Stock Markets July 29, 2026 04:10 PM

Qualcomm Shares Decline After Mixed Q3 Results and Soft Q4 EPS Guide

Revenue beat but earnings missed in Q3; company cites rising input costs while guiding to lower-than-expected EPS for the current quarter

By Caleb Monroe
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Qualcomm reported third-quarter revenue that exceeded analyst estimates but posted adjusted EPS slightly below expectations. The company issued fourth-quarter adjusted EPS guidance whose midpoint was well under analyst forecasts, prompting a roughly 5% decline in the stock. Management flagged industry-wide increases in semiconductor input costs and said it is adjusting product pricing to reflect those pressures.

Qualcomm Shares Decline After Mixed Q3 Results and Soft Q4 EPS Guide
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Key Points

  • Qualcomm beat revenue estimates in Q3 with $9.95 billion in sales but missed on adjusted EPS, reporting $2.21 versus a $2.23 consensus.
  • The company issued Q4 adjusted EPS guidance with a midpoint of $2.15, well below the analyst estimate of $2.35, while guiding revenue above consensus at a $10.1 billion midpoint.
  • Segment performance was mixed: overall QCT revenue fell 5% year-over-year, handset revenue declined 20% to $5.09 billion, automotive revenue rose 61% to $1.59 billion, IoT revenue increased 9% to $1.83 billion, and QTL licensing revenue dropped 3% to $1.28 billion.

Qualcomm Inc reported a quarter of contrasts, delivering revenue above expectations while falling short on per-share earnings, and then setting guidance for the coming quarter that disappointed investors.

For the third quarter ended June 28, the chipmaker recorded adjusted earnings per share of $2.21, missing the analyst consensus of $2.23 by $0.02. Revenue for the quarter was $9.95 billion, exceeding the estimate of $9.67 billion, but representing a 4% decline from $10.37 billion in the same period a year earlier.

Looking ahead, Qualcomm provided guidance for the fourth quarter that weighed on the stock. The company expects adjusted EPS in a range of $2.05 to $2.25, with a midpoint of $2.15. That midpoint sits notably below the analyst estimate of $2.35. On revenue, Qualcomm guided $9.7 billion to $10.5 billion, with a midpoint of $10.1 billion - a figure above the consensus forecast of $9.95 billion.

Shares fell roughly 5% after the company released its results and the weaker-than-expected earnings outlook for the fourth quarter.

"Despite a challenging memory and supply environment, our third quarter results reflect solid execution of our growth strategy, with quarterly revenues at the high end of guidance," said Cristiano Amon, President and CEO of Qualcomm Inc.

Segment-level results showed mixed trends. Qualcomm’s QCT segment, which covers chips for handsets, automotive applications and connected devices, produced $8.5 billion in revenue, down 5% year-over-year. Within that segment, handset revenue declined 20% from the prior year to $5.09 billion. Conversely, automotive revenue increased sharply, rising 61% year-over-year to $1.59 billion - a run that Qualcomm said represents 23 consecutive quarters of double-digit year-over-year growth. IoT revenue also expanded, increasing 9% to $1.83 billion. On a combined basis, automotive and IoT revenues rose 28% from the year-ago quarter.

The company’s licensing division, QTL, reported $1.28 billion in revenue, a decline of 3% compared with the prior-year period.

Management pointed to a broad-based rise in semiconductor industry input costs. The company said those cost increases span wafer fabrication, assembly, test, advanced packaging, memory and other materials. Qualcomm indicated it is taking steps to reflect higher input costs in product pricing.


This report highlights a company managing divergent trends: revenues holding near the high end of guidance even as margins and near-term profit expectations face pressure from rising input costs and softer handset demand. Investors reacted primarily to the trimmed earnings outlook rather than the stronger-than-expected top-line result.

  • Revenue beat: Q3 sales of $9.95 billion topped estimates despite being down 4% year-over-year.
  • Earnings shortfall: Adjusted EPS of $2.21 missed the $2.23 consensus by $0.02.
  • Guidance gap: Q4 EPS midpoint of $2.15 is below the $2.35 analyst expectation.

Key points and risks below summarize the implications for related market sectors and the uncertainties identified in the company’s disclosures.

Risks

  • Rising semiconductor input costs across wafer fabrication, assembly, test, advanced packaging, memory and other materials create margin pressure - this impacts semiconductor manufacturers and device makers reliant on those components.
  • Weaker-than-expected EPS guidance for the fourth quarter may keep near-term volatility in Qualcomm’s stock and affect investor sentiment in related technology and semiconductor sectors.
  • Declining handset revenue, down 20% year-over-year, highlights demand risks in the mobile device market that could weigh on companies supplying smartphone components.

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