Stock Markets July 30, 2026 08:48 AM

Ramaco Resources Shares Rise After Hatch Assessment Boosts Brook Mine Valuation

Carbochlorination-based flowsheet lifts project NPV and EBITDA estimates; semiconductor-linked commodities dominate revenue mix

By Ajmal Hussain
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METC METCB

Ramaco Resources shares climbed in premarket trading after the company published an initial assessment by Hatch Associates Consultants on its Brook Mine critical minerals project in Wyoming. The Hatch assessment, which models a carbochlorination refining route, reported a large uplift in pre-tax net present value and projected adjusted EBITDA versus a July 2025 Fluor Corp. study that used a different solvent extraction approach. Ramaco said the gains primarily reflect the change in processing methodology and noted the two studies are not functionally equivalent.

Ramaco Resources Shares Rise After Hatch Assessment Boosts Brook Mine Valuation
METC METCB
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Key Points

  • Hatch Associates’ carbochlorination assessment raises Brook Mine pre-tax NPV to $8.0 billion, a 567% increase versus Fluor Corp.'s July 2025 solvent extraction study.
  • Projected average annual adjusted EBITDA is $1.3 billion under the Hatch flowsheet, about an 800% rise compared with the Fluor report.
  • Approximately 75% of projected revenue is tied to commodities driven primarily by semiconductor demand; scandium's share falls to 18% under the new processing methodology.

Shares of Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ:METC, NASDAQ:METCB) rose 2.9% in Thursday premarket trading after the company released an initial technical and economic assessment of its Brook Mine critical minerals project in Wyoming conducted by Hatch Associates Consultants.

The Hatch assessment examines a carbochlorination-based refining flowsheet for Brook Mine. Using that processing methodology, Hatch estimated a pre-tax net present value (NPV) of $8.0 billion - an increase of 567% relative to a prior study completed by Fluor Corp. in July 2025 that evaluated a solvent extraction approach.

Ramaco reported that average projected annual adjusted EBITDA under the Hatch scenario is $1.3 billion, an approximate 800% increase from the Fluor report. The company emphasized that the majority of the uplift stems from the shift in processing methodology rather than from organic improvements to the underlying project. Ramaco also cautioned that the two studies do not have functional equivalency.

Hatch put construction capital costs at $3.2 billion, with an additional contingency of roughly $0.8 billion. The assessment assumes annual processing of 2.6 million tonnes of critical mineral feedstock plus 0.9 million tonnes of mineralized coal.

Under the carbochlorination flowsheet, roughly 75% of expected revenue is projected to come from commodities whose primary demand driver is the semiconductor industry. Those commodities identified in the assessment include gallium metal, germanium oxide, high-purity silica and high-purity alumina. Scandium’s share of projected revenue falls to 18% under the new flowsheet, down from more than half in the previous solvent extraction-based study.

Ramaco described the Brook Mine project as comprising upstream feedstock mining at the Brook Mine, midstream processing at a dedicated critical mineral refinery, and downstream commercial sales coordinated through a Strategic Critical Mineral Stockpile and Terminal.

The company said it is in advanced stages of product offtake discussions with potential domestic and international partners. It also reported ongoing conversations about third-party project financing that could involve public and private sources, including U.S. governmental agencies.


Contextual note - The improvements in headline economic metrics reported by Hatch reflect the company’s choice of a carbochlorination processing route; Ramaco has stated that the change in methodology is the primary driver of the differences versus the earlier Fluor study.

Risks

  • The reported increases principally reflect a change in the processing methodology rather than intrinsic project gains - the two studies are not functionally equivalent, which adds uncertainty to direct comparisons.
  • Capital estimates include $3.2 billion for construction plus roughly $0.8 billion in contingency, indicating material up-front funding needs and potential financing risk for the project.
  • Revenue concentration linked to semiconductor-driven commodities could expose the project to sector-specific demand volatility, affecting midstream refinery economics and downstream sales.

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