Options activity indicates Mobileye Global Inc. Class A (MBLY) could experience a 9.1% price move when the company releases its quarterly results on July 23, with the announcement scheduled to occur before the market opens, based on options data compiled by Bloomberg.
Looking back over the last eight earnings events, the stock has exceeded the options-implied move on three occasions. The most recent example came in April 2026, when Mobileye's shares shifted 12.7% versus an implied move of 10.2%.
Other comparisons across the eight prior reports show varied outcomes. In January 2026, the actual change was 3.9% against an implied 7.8%; in October 2025, the stock moved 8.1% relative to an 8.2% implied move. During July 2025, the share price changed by 2.7% while the options market had implied a 7.6% swing.
Earlier in 2025, April's earnings produced a 17.9% price movement versus an implied 11.4%. In January 2025 the stock moved 4.1% compared with an implied 13.3%, and in October 2024 the actual change was 8.3% against an implied 12.1%.
The most pronounced divergence in the sample occurred in August 2024, when Mobileye shares fell 27% despite an options-implied move of 5%.
These historical outcomes illustrate that actual post-earnings volatility for Mobileye has sometimes tracked options-implied expectations and at other times departed materially from them. Traders and investors watching the July 23 release will likely monitor the relationship between implied and realized moves as the report approaches.
Background data cited in this report
- Options-implied move for July 23 earnings: 9.1%
- April 2026 - actual move: 12.7% vs implied 10.2%
- January 2026 - actual move: 3.9% vs implied 7.8%
- October 2025 - actual move: 8.1% vs implied 8.2%
- July 2025 - actual move: 2.7% vs implied 7.6%
- April 2025 - actual move: 17.9% vs implied 11.4%
- January 2025 - actual move: 4.1% vs implied 13.3%
- October 2024 - actual move: 8.3% vs implied 12.1%
- August 2024 - actual move: -27% vs implied 5% (largest deviation)
Market participants who trade equities and options will likely be paying attention to the implied move figure ahead of the company's report on July 23. The historical record shows variability in how closely actual reactions match the options market's expectations.