscow and Abu Dhabi would continue. He also said Moscow had not received advance notice from the UAE about the plan to leave. "No, they did not warn us. This is a sovereign decision of the United Arab Emirates. We respect this decision," he was quoted as saying by the state RIA news agency.

Russia became part of OPEC+ in 2016. The grouping, composed of OPEC members and their allies, accounted for nearly half of the world’s oil and oil liquids production last year, according to International Energy Agency estimates.

Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov commented on the possible market implications of the UAE’s exit, warning that a lack of coordination among remaining producers could prompt some countries to ramp up output. "If OPEC countries conduct their policies in an uncoordinated manner (after the UAE’s exit) and produce as much oil as their production capacities allow and as much as they want, prices will go down accordingly," Siluanov said.

Siluanov noted that, for the moment, oil prices were being supported by the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and he cautioned that any risk of oversupply would emerge only after the strait reopens.


The comments from Moscow reflect two parallel themes: an official commitment to remain in the OPEC+ framework and a clear concern about the potential for weaker coordination among major producers to create downward pressure on global oil prices if production increases materially. Russia’s stance indicates a preference for stable, coordinated supply management even as one of the group’s significant members departs.

Risks

  • Uncoordinated production by OPEC+ members following the UAE’s exit could drive higher output and depress global oil prices, affecting oil producers and energy-sector revenues.
  • The UAE did not notify Russia in advance about its withdrawal, signalling potential diplomatic friction that could complicate bilateral energy cooperation and impede coordinated market responses - affecting government-level energy talks and market stability.
  • Current oil price support from a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is conditional; reopening the strait could remove that support and expose markets to oversupply risk, impacting traders, refiners, and commodity-linked financial instruments.

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