Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,933 total articles
Morgan Stanley's analysis finds that early agentic AI travel tools are steering consumers toward online travel agencies' apps and websites to finish purchases instead of supplanting them. Because major AI platforms appear unwilling to assume payment, customer service, refunds and regulatory duties, OTAs remain the merchant of record and continue to…
BofA Securities projects China will set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5%–5.0% when the National People’s Congress convenes on March 5, while keeping fiscal and monetary policy accommodative. The forecast reflects persistent domestic demand weakness and structural headwinds such as property-sector strain, demographic trends and local government debt…
BofA Global Research says recent political and personnel signals in Japan have pushed market expectations toward a softer Bank of Japan stance. However, the bank warns that persistent yen depreciation would create political and financial pressures that could force the BoJ to act, and it has raised its USD/JPY forecast range accordingly.
U.S. military action in Iran and reported explosions across the Middle East have prompted warnings of heightened market volatility, though strategists say the moves are likely to be transient rather than a durable realignment of asset prices. Analysts point to energy markets - particularly oil - and traditional safe havens as the main channels thro…
A new note from ING finds that current vacancy and layoff datasets from the U.S., UK, France and Germany do not show a measurable AI-driven decline in hiring. Analysis of Indeed vacancies across roughly 50 sectors compared to AI exposure rankings produced by a chatbot shows little correlation, while layoff and usage data indicate limited immediate …
US and Israeli strikes on Iran, aimed at its leadership, and Iran’s missile response have raised the prospect of disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and prompted immediate market reactions. Oil prices, currency swings, safe-haven demand and regional equity markets are all likely to be affected, with analysts warning that the scale …
Foreign analysts, speaking in a report published by Science and Technology Daily, describe a turning point in China’s technological trajectory as the country moves from a period of rapid catch-up to one of systematic, coordinated innovation. The forthcoming 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) is expected to emphasize regional collaboration, an open gov…
Analysts at Standard Chartered estimate that growth in stablecoin balances could push demand for short-term US Treasury bills far beyond planned issuance, potentially allowing the Treasury to reallocate supply and suspend 30-year bond auctions for up to three years. The calculation rests on projected stablecoin market expansion, recent policy dynam…
Argentina's Senate voted 42-28 to approve a sweeping labor reform package, delivering a major political win for President Javier Milei. The measures shift wage bargaining from sector-wide accords to individual companies, streamline labor litigation, and create a compulsory severance fund to ease the cost of layoffs. The package is intended to forma…
The U.S. Department of Justice has asked the U.S. Court of International Trade for up to 120 days before it sets a timetable for refunding tariffs that a 6-3 Supreme Court ruling on February 20 found unlawful. The filing cites the complexity of the situation and suggests political branches need time to consider next steps. The administration acknow…
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has appointed Dr. Sean Downing and Dr. Angelina Farella to the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). The additions follow Kennedy's removal of the committee's previous 17 members and arrive as multiple lawsuits and postponed meetings leave vaccine policy and coverage decisions…
The US leveraged loan market posted its largest monthly decline in over three years in February, driven largely by investor anxiety about AI-related disruption. The Bloomberg US Leveraged Loan Index fell 1.34% for the month, with software and services names taking the brunt of the weakness. The selloff has pushed billions of dollars of debt into di…
President Trump directed all federal agencies to stop using technology from Anthropic, setting a six-month window to remove the company’s tools after Anthropic declined to accept limits on military applications. The move follows failed negotiations between the company and Defense Department officials over contractual language and operational constr…
Canada reported a budget shortfall of C$26.14 billion for the first nine months of the 2025/26 fiscal year as government outlays grew faster than receipts. Program expenses increased across all major categories while public debt charges fell modestly. Year-to-date revenues rose modestly, driven by higher customs import duties and corporate and pers…
President Donald Trump said the United States could pursue a "friendly takeover of Cuba" as the administration moves to allow U.S. energy firms to sell fuel to private Cuban businesses. The policy shift aims to bolster Cuba's private sector and increase economic ties to the United States while exerting pressure on the island's Communist government.…
President Donald Trump announced Kevin Warsh as his choice to succeed Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve four weeks ago, but has not yet submitted the formal nomination to the Senate. The pause is unusual in recent practice and has compounded uncertainty over leadership at the central bank as Powell’s term as chair approaches its scheduled expira…
The U.S. dollar advanced on Friday after January's Producer Price Index exceeded expectations and investors sought safety amid growing tensions between the United States and Iran. While the headline PPI reading was stronger than forecast, some economists pointed to components that may overstate near-term price pressure. Market moves were further in…
NASA announced an adjustment to its Artemis program that introduces a new mission slated for 2027 to validate spacecraft docking in low-Earth orbit ahead of a planned crewed lunar landing. The agency also scrapped plans to upgrade the Space Launch System upper stage in favor of increasing SLS production and flight cadence, a decision that affects a…
IMF mission leaders reiterated that Ukraine must follow through on structural reforms tied to a newly approved $8.1 billion loan package, highlighting a March deadline for tax changes and signaling close oversight of bondholder activity tied to an earlier debt restructuring. The IMF said the current program does not require extra debt service payme…
Economy ministers from Germany, Switzerland, Austria and Liechtenstein met in Zurich and pressed the United States to establish stable trade relations, saying economic cooperation must be strengthened amid ongoing uncertainty. Their comments came a week after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down broad tariffs imposed last year by President Donald Tru…
Canada's economy shrank at an annualized 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025 as a pronounced reduction in business inventories offset ongoing household consumption and a large increase in government capital spending. Manufacturing weakness and a drag from exports weighed on the year, while mining and construction provided notable bright spots. Preli…
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill urged caution over near-term falls in headline consumer price inflation, saying reductions driven by one-off factors should not be mistaken for a sustained easing in price pressures. The BoE projects inflation will drop close to its 2% target in April as cuts to regulated energy tariffs take effect and last …
Canada's gross domestic product contracted at an annualized rate of 0.6% in the October-December quarter as businesses drew heavily on inventories rather than increasing production. Despite support from exports, household spending and government capital outlays, the inventory reduction and weaker residential structure investment pushed quarterly gr…
Consumer prices in Brazil rose 0.84% in the month to mid-February, a sharper increase than economists had forecast, propelled by higher transport and education costs. Annual inflation slowed to 4.1% from 4.5% a month earlier but exceeded the expected 3.82%. Officials have signaled a plan to begin easing monetary policy in March after holding the po…
Citi strategists warn that artificial intelligence is likely to become a significant macroeconomic force over time, but emphasize that the timing of material labor-market disruption is highly uncertain. The firm says current labor data show limited broad-based impact, implementation challenges and energy constraints will delay large-scale deploymen…
