Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,935 total articles
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said monetary policy is currently well positioned to address a set of 'unusual' circumstances that are likely to push near-term inflation higher. Williams cited the war in the Middle East and related energy price shocks as primary drivers of elevated inflation in the months ahead, while also …
European officials say Iran has urged Houthi leaders to prepare for a fresh campaign against vessels transiting the Red Sea if the United States increases military pressure on Iran. The Houthis, who have already launched ballistic missiles at Israel, are reported to be debating the scale and timing of any maritime operations, while U.S. and Saudi o…
Apple has removed Anything, a vibe coding application that lets non-developers build apps using AI, from its App Store, the startup's CEO said. The move follows a prior action by Apple that blocked updates to vibe coding tools while leaving existing versions available. Anything's co-founder says users have published thousands of apps using the tool…
Federal prosecutors in Manhattan are investigating whether high-return wagers placed on prediction markets violated insider trading and other statutes. Officials from the securities and commodities fraud units of the U.S. attorney’s office for the Southern District of New York met with representatives of a major prediction market platform to explor…
Greece's central bank chief Yannis Stournaras said the European Central Bank must be prepared to act quickly if a prolonged war in the Middle East causes inflation expectations to drift, potentially jeopardizing the ECB's March baseline price and growth projections. Speaking at a financial conference in Bucharest, Stournaras stressed the dilemma of…
The White House reported that talks with Iran are ongoing and showing progress, while highlighting a discrepancy between the regime's public statements and its private messages to U.S. officials. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said negotiators are continuing discussions and that private Iranian statements will be subject to verification.
Greece's central bank governor cautioned that the European Central Bank may need to react quickly should inflation expectations begin to drift or second-round effects emerge, particularly if the Middle East war persists. His remarks noted the potential threat to the ECB's March baseline projections for prices and growth.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told a Harvard audience that the central bank is closely tracking developments in the private credit market for connections that could transmit stress to the banking system. While Powell warned that individual losses are likely in parts of the opaque lending sector, he said current evidence does not indicate a th…
A poll of 17 economists expects the Central Bank of Egypt to keep its deposit and lending rates unchanged at 19.0% and 20.0% respectively when the Monetary Policy Committee meets on Thursday. The anticipated pause in a previously planned easing cycle follows concerns that the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has pushed up the country’s energy import bill a…
The International Monetary Fund said the US-Israel campaign against Iran poses a 'global, yet asymmetric' shock that will push prices higher and dampen growth. The IMF highlighted immediate strains on oil supplies, rising crude prices, and threats to fertilizer and food availability that could imperil low-income countries as planting season gets un…
The governor of the Bank of Mexico indicated that the central bank may be close to finishing its sequence of interest-rate reductions, defending last week's 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% made in a narrow 3-2 vote. She attributed a recent uptick in headline inflation to temporary volatility in fruit and vegetable prices but acknowledged that risks are…
Turkey’s Defense Ministry says NATO forces intercepted a ballistic missile over Turkish airspace on Monday, the fourth such incident in less than a month. The ministry reported the projectile was launched from Iran and neutralized by NATO air and missile defenses deployed in the Eastern Mediterranean, while providing limited location details. Iran …
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told an audience at Harvard University that monetary policy is well-positioned to pause and observe how rising oil prices from the Middle East conflict will affect U.S. inflation and economic activity. He reiterated that energy-driven price shocks tend to be transitory and that interest-rate adjustments work with…
The Bank of Israel left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 4% for the second consecutive month, citing higher inflationary pressure linked to the Iran war and a marked rise in global energy prices. The decision follows earlier easing moves after a Gaza ceasefire and comes as the bank revises near-term growth forecasts and signals a gradual eas…
The U.S. Department of Labor released proposed regulations intended to provide trustees clearer guidance on adding less liquid alternative investments - including private equity and cryptocurrencies - to 401(k) retirement plans. The draft follows a presidential executive order and could open a substantial capital channel for private asset managers,…
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran told CNBC he continues to favor lowering policy rates by about a percentage point this year to address a still-robust labor market, even as markets price a potential Fed hike following the onset of fighting in Iran. He said there is no sign of a wage-price spiral or an inflation shock from oil, reiterated conc…
Citadel Securities warns that longer-dated bonds are beginning to reclaim their role as a hedge against market risk as investors move from inflation worries to growth concerns amid escalating hostilities in the Middle East. The firm highlights shifting drivers of financial conditions and cautions that a protracted conflict could create demand destr…
The International Air Transport Association reported an 11.2% year-on-year rise in global air cargo demand in February 2026, with international shipments growing slightly faster than the overall market. Capacity increased more modestly, while regional and trade-lane performance varied sharply. IATA cautioned that the late-February outbreak of war i…
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that individual tax refunds in the 2026 filing season are more than 10% higher than a year earlier, with almost half of filers taking advantage of new deductions in the Republican tax cut law enacted last year. He flagged a particularly large uptake in a deduction for overtime premium pay earned in 2025 an…
The Bank of Israel left its policy rate unchanged at 4% on Monday, a decision that matched forecasts from Bloomberg-surveyed economists. The move reflects a cautious posture amid heightened uncertainty tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran, which officials say is contributing to inflationary pressures at home and abroad. Markets in Israel showed v…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News the administration anticipates the Strait of Hormuz will be reopened to commercial shipping, saying the U.S. intends to restore freedom of navigation through either U.S.-led or multinational escorts. He also described a significant global oil supply deficit and noted coordinated releases of strategic r…
The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network has issued guidance urging banks and other financial institutions to be vigilant for fraud schemes targeting federal and state healthcare benefit programs, including Medicare and Medicaid. The advisory lays out common money-laundering patterns used by transnational criminal organizations and offers red-flag …
A Morgan Stanley consumer poll of about 2,000 Americans conducted March 19-23 finds data privacy and fears over job security remain the most frequently reported anxieties as AI use in the workplace grows. The survey also records higher concern about inflation and a jump in geopolitical worries, while roughly half of consumers plan to save or pay do…
Global government bond markets are headed for their largest monthly losses in years as the Middle East war shifts investor attention from hoped-for rate cuts to the risk of persistent inflation combined with weaker growth. Short-dated, rate-sensitive bonds have borne the brunt of selling, even as that pressure showed tentative signs of easing. Mark…
A Swiss National Bank survey shows mobile payment app use plateaued last year while cash continues to be a widely supported payment method. Debit cards remain the dominant form for in-person purchases, and most respondents prefer retaining cash for reasons including anonymity and perceived control over spending.
