Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
Morgan Stanley raised its forecast for U.S. real GDP in 2026 to 2.6% from 2.4%, citing stronger capital expenditures driven by hyperscaler spending. The bank's revisions lift nonresidential business fixed investment and equipment spending projections, tilt the outlook toward an 'animal spirits' upside scenario, and highlight new downside risks tied…
Hedge funds increased short bets against Hims & Hers Health in January to levels not seen in at least a year, according to Hazeltree data provided to Reuters. The rise in short interest preceded a sequence of events that included Hims withdrawing a low-cost version of Novo Nordisk’s weight-loss drug under FDA scrutiny, a patent lawsuit from Novo No…
Euro area finance ministers will evaluate a set of proposals intended to increase the euro's appeal as an international currency and reduce reliance on foreign financial infrastructure. The European Commission's list ranges from removing internal barriers and harmonising corporate law to issuing joint debt, launching a digital euro and encouraging …
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill said consumer-price inflation in the U.K. is declining but at a slower rate than authorities hoped. Pill emphasized that much of the projected drop in inflation reflects government interventions to lower energy costs rather than deeper underlying economic improvements. He also stood with a majority of Moneta…
The Central Bank of Russia cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 15.50% on Friday, marking a cumulative reduction of 550 basis points since it began easing policy in June last year. The decision surprised a majority of market analysts, with an LSEG poll showing only eight of 24 respondents predicted the cut while 16 expected the bank to h…
The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) has launched a dedicated webpage to accept confidential whistleblower tips on fraud, money laundering and violations of U.S. sanctions. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that eligible tips may receive financial awards, and tied the move to recent anti-fraud efforts highlighted during his Mi…
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill said underlying inflation in the U.K. appears to be stabilizing near 2.5% annually, above the BoE's 2% target. Pill made the comment in London and noted that removing a half percentage-point budget effect would leave the April/May forecast at about 2.5%. He recently voted with a narrow majority to keep the B…
U.S. stock index futures were largely unchanged following an AI-related market selloff that extended beyond software into brokerages and transportation. Traders stayed cautious ahead of the January Consumer Price Index due at 8:30 a.m. ET, a report that could affect expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Major index futures drifted lower in ea…
Federal authorities are weighing legal options, including injunctions and fines, against online telehealth firm Hims after the company briefly announced plans to market a low-cost compounded version of Novo Nordisk's Wegovy. The FDA has referred Hims to the Department of Justice, and lawyers say the move could lead to enforcement if regulators find…
Documents reviewed by TradeVae show the White House Office of Management and Budget is using remaining USAID operating funds to pay the U.S. Marshals Service for the security detail assigned to Russell Vought, allocating $15 million to cover protection through the end of 2026. The move comes as USAID is being wound down and amid reported threats to…
Elon Musk has repositioned SpaceX toward developing a lunar base and lunar-launch infrastructure, while Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin has concentrated resources on its Blue Moon lander ahead of an uncrewed flight this year. Both companies are advancing projects that NASA funds and that are intended to support astronaut landings, with industry players an…
U.S. stock mutual funds and ETFs saw net redemptions in the week ending Feb. 11 as investor expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts diminished following a stronger jobs report and as concerns mounted over potential corporate spending tied to artificial intelligence. Bond mutual funds attracted fresh inflows while money market assets exp…
The Bank of Russia lowered its policy rate by 50 basis points to 15.5% on Friday, aiming to support an economy that has slowed after earlier aggressive rate hikes. Officials said future adjustments will hinge on whether the recent easing in inflation is sustained and on the behaviour of inflation expectations, while projecting an average key rate i…
Chinese banks extended 4.71 trillion yuan in new yuan loans in January, a large increase from December but below analysts' expectations and beneath the 5.13 trillion yuan recorded a year earlier. The data, from the People's Bank of China, highlights a continued softening in credit demand, a shift toward government-driven financing, and persistent h…
The European Union's trade surplus declined to 12.9 billion euros in December from 13.9 billion a year earlier, driven by weaker machinery, vehicle and chemical exports. A 12.6% fall in exports to the United States cut the surplus with that market by about a third to 9.3 billion euros, while the bloc's deficit with China widened to 26.8 billion eur…
Bank of America has trimmed its expected March rate cut from 100 basis points to 50 basis points for the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, citing stronger-than-expected inflation readings and persistent CPI pressures. The bank now projects a March policy rate of 36.50%, a subsequent return to 100bp easing per meeting from April, and a year-en…
Global pharmaceutical companies are accelerating purchases of China-developed experimental medicines as they aim to cut costs ahead of looming patent expirations. Licensing deal values tied to the greater China region jumped to an unprecedented $137.7 billion last year, and industry advisers say the total could grow substantially again over the nex…
Switzerland’s headline inflation rate was unchanged at 0.1% in January, keeping it at the bottom of the Swiss National Bank’s 0-2% target range. Core inflation, which excludes fresh and seasonal food, energy and fuel, stood at 0.5%. Month-on-month consumer prices slipped 0.1%, driven by lower electricity costs and cheaper clothing and footwear. Eco…
President Prabowo Subianto told an international economic forum that Indonesia's growth is genuine and forecast to exceed the government's target this year, citing his administration's free meals programme and local development initiatives as drivers of consumption and job creation. Senior economic minister Airlangga Hartarto said the economy could…
U.S. equity futures traded lower as investors braced for delayed January consumer price index figures that are seen cooling year-over-year but remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% goal. Technology-related concerns tied to artificial intelligence pressure markets, hitting several sectors, even as Arista Networks and Applied Materials climbed in …
In the week through February 11, global equity funds recorded a fifth consecutive weekly inflow of $25.54 billion, driven largely by substantial purchases of European and Asian equities. European funds logged $17.53 billion - the strongest weekly intake since at least 2022 - while Asian funds took in about $6.28 billion. U.S. equity funds experienc…
Much of Asia will be closed for Lunar New Year as the calendar turns to the year of the fire horse, a signifier that markets describe as combining energy with volatility. Investors will be watching Walmart’s quarterly report for clues on U.S. consumer spending after mixed data, while earnings from Europe’s largest miners come amid record metal pric…
Ukraine's debt management chief says formal approval of an $8.2 billion International Monetary Fund programme should arrive imminently, a largely procedural but politically significant step as Kyiv navigates large fiscal gaps and wartime financial constraints. The deal is intended to replace a prior $15.6 billion facility and help sustain public ex…
Nomura now sees no April cut by the Reserve Bank of India, citing firmer inflation under a revised consumer price index series and what it calls 'stealth easing' that has already pushed money-market rates toward the repo rate floor. The brokerage raised its inflation projection for the fiscal year starting April and expects modest upward revisions …
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer intends to urge Western partners to pursue a coordinated defense-procurement program aimed at lowering the cost of rearmament by pooling purchases and standardizing equipment. The proposal, to be raised at the Munich Security Conference, responds to a projected UK defense funding shortfall of up to A328 billion o…
